IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/iez/survey/ces-v21_1-2019_skrinjaric-orlovic.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of Economic and Political Events on Stock Returns: Event Study of the Agrokor Case in Croatia

Author

Listed:
  • Tihana Skrinjaric

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Zrinka Orlovic

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

Major events in Croatia regarding economy and politics in the last three years have been related to the Agrokor concern. Agrokor is one of the biggest companies/concerns in Croatia and Southeastern Europe. Since some of Agrokor’s stocks are listed on the Croatian stock market, the economic and political events regarding Agrokor have affected the stock market as well to an extent. In this study we observe the effects of several economic and political events on stock returns on the Zagreb Stock Exchange, by dividing the sample into two groups. The first group consists of Agrokor’s stocks and the other group consists of stocks of other companies which are listed and frequently traded on the market. The methodology used in the study was event study, by using parametric and non-parametric tests. The results indicate that specific economic and political events have affected Agrokor’s stock returns negatively. Other stock returns were not affected, or were affected positively, but not statistically significantly.

Suggested Citation

  • Tihana Skrinjaric & Zrinka Orlovic, 2019. "Effects of Economic and Political Events on Stock Returns: Event Study of the Agrokor Case in Croatia," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 21(1), pages 47-86, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:iez:survey:ces-v21_1-2019_skrinjaric-orlovic
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/323363
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jeetendra Dangol, 2008. "Unanticipated Political Events and Stock Returns: An Event Study," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 20, pages 86-110, April.
    2. Dimitrios Asteriou & Antonios Sarantidis, 2016. "Political instability and stock market returns: Evidence from OECD countries," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 5(4), pages 113-124.
    3. Andros Gregoriou, 2011. "The liquidity effects of revisions to the CAC40 stock index," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(5), pages 333-341.
    4. Campbell R. Harvey & Yan Liu & Heqing Zhu, 2014. ". . . and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns," NBER Working Papers 20592, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nawal Seif Kassim & Roslily Ramlee & Salina Kassim, 2017. "Impact of Inclusion into and Exclusion from the Shariah Index on a Stock Price and Trading Volume: An Event Study Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 40-51.
    2. Alexander Maas & Liang Lu, 2021. "Elections have Consequences: Partisan Politics may be Literally Killing Us," Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 45-56, January.
    3. Linnenluecke, Martina K. & Chen, Xiaoyan & Ling, Xin & Smith, Tom & Zhu, Yushu, 2017. "Research in finance: A review of influential publications and a research agenda," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
    4. Azevedo, Alcino & Karim, Mohamad & Gregoriou, Andros & Rhodes, Mark, 2014. "Stock price and volume effects associated with changes in the composition of the FTSE Bursa Malaysian KLCI," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 20-35.
    5. Dittmar, Robert F. & Lundblad, Christian T., 2017. "Firm characteristics, consumption risk, and firm-level risk exposures," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 326-343.
    6. François-Heude, Alain & Yousfi, Ouidad, 2013. "On the liquidity of CAC 40 index options Market," MPRA Paper 47921, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Jul 2013.
    7. Škrinjarić Tihana, 2019. "Effects of changes in stock market index composition on stock returns: event study methodology on Zagreb Stock Exchange," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 5(1), pages 43-54, May.
    8. Abdul Rahman & Prabina Rajib, 2018. "Index Revisions, Stock Liquidity and the Cost of Equity Capital," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(4), pages 1072-1089, August.
    9. Cummins, Mark & Dowling, Michael & Lucey, Brian M., 2015. "Behavioral influences in non-ferrous metals prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 9-22.
    10. Xiaoji Lin & Ding Luo & Andres Donangelo & Frederico Belo, 2017. "Labor Hiring, Aggregate Dividends, and Return Predictability in the Time Series," 2017 Meeting Papers 885, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Tomislav Globan & Tihana Skrinjaric, 2020. "Penny wise and pound foolish: capital gains tax and trading volume on the Zagreb Stock Exchange," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 44(3), pages 299-329.
    12. Marie Briere & Ariane Szafarz, 2015. "Factor-Based v. Industry-Based Asset Allocation: The Contest," Working Papers CEB 15-035, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    13. Stephens, John & Mehdian, Seyed & Gherghina, Ștefan Cristian & Stoica, Ovidiu, 2023. "The reaction of the financial market to the January 6 United States Capitol attack: An intraday study," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    14. Qi Liu & Lei Lu & Bo Sun & Hongjun Yan, 2015. "A Model of Anomaly Discovery," International Finance Discussion Papers 1128, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. syed, irfan, 2020. "A new framework of analysis of Political Risk in OECD Countries," MPRA Paper 102636, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Apr 2020.
    16. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2019. "Stock Market Reactions to Brexit: Case of Selected CEE and SEE Stock Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-14, January.
    17. Berk, Jonathan B. & van Binsbergen, Jules H., 2016. "Assessing asset pricing models using revealed preference," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 1-23.
    18. Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R. & Puri, Manju, 2015. "Capital allocation and delegation of decision-making authority within firms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 449-470.
    19. Ameet Kumar & Khalid Ahmed & Mujeeb‐u‐Rehman Bhayo & Muhammad Ramzan Kalhoro, 2023. "Banking performance and institutional quality: Evidence from dynamic panel data analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4717-4737, October.
    20. Jamie Alcock & Petra Andrlikova, 2018. "Asymmetric Dependence in Real Estate Investment Trusts: An Asset-Pricing Analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 183-216, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agrokor case; Zagreb Stock Exchange; economic and political events; abnormal return; non-parametric tests;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:iez:survey:ces-v21_1-2019_skrinjaric-orlovic. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Doris Banicevic (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/eizgghr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.