IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jbl/ref000/v8y2024i2id1002.html

Investor demand for stocks in Initial Public Offerings and their price behaviour after debut. Evidence from Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Kamil Gemra

    (SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Business Administration, Warsaw, Poland)

  • Piotr Kwestarz

    (Independent researcher, p.kwestarz@strefainwestorow.pl)

Abstract

This article investigates the relationship between investor demand during an IPO and the long-term behaviour of share prices following a company’s stock market debut. Specifically, the study examines the impact of the demand observed during the public offering and the size of the offering on abnormal return rates for a sample of 116 IPOs on the Warsaw Stock Exchange between 2012 and mid-2022. The primary research hypothesis tests whether the medians of abnormal return rates, influenced by these factors, are statistically significant over several time intervals ranging from 3 to 12 months after the debut. The findings confirm that certain information from the completed public offering, particularly the relatively low number of new shares offered, plays a significant role in predicting abnormal changes in share prices during these periods. This research offers valuable insights for investors, emphasising the key factors within the IPO process that can influence the trajectory of share prices following a company’s market debut.

Suggested Citation

  • Kamil Gemra & Piotr Kwestarz, 2024. "Investor demand for stocks in Initial Public Offerings and their price behaviour after debut. Evidence from Poland," Research Papers in Economics and Finance, Poznań University of Economics and Business, vol. 8(2), pages 38-57, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:jbl:ref000:v:8:y:2024:i:2:id:1002
    DOI: 10.18559/ref.2024.2.1002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.ue.poznan.pl/REF/article/view/1002
    File Function: Abstract page
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://journals.ue.poznan.pl/REF/article/download/1002/984
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18559/ref.2024.2.1002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Agarwal, Sumit & Liu, Chunlin & Rhee, S. Ghon, 2008. "Investor demand for IPOs and aftermarket performance: Evidence from the Hong Kong stock market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 176-190, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Haman, Janto & Chalmers, Keryn & Fang, Victor, 2017. "IPO lockups, long run returns, and growth opportunities," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 184-199.
    2. Kao, Lanfeng & Chen, Anlin & Lu, Cheng-Shou, 2022. "Retail investor attention and IPO prices with a pre-IPO market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 416-432.
    3. M A Aneesha & A Athira & P J Jijo Lukose, 2025. "Underwriter Reputation, Retail Demand, and Performance of Newly Public Small and Medium Enterprises," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 24(1), pages 109-133, March.
    4. Rasidah Mohd-Rashid & Ruzita Abdul-Rahim & Norliza Che-Yahya, 2019. "The Influence of Information Asymmetry on IPO Lock-up Provisions: Evidence from Malaysian Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 20(3), pages 613-626, June.
    5. Ahmad Hakimi Tajuddin & Kanesh Gopal & Rasidah Mohd-Rashid & Waqas Mehmood & Elkhan Richard Sadik-Zada, 2023. "Do Share Allocations to the Indigenous Investor Drive the Demand for IPOs?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-18, April.
    6. Ayesha Anwar & Rasidah Mohd-Rashid & Norliza Che-Yahya & Mohamed Bouteraa & Brahim Chekima, 2024. "Government Ownership, Political Regime, and Flipping of IPOs in Pakistan: Evidence from Emerging Market," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(4), pages 21582440241, November.
    7. Ajay Yadav & Jaya Mamta Prosad & Sumanjeet Singh, 2023. "Pre-IPO Financial Performance and Offer Price Estimation: Evidence from India," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-19, February.
    8. Hanafi, Mamduh M., 2021. "Fixed price and book building methods in an exogenous environment: Evidence from Indonesia stock market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Alqahtani, Faisal & Boulanouar, Zakaria, 2017. "Sharia compliance status & investor demand for IPOs: Evidence from Saudi Arabia," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB), pages 258-268.
    10. Sajida Parveen & Abida Hanif & Dr. Saif Ur Rahman & Dr. Salman Masood Sheikh, 2023. "Examining the Effect of Foreign Direct Investment and Exports on Stock Market Performance: Evidence from India Based Bound Testing to Cointegration ARDL Approach," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(4), pages 700-707.
    11. Nibu Raj Abraham, 2015. "Underpricing in the Malaysian IPO Market During 2009-2014," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 4(4), pages 194-200, November.
    12. Paul B. McGuinness, 2016. "Post-IPO performance and its association with subscription cascades and issuers’ strategic-political importance," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 291-333, February.
    13. Hahl, Teemu & Vähämaa, Sami & Äijö, Janne, 2014. "Value versus growth in IPOs: New evidence from Finland," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 17-31.
    14. Kao, Lanfeng & Chen, Anlin, 2020. "How a pre-IPO audit committee improves IPO pricing efficiency in an economy with little value uncertainty and information asymmetry," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    15. S. Meghna & N. Suresh & J. C. Usha, 2022. "A Study on Impact of Dividend Policy on Initial Public Offering Price Performance," Papers 2207.07227, arXiv.org.
    16. Alanazi, Ahmed S. & Al-Zoubi, Haitham A., 2015. "Extreme IPO underpricing and the legal environment in wealthy emerging economies," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 83-103.
    17. Alberto Dreassi & Massimiliano Kaucic & Giorgio Valentinuz, 2017. "The Information Content Of Earnings Announcements In The European Insurance Market: An Event Study Analysis," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 5(3), pages 1-16.
    18. McGuinness, Paul B., 2016. "Voluntary profit forecast disclosures, IPO pricing revisions and after-market earnings drift," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 70-83.
    19. Sanjay Dhamija & Ravinder Kumar Arora, 2017. "Determinants of Long-run Performance of Initial Public Offerings: Evidence from India," Vision, , vol. 21(1), pages 35-45, March.
    20. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "IPO Behavior in GCC Countries: Goody-Two Shoes or Bad-to-the-Bone?," IMF Working Papers 2007/149, International Monetary Fund.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jbl:ref000:v:8:y:2024:i:2:id:1002. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Anna Bogajewska-Szymańska (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.ue.poznan.pl/REF .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.