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2002 German Federal Elections and Associated Energy Policy: How Were Energy Corporations Financially Affected?

Listed author(s):
  • Oberndorfer Ulrich


    (Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology, Scharnhorststr. 34–37, 10115 Berlin, Germany)

  • Ziegler Andreas


    (University of Zurich, Center for Corporate Responsibility and Sustainability (CCRS), Künstlergasse 15a, 8001 Zurich, Switzerland, and Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) Zurich, Center of Economic Research, Zürichbergstrasse 18, 8032 Zurich, Switzerland)

This paper analyzes the effect of the 2002 German federal elections to the Lower House of Parliament (Bundestag) on the financial performance of German energy corporations.We consider the last minute victory of the government coalition consisting of Social Democrats and the Green party which was generally associated with a major shift in energy policy towards the promotion of renewable energies and a phasing out of nuclear energy. Our event study approach is based on the application of the Fama-French three-factor model to estimate abnormal stock returns. The results of the empirical analysis imply neither for traditional utilities nor for renewable energy corporations any robust positive or negative impact of the elections and therefore of the general energy policy direction of the government in the next legislative period.

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Article provided by De Gruyter in its journal Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik).

Volume (Year): 229 (2009)
Issue (Month): 5 (October)
Pages: 570-583

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Handle: RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:229:y:2009:i:5:p:570-583
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  1. Sharpe, William F., 1967. "Portfolio Analysis," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(02), pages 76-84, June.
  2. Stehle, Richard & Schulz, Anja & Schröder, Michael & Eberts, Elke & Ziegler, Andreas, 2003. "Multifaktormodelle zur Erklärung deutscher Aktienrenditen: eine empirische Analyse," ZEW Discussion Papers 03-45, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
  3. Mitchell, C. & Bauknecht, D. & Connor, P.M., 2006. "Effectiveness through risk reduction: a comparison of the renewable obligation in England and Wales and the feed-in system in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 297-305, February.
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