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A Mean-Variance Model for Route Guidance in Advanced Traveler Information Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Suvrajeet Sen

    (SIE Dept., University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721)

  • Rekha Pillai

    (ITS Group, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37831-6206)

  • Shirish Joshi

    (I2 Technologies, Irving, Texas 75063)

  • Ajay K. Rathi

    (ITS Group, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37831-6206)

Abstract

Traditional models of route generation are based on choosing routes that minimize expected travel-time between origin and destination. Such approaches do not account for the fact that travelers often incorporate travel-time variability within their decision making. Thus, a route with lower travel-time variability is preferred by some travelers, even if such a route is not one with the lowest mean travel-time. Such traveler behavior is best captured by a multiobjective model in which the choice of a route is based on the mean as well as the variance of the path travel-time. Our route-planning model is intended to help travelers make choices that reflect their decision-making process better. We formulate a network flow multiobjective model in which one of the objectives (expectation) is linear, whereas, the other (variance) is quadratic. In order to present the user with a series of options, we solve a series of parametric 0-1 quadratic integer programs. By utilizing the network structure of the problem, we devise an effective algorithm in which the 0-1 quadratic program is solved by using a continuous relaxation together with an enumeration of some selected paths. Finally, we note that the data requirements for the model can be easily satisfied in practice.

Suggested Citation

  • Suvrajeet Sen & Rekha Pillai & Shirish Joshi & Ajay K. Rathi, 2001. "A Mean-Variance Model for Route Guidance in Advanced Traveler Information Systems," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(1), pages 37-49, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ortrsc:v:35:y:2001:i:1:p:37-49
    DOI: 10.1287/trsc.35.1.37.10141
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Xing & (Marco) Nie, Yu, 2011. "Modeling heterogeneous risk-taking behavior in route choice: A stochastic dominance approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(9), pages 896-915, November.
    2. Srinivasan, Karthik K. & Prakash, A.A. & Seshadri, Ravi, 2014. "Finding most reliable paths on networks with correlated and shifted log–normal travel times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 110-128.
    3. Nie, Yu (Marco) & Wu, Xing & Dillenburg, John F. & Nelson, Peter C., 2012. "Reliable route guidance: A case study from Chicago," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 403-419.
    4. A. Arun Prakash & Karthik K. Srinivasan, 2018. "Pruning Algorithms to Determine Reliable Paths on Networks with Random and Correlated Link Travel Times," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(1), pages 80-101, January.
    5. Shaghayegh Mokarami & S. Hashemi, 2015. "Constrained shortest path with uncertain transit times," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 149-163, September.
    6. Huang, He & Gao, Song, 2012. "Optimal paths in dynamic networks with dependent random link travel times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 579-598.
    7. Angelelli, E. & Arsik, I. & Morandi, V. & Savelsbergh, M. & Speranza, M.G., 2016. "Proactive route guidance to avoid congestion," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-21.
    8. Wang, Li & Yang, Lixing & Gao, Ziyou, 2016. "The constrained shortest path problem with stochastic correlated link travel times," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 255(1), pages 43-57.
    9. Leilei Zhang & Tito Homem-de-Mello, 2017. "An Optimal Path Model for the Risk-Averse Traveler," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 518-535, May.
    10. A. Arun Prakash & Karthik K. Srinivasan, 2017. "Finding the Most Reliable Strategy on Stochastic and Time-Dependent Transportation Networks: A Hypergraph Based Formulation," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 809-840, September.
    11. Khani, Alireza & Boyles, Stephen D., 2015. "An exact algorithm for the mean–standard deviation shortest path problem," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 252-266.
    12. Ahmad Hosseini & Mir Saman Pishvaee, 2022. "Capacity reliability under uncertainty in transportation networks: an optimization framework and stability assessment methodology," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 479-512, September.
    13. Matthias Ruß & Gunther Gust & Dirk Neumann, 2021. "The Constrained Reliable Shortest Path Problem in Stochastic Time-Dependent Networks," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 69(3), pages 709-726, May.
    14. David Corredor-Montenegro & Nicolás Cabrera & Raha Akhavan-Tabatabaei & Andrés L. Medaglia, 2021. "On the shortest $$\alpha$$ α -reliable path problem," TOP: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 29(1), pages 287-318, April.
    15. Hao Hu & Renata Sotirov, 2018. "Special cases of the quadratic shortest path problem," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 754-777, April.
    16. Zhaoqi Zang & Xiangdong Xu & Kai Qu & Ruiya Chen & Anthony Chen, 2022. "Travel time reliability in transportation networks: A review of methodological developments," Papers 2206.12696, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    17. Bi Chen & William Lam & Agachai Sumalee & Qingquan Li & Hu Shao & Zhixiang Fang, 2013. "Finding Reliable Shortest Paths in Road Networks Under Uncertainty," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 123-148, June.
    18. Hao Hu & Renata Sotirov, 2021. "The linearization problem of a binary quadratic problem and its applications," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 307(1), pages 229-249, December.
    19. Shahabi, Mehrdad & Unnikrishnan, Avinash & Boyles, Stephen D., 2013. "An outer approximation algorithm for the robust shortest path problem," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 52-66.
    20. Hao Hu & Renata Sotirov, 2020. "On Solving the Quadratic Shortest Path Problem," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 32(2), pages 219-233, April.
    21. Xing, Tao & Zhou, Xuesong, 2011. "Finding the most reliable path with and without link travel time correlation: A Lagrangian substitution based approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1660-1679.
    22. Rostami, Borzou & Chassein, André & Hopf, Michael & Frey, Davide & Buchheim, Christoph & Malucelli, Federico & Goerigk, Marc, 2018. "The quadratic shortest path problem: complexity, approximability, and solution methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(2), pages 473-485.
    23. Tan, Zhijia & Yang, Hai & Guo, Renyong, 2014. "Pareto efficiency of reliability-based traffic equilibria and risk-taking behavior of travelers," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 16-31.
    24. Yu Nie & Xing Wu & Tito Homem-de-Mello, 2012. "Optimal Path Problems with Second-Order Stochastic Dominance Constraints," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 561-587, December.
    25. Nie, Yu (Marco) & Wu, Xing, 2009. "Shortest path problem considering on-time arrival probability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 597-613, July.

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