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Multirank Cointegration Analysis Of Turkish M1 Money Demand (1987q1-2006q3)

Author

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  • H. LEVENT KORAP

    () (Marmara University Department of Economics)

Abstract

In our paper, we employ multivariate cointegration analysis to the Turkish M1 narrow money demand. The ex-post estimation results reveal that it is possible to identify a money demand vector in the cointegrating space as a priori hypothesized through economics theory. But some structural break points and parameter instabilities coincided with post-1994 economic crisis period and 2000-stabilization program cast some doubt upon whether the estimated model can represent all the period under investigation. Besides, a second potential vector found in the long-run variable space has been decomposed to reconcile it with excess aggregate demand reacting to the domestic inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • H. Levent Korap, 2007. "Multirank Cointegration Analysis Of Turkish M1 Money Demand (1987q1-2006q3)," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 6(1), pages 1-28, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:ist:ancoec:v:6:y:2007:i:1:p:1-28
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    File URL: http://eidergisi.istanbul.edu.tr/sayi6/iueis6m1.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 2003. "A Long run structural macroeconometric model of the UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(487), pages 412-455, April.
    2. Subramanian S Sriram, 1999. "Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy; An Error-Correction Model for Malaysia," IMF Working Papers 99/173, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1994. "Identification of the long-run and the short-run structure an application to the ISLM model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 7-36, July.
    4. Stephen M. Goldfeld, 1973. "The Demand for Money Revisited," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(3), pages 577-646.
    5. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Mohammad Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 1998. "A structural cointegrating VAR approach to macroeconometric modelling," ESE Discussion Papers 8, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
    6. Choudhry, Taufiq, 1995. "High inflation rates and the long-run money demand function: Evidence from cointegration tests," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 77-91.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Money Demand; Aggregate Demand; Turkish Economy; Cointegration; Identification; Super Exogeneity; Structural Breaks; Economic Policy;

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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