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Pricing and managing risks of European-style options in a Markovian regime-switching binomial model

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  • Farzad Fard
  • Tak Siu

Abstract

We discuss the pricing and risk management problems of standard European-style options in a Markovian regime-switching binomial model. Due to the presence of an additional source of uncertainty described by a Markov chain, the market is incomplete, so the no-arbitrage condition is not sufficient to fix a unique pricing kernel, hence, a unique option price. Using the minimal entropy martingale measure, we determine a pricing kernel. We examine numerically the performance of a simple hedging strategy by investigating the terminal distribution of hedging errors and the associated risk measures such as Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. The impacts of the frequency of re-balancing the hedging portfolio and the transition probabilities of the modulating Markov chain on the quality of hedging are also discussed. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Farzad Fard & Tak Siu, 2013. "Pricing and managing risks of European-style options in a Markovian regime-switching binomial model," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 421-438, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:9:y:2013:i:3:p:421-438
    DOI: 10.1007/s10436-012-0192-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert J. Elliott & Leunglung Chan & Tak Kuen Siu, 2005. "Option pricing and Esscher transform under regime switching," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 423-432, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mengzhe Zhang & Leunglung Chan, 2016. "Saddlepoint approximations to option price in a regime-switching model," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 55-69, February.
    2. Fard, Farzad Alavi & Siu, Tak Kuen, 2013. "Pricing participating products with Markov-modulated jump–diffusion process: An efficient numerical PIDE approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 712-721.
    3. Farzad Alavi Fard & Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Sivagowry Sriananthakumar, 2021. "Maximum Entropy Evaluation of Asymptotic Hedging Error under a Generalised Jump-Diffusion Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-19, February.
    4. Braouezec, Yann, 2017. "How fundamental is the one-period trinomial model to European option pricing bounds. A new methodological approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 92-99.
    5. Farzad Alavi Fard, 2014. "Optimal Bid-Ask Spread in Limit-Order Books under Regime Switching Framework," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 4, pages 33-48, November.
    6. J. Lars Kirkby & Duy Nguyen, 2020. "Efficient Asian option pricing under regime switching jump diffusions and stochastic volatility models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 307-351, September.
    7. Guglielmo D’Amico & Ada Lika & Filippo Petroni, 2019. "Change point dynamics for financial data: an indexed Markov chain approach," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 247-266, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Binomial tree; Regime switching; Minimum entropy martingale measure; G13; D52;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets

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