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How COVID-19 Affected Portuguese Travel Intentions—A PLS-SEM Model

Author

Listed:
  • Eulália Santos

    (Higher School of Education and Social Sciences, CI&DEI, Polytechnic of Leiria, Campus 1, Rua Dr. João Soares, Apartado 4045, 2411-901 Leiria, Portugal)

  • Margarida Freitas Oliveira

    (CEOS.PP—Polo Coimbra (ISCAC) & Business Research Unit (BRU-IUL-ISCTE), Polytechnic Institute of Coimbra, Coimbra Business School, Quinta Agrícola—Bencanta, 3045-231 Coimbra, Portugal)

  • Fernando Oliveira Tavares

    (REMIT—Research on Economics, Management and Information Technologies, Department of Economics and Management, Universidade Portucalense, 4200-027 Porto, Portugal
    Instituto Superior Miguel Torga, Largo da Cruz de Celas No.1, 3000-132 Coimbra, Portugal)

Abstract

COVID-19 was a defining moment of the 21st century, causing major disruptions to tourism and global mobility. Travel patterns have changed significantly, influencing people’s perception of travel. This study aims to explore how COVID-19 affected the travel intentions of the Portuguese. The research is based on a questionnaire administered to 762 individuals, using structural equation modeling with partial least squares. In general, individuals have a reasonable perception of fear of the consequences of COVID-19, risk, and travel behavior and do not appear to have anxiety or fear of traveling. As for their intention to travel, they seem to have intentions. The results of this analysis demonstrate that fear of traveling, and travel behavior directly influence travel intentions and, indirectly, through fear of the consequences of COVID-19, anxiety, fear of traveling, and perceived travel risk. This study is particularly relevant for entities that manage and monitor the travel intentions of their clients and consumers, especially in the travel and tourism sector. It aims to more effectively meet the needs and desires of travelers, in addition to formulating strategies that promote the recovery of tourism in the post-pandemic period. The added value of research lies in its potential to guide strategic decision-making and policy formulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Eulália Santos & Margarida Freitas Oliveira & Fernando Oliveira Tavares, 2024. "How COVID-19 Affected Portuguese Travel Intentions—A PLS-SEM Model," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-15, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jtourh:v:5:y:2024:i:3:p:39-671:d:1438274
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Jian Ming Luo & Chi Fung Lam, 2020. "Travel Anxiety, Risk Attitude and Travel Intentions towards “Travel Bubble” Destinations in Hong Kong: Effect of the Fear of COVID-19," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-11, October.
    3. Brent D. Moyle & Char-lee Moyle & Alexandra Bec & Noel Scott, 2019. "The next frontier in tourism emotion research," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(12), pages 1393-1399, July.
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