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Zurück zu moderatem Wachstum

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Abstract

This text summarises the 2016 autumn forecast by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, released on 6 October 2016. The first part discusses recent economic developments abroad and in Switzerland, and presents the main forecast results across the various sectors of the economy. In the second part, detailed forecasts for Switzerland follow, decomposed into the main demand components of GDP. We expect the Swiss economy to grow by 1.6% in 2016, 1.8% in 2017 and 1.9% in 2018, respectively. Compared with our last forecast in June 2016, this amounts to a slight upward revision for the current year.

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Zurück zu moderatem Wachstum," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(3), pages 1-108, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:kof:anskof:v:10:y:2016:i:3:p:1-108
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-005427569
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nadim Ahmad & François Lequiller & Pascal Marianna & Dirk Pilat & Paul Schreyer & Anita Wölfl, 2003. "Comparing Labour Productivity Growth in the OECD Area: The Role of Measurement," OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers 2003/14, OECD Publishing.
    2. C.J. Krizan & John Haltiwanger & Lucia Foster, 2002. "The Link Between Aggregate and Micro Productivity Growth: Evidence from Retail Trade," Working Papers 02-18, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    3. Jack E. Triplett & Barry P. Bosworth, 2003. "Productivity measurement issues in services industries: "Baumol's disease" has been cured," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Sep, pages 23-33.
    4. Kevin J. Stiroh, 2002. "Information Technology and the U.S. Productivity Revival: What Do the Industry Data Say?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(5), pages 1559-1576, December.
    5. Jochen Hartwig, 2005. "Sind unsere gesamtwirtschaftlichen Probleme ueberhaupt loesbar?," KOF Working papers 05-112, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Switzerland; business cycle; macroeconomic forecast;

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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