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Development of Model to Predict Natural Disaster-Induced Financial Losses for Construction Projects Using Deep Learning Techniques

Author

Listed:
  • Ji-Myong Kim

    (Department of Architectural Engineering, Mokpo National University, Mokpo 58554, Korea)

  • Junseo Bae

    (School of Computing, Engineering and Physical Sciences, University of the West of Scotland, Paisley PA1 2BE, UK)

  • Seunghyun Son

    (Department of Architectural Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Suwon 17104, Korea)

  • Kiyoung Son

    (School of Architectural Engineering, University of Ulsan, Ulsan 44610, Korea)

  • Sang-Guk Yum

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Gangneung 25457, Korea)

Abstract

This study goals to develop a model for predicting financial loss at construction sites using a deep learning algorithm to reduce and prevent the risk of financial loss at construction sites. Lately, as the construction of high-rise buildings and complex buildings increases and the scale of construction sites surges, the severity and frequency of accidents occurring at construction sites are swelling, and financial losses are also snowballing. Singularly, as natural disasters rise and construction projects in urban areas increase, the risk of financial loss for construction sites is mounting. Thus, a financial loss prediction model is desired to mitigate and manage the risk of such financial loss for maintainable and effective construction project management. This study reflects the financial loss incurred at the actual construction sites by collecting claim payout data from a major South Korean insurance company. A deep learning algorithm was presented in order to develop an objective and scientific prediction model. The results and framework of this study provide critical guidance on financial loss management necessary for sustainable and successful construction project management and can be used as a reference for various other construction project management studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ji-Myong Kim & Junseo Bae & Seunghyun Son & Kiyoung Son & Sang-Guk Yum, 2021. "Development of Model to Predict Natural Disaster-Induced Financial Losses for Construction Projects Using Deep Learning Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-12, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:9:p:5304-:d:551553
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chuk Kyo Kim, 2019. "Economic Development of Korea," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 11117.
    2. Toya, Hideki & Skidmore, Mark, 2007. "Economic development and the impacts of natural disasters," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 20-25, January.
    3. Ji-Myong Kim & Kiyoung Son & Sang-Guk Yum & Sungjin Ahn, 2020. "Analyzing the Risk of Safety Accidents: The Relative Risks of Migrant Workers in Construction Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-11, July.
    4. I Ben-David & T Raz, 2001. "An integrated approach for risk response development in project planning," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 52(1), pages 14-25, January.
    5. Eduardo Cavallo & Sebastian Galiani & Ilan Noy & Juan Pantano, 2013. "Catastrophic Natural Disasters and Economic Growth," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(5), pages 1549-1561, December.
    6. Ji-Myong Kim & Kag-Cheon Ha & Sungjin Ahn & Seunghyun Son & Kiyoung Son, 2020. "Quantifying the Third-Party Loss in Building Construction Sites Utilizing Claims Payouts: A Case Study in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Sungjin Ahn & Taehui Kim & Ji-Myong Kim, 2020. "Sustainable Risk Assessment through the Analysis of Financial Losses from Third-Party Damage in Bridge Construction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-15, April.
    8. Sang-Guk Yum & Sungjin Ahn & Junseo Bae & Ji-Myong Kim, 2020. "Assessing the Risk of Natural Disaster-Induced Losses to Tunnel-Construction Projects Using Empirical Financial-Loss Data from South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-15, September.
    9. Sang-Guk Yum & Ji-Myong Kim & Kiyoung Son, 2020. "Natural Hazard Influence Model of Maintenance and Repair Cost for Sustainable Accommodation Facilities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-11, June.
    10. Ji-Myong Kim & Taehui Kim & Kiyoung Son & Sang-Guk Yum & Sungjin Ahn, 2019. "Measuring Vulnerability of Typhoon in Residential Facilities: Focusing on Typhoon Maemi in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-11, May.
    11. Pengcheng Xiang & Fuyuan Jia & Xiaohui Li, 2018. "Critical Behavioral Risk Factors among Principal Participants in the Chinese Construction Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-22, September.
    12. Ji-Myong Kim & Taehui Kim & Sungjin Ahn, 2020. "Loss Assessment for Sustainable Industrial Infrastructure: Focusing on Bridge Construction and Financial Losses," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-16, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yin Junjia & Aidi Hizami Alias & Nuzul Azam Haron & Nabilah Abu Bakar, 2023. "A Bibliometric Review on Safety Risk Assessment of Construction Based on CiteSpace Software and WoS Database," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-24, August.

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