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Extraction of Basic Features and Typical Operating Conditions of Wind Power Generation for Sustainable Energy Systems

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  • Yongtao Sun

    (The School of Mechanical Engineering, Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou 014010, China)

  • Qihui Yu

    (The School of Mechanical Engineering, Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou 014010, China)

  • Xinhao Wang

    (The School of Mechanical Engineering, Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou 014010, China)

  • Shengyu Gao

    (Guoneng Hebei Cangdong Power Generation Co., Ltd., Cangzhou 061113, China)

  • Guoxin Sun

    (The School of Mechanical Engineering, Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou 014010, China)

Abstract

Accurate extraction of representative operating conditions is crucial for optimizing systems in renewable energy applications. This study proposes a novel framework that combines the Parzen window estimation method, ideal for nonparametric modeling of wind, solar, and load datasets, with a game theory-based time scale selection mechanism. The novelty of this work lies in integrating probabilistic density modeling with multi-indicator evaluation to derive realistic operational profiles. We first validate the superiority of the Parzen window approach over traditional Weibull and Beta distributions in estimating wind and solar probability density functions. In addition, we analyze the influence of key meteorological parameters such as wind direction, temperature, and solar irradiance on energy production. Using three evaluation metrics, the main result shows that a 3-day representative time scale offers optimal accuracy when determined through game theory methods. Validation with real-world data from Inner Mongolia confirms the robustness of the proposed method, yielding low errors in wind, solar, and load profiles. This study contributes a novel 3-day typical profile extraction method validated on real meteorological data, providing a data-driven foundation for optimizing energy storage systems under renewable uncertainty. This framework supports energy sustainability by ensuring realistic modeling under renewable intermittency.

Suggested Citation

  • Yongtao Sun & Qihui Yu & Xinhao Wang & Shengyu Gao & Guoxin Sun, 2025. "Extraction of Basic Features and Typical Operating Conditions of Wind Power Generation for Sustainable Energy Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-21, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:14:p:6577-:d:1704740
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xinghua Wang & Fucheng Zhong & Yilin Xu & Xixian Liu & Zezhong Li & Jianan Liu & Zhuoli Zhao, 2023. "Extraction and Joint Method of PV–Load Typical Scenes Considering Temporal and Spatial Distribution Characteristics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-19, September.
    2. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    3. Yunus Yetis & Kambiz Tehrani & Mo Jamshidi, 2022. "Wind Speed Forecasting using Machine Learning Approach based on Meteorological Data-A case study," Energy and Environment Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(2), pages 1-11, December.
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