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戦後日本国内における経済収束と生産要素投入―ソロー成長モデルは適用できるか―, Regional Factor Inputs and Convergence in Japan -How Much Can We Apply Closed Economy Neoclassical Growth Models?-

Author

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  • Fukao, Kyoji
  • Yue, Ximing

Abstract

By compiling prefectural data of factor inputs, such as private and public capital stock, employment by education level and sex, and data of interprefectural factor movements, such as migration, private capital flows, government income transfers, we examined the mechanism of interregional convergence in Japan since 1955. We found that the convergence mechanism in Japan was completely different from that of closed economy neoclassical growth models. Through estimation of transcendental logarithmic production function, it is found that migration and active accumulation of public capital in rural areas were the main causes of the convergence. Catch-up in production technology and reduction of the human capital gap also contributed to the convergence., 戦後の日本では，変動係数，収束係数，いずれで見ても地域間所得格差が大幅に縮小した．本論文では，県別に，民間資本ストック，公的資本ストック，学歴別就業者数等の生産要素投入量と民間・政府貯蓄投資差額，人口の流出入，学歴別人口移動等の生産要素移動に関するデータを作成し，日本国内での経済収束の原因を詳細に分析した．その結果，Barro and Sala-i Martin (1992b) が十分な根拠なしに仮定したソロー成長モデルの収束メカニズムは日本国内の経済収束には当てはまらないことが判った．ソロー成長モデルで収束の鍵となる当初豊かな地域ほどその後の民間資本ストックの成長率が低いという関係は観察されなかった．我々はまた生産性の変化を考慮に入れたトランス・ログ生産関数を推定することにより，貧しい県による技術キャッチアップと以上のような各生産要素の投入変化が，それぞれどの程度経済収束に寄与したかを数量的に比較した．その結果，1955-73年の時期については貧しい県ほど公的資本労働比率と人的資本の成長率が高くまた就業人口の成長率が低かったことが収束に寄与し，技術のキャッチアップは収束にあまり寄与せず，民間資本の蓄積はむしろ格差を拡大する効果を持ったこと，1973年以降についてはそれまでの民間資本の蓄積が格差を拡大する効果が無くなる一方，就業人口の変化と技術のキャッチアップが収束に寄与したとの結果得た．

Suggested Citation

  • Fukao, Kyoji & Yue, Ximing, 2000. "戦後日本国内における経済収束と生産要素投入―ソロー成長モデルは適用できるか―, Regional Factor Inputs and Convergence in Japan -How Much Can We Apply Closed Economy Neoclassical Growth Models?-," Economic Review, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 51(2), pages 136-151, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:ecorev:v:51:y:2000:i:2:p:136-151
    DOI: 10.15057/21213
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    Cited by:

    1. Honma, Satoshi & Hu, Jin-Li, 2008. "Total-factor energy efficiency of regions in Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 821-833, February.
    2. Yamamura, Eiji, 2008. "Comparison of neighborhood trust between generations in a racially homogeneous society: A case study from Japan," MPRA Paper 10218, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Honma, Satoshi & Hu, Jin-Li, 2009. "Total-factor energy productivity growth of regions in Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 3941-3950, October.
    4. yamamura, eiji, 2008. "The influence of government size on economic growth and life satisfaction. A case study from Japan," MPRA Paper 10835, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Kyoji FUKAO & Tatsuji MAKINO, 2015. "Aging, Interregional Income Inequality, and Industrial Structure: An empirical analysis based on the R-JIP Database and the R-LTES Database," Discussion papers 15022, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    6. Akihiro Otsuka, 2024. "Regional convergence of total factor productivity in Japanese industries: evidence from the twenty-first century industry data," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 165-184, March.
    7. S. Managi, 2003. "Luenberger and Malmquist productivity indices in Japan, 1955-1995," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(9), pages 581-584.
    8. Higashikata, Takayuki, 2013. "Factor decomposition of income inequality change : Japan's regional income disparity from 1955 to 1998," IDE Discussion Papers 400, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    9. Yamamura, Eiji, 2011. "The role of social trust in reducing long-term truancy and forming human capital in Japan," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 380-389, April.
    10. Hirofumi Fukuyama & Atsuo Hashimoto & Kaoru Tone & William L. Weber, 2018. "Does human capital or physical capital constrain output in Japanese prefectures?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 379-393, March.
    11. Kameda, Keigo & Lu, Zhenkun & Fukui, Masaki, 2022. "Comparison of the productivity of public capital by project type: Central-government, subsidized-local, and unsubsidized-local projects in Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • N15 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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