IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i16p8793-d609525.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effect of Climate Changes on Renewable Production in the Mediterranean Climate: Case Study of the Energy Retrofit for a Detached House

Author

Listed:
  • Rosa Francesca De Masi

    (DING-Department of Engineering, University of Sannio, 82100 Benevento, Italy)

  • Valentino Festa

    (DING-Department of Engineering, University of Sannio, 82100 Benevento, Italy)

  • Antonio Gigante

    (DING-Department of Engineering, University of Sannio, 82100 Benevento, Italy)

  • Margherita Mastellone

    (DII-Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Napoli Federico II, 80125 Napoli, Italy)

  • Silvia Ruggiero

    (DING-Department of Engineering, University of Sannio, 82100 Benevento, Italy)

  • Giuseppe Peter Vanoli

    (Department of Medicine and Health Sciences-Vincenzo Tiberio, University of Molise, 86100 Campobasso, Italy)

Abstract

One of the strategies of the European Green Deal is the increment of renewable integration in the civil sector and the mitigation of the impact of climate change. With a statistical and critical approach, the paper analyzes these aspects by means of a case study simulated in a cooling dominated climate. It consists of a single-family house representative of the 1980s Italian building stock. Starting from data monitored between 2015 and 2020, a weather file was built with different methodologies. The first objective was the evaluation of how the method for selecting the solar radiation influences the prevision of photovoltaic productivity. Then, a sensitivity analysis was developed, by means of modified weather files according to representative pathways defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report. The results indicate that the climate changes will bring an increment of photovoltaic productivity while the heating energy need will be reduced until 45% (e.g., in March) and the cooling energy need will be more than double compared with the current conditions. The traditional efficiency measures are not resilient because the increase of the cooling demand could be not balanced. The maximization of installed photovoltaic power is a solution for increasing the resilience. Indeed, going from 3.3 kW p to 6.9 kW p for the worst emission scenario, in a typical summer month (e.g., August), the self-consumption increases until 33% meanwhile the imported electricity passes from 28% to 17%.

Suggested Citation

  • Rosa Francesca De Masi & Valentino Festa & Antonio Gigante & Margherita Mastellone & Silvia Ruggiero & Giuseppe Peter Vanoli, 2021. "Effect of Climate Changes on Renewable Production in the Mediterranean Climate: Case Study of the Energy Retrofit for a Detached House," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-28, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:16:p:8793-:d:609525
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/16/8793/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/16/8793/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luka Pajek & Mitja Košir, 2021. "Exploring Climate-Change Impacts on Energy Efficiency and Overheating Vulnerability of Bioclimatic Residential Buildings under Central European Climate," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
    2. Ayikoe Tettey, Uniben Yao & Gustavsson, Leif, 2020. "Energy savings and overheating risk of deep energy renovation of a multi-storey residential building in a cold climate under climate change," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    3. Hamed Yassaghi & Simi Hoque, 2021. "Impact Assessment in the Process of Propagating Climate Change Uncertainties into Building Energy Use," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-27, January.
    4. Reimuth, Andrea & Locherer, Veronika & Danner, Martin & Mauser, Wolfram, 2020. "How do changes in climate and consumption loads affect residential PV coupled battery energy systems?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    5. Ballarini, Ilaria & Corgnati, Stefano Paolo & Corrado, Vincenzo, 2014. "Use of reference buildings to assess the energy saving potentials of the residential building stock: The experience of TABULA project," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 273-284.
    6. Lucía Pereira-Ruchansky & Alexis Pérez-Fargallo, 2020. "Integrated Analysis of Energy Saving and Thermal Comfort of Retrofits in Social Housing under Climate Change Influence in Uruguay," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-22, June.
    7. Lingjun Hao & Daniel Herrera-Avellanosa & Claudio Del Pero & Alexandra Troi, 2020. "What Are the Implications of Climate Change for Retrofitted Historic Buildings? A Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.
    8. Ma Katrina Rañeses & Alice Chang-Richards & Kevin I-Kai Wang & Kim Natasha Dirks, 2021. "Housing for Now and the Future: A Systematic Review of Climate-Adaptive Measures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-20, June.
    9. Elena Cantatore & Fabio Fatiguso, 2021. "An Energy-Resilient Retrofit Methodology to Climate Change for Historic Districts. Application in the Mediterranean Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-32, January.
    10. Cristina Baglivo, 2021. "Dynamic Evaluation of the Effects of Climate Change on the Energy Renovation of a School in a Mediterranean Climate," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-22, June.
    11. Muhammad Suleman Bacha & Muhammad Muhammad & Zeyneb Kılıç & Muhammad Nafees, 2021. "The Dynamics of Public Perceptions and Climate Change in Swat Valley, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-22, April.
    12. Yang, Yuchen & Javanroodi, Kavan & Nik, Vahid M., 2021. "Climate change and energy performance of European residential building stocks – A comprehensive impact assessment using climate big data from the coordinated regional climate downscaling experiment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    13. S. Soutullo & E. Giancola & M. J. Jiménez & J. A. Ferrer & M. N. Sánchez, 2020. "How Climate Trends Impact on the Thermal Performance of a Typical Residential Building in Madrid," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-21, January.
    14. Khalil, Samy A. & Shaffie, A.M., 2013. "A comparative study of total, direct and diffuse solar irradiance by using different models on horizontal and inclined surfaces for Cairo, Egypt," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 853-863.
    15. Berardi, Umberto & Jafarpur, Pouriya, 2020. "Assessing the impact of climate change on building heating and cooling energy demand in Canada," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    16. Virgilio Ciancio & Serena Falasca & Iacopo Golasi & Pieter de Wilde & Massimo Coppi & Livio de Santoli & Ferdinando Salata, 2019. "Resilience of a Building to Future Climate Conditions in Three European Cities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-15, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Manzan Marco & Atlas Ramezani & Alex Buoite Stella & Amedeo Pezzi, 2023. "Climate Change and Building Renovation: Effects on Energy Consumption and Internal Comfort in a Social Housing Building in Northern Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-14, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sánchez, M.N. & Soutullo, S. & Olmedo, R. & Bravo, D. & Castaño, S. & Jiménez, M.J., 2020. "An experimental methodology to assess the climate impact on the energy performance of buildings: A ten-year evaluation in temperate and cold desert areas," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    2. Ahsan Waqar & Idris Othman & Nasir Shafiq & Hasim Altan & Bertug Ozarisoy, 2023. "Modeling the Effect of Overcoming the Barriers to Passive Design Implementation on Project Sustainability Building Success: A Structural Equation Modeling Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-26, June.
    3. Cristina Baglivo, 2021. "Dynamic Evaluation of the Effects of Climate Change on the Energy Renovation of a School in a Mediterranean Climate," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-22, June.
    4. De Masi, Rosa Francesca & Gigante, Antonio & Ruggiero, Silvia & Vanoli, Giuseppe Peter, 2021. "Impact of weather data and climate change projections in the refurbishment design of residential buildings in cooling dominated climate," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    5. Gianmarco Fajilla & Emiliano Borri & Marilena De Simone & Luisa F. Cabeza & Luís Bragança, 2021. "Effect of Climate Change and Occupant Behaviour on the Environmental Impact of the Heating and Cooling Systems of a Real Apartment. A Parametric Study through Life Cycle Assessment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-21, December.
    6. Gianmarco Fajilla & Marilena De Simone & Luisa F. Cabeza & Luís Bragança, 2020. "Assessment of the Impact of Occupants’ Behavior and Climate Change on Heating and Cooling Energy Needs of Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-18, December.
    7. Luka Pajek & Mitja Košir, 2021. "Exploring Climate-Change Impacts on Energy Efficiency and Overheating Vulnerability of Bioclimatic Residential Buildings under Central European Climate," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
    8. Zoe Mayer & Julia Heuer & Rebekka Volk & Frank Schultmann, 2021. "Aerial Thermographic Image-Based Assessment of Thermal Bridges Using Representative Classifications and Calculations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-43, November.
    9. Piotr Michalak, 2021. "Modelling of Solar Irradiance Incident on Building Envelopes in Polish Climatic Conditions: The Impact on Energy Performance Indicators of Residential Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-27, July.
    10. Bell, N.O. & Bilbao, J.I. & Kay, M. & Sproul, A.B., 2022. "Future climate scenarios and their impact on heating, ventilation and air-conditioning system design and performance for commercial buildings for 2050," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    11. Roberta Pernetti & Riccardo Pinotti & Roberto Lollini, 2021. "Repository of Deep Renovation Packages Based on Industrialized Solutions: Definition and Application," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, June.
    12. Becchio, Cristina & Bottero, Marta Carla & Corgnati, Stefano Paolo & Dell’Anna, Federico, 2018. "Decision making for sustainable urban energy planning: an integrated evaluation framework of alternative solutions for a NZED (Net Zero-Energy District) in Turin," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 803-817.
    13. Solène Goy & François Maréchal & Donal Finn, 2020. "Data for Urban Scale Building Energy Modelling: Assessing Impacts and Overcoming Availability Challenges," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-23, August.
    14. Besagni, Giorgio & Premoli Vilà, Lidia & Borgarello, Marco & Trabucchi, Andrea & Merlo, Marco & Rodeschini, Jacopo & Finazzi, Francesco, 2021. "Electrification pathways of the Italian residential sector under socio-demographic constrains: Looking towards 2040," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    15. Langevin, J. & Reyna, J.L. & Ebrahimigharehbaghi, S. & Sandberg, N. & Fennell, P. & Nägeli, C. & Laverge, J. & Delghust, M. & Mata, É. & Van Hove, M. & Webster, J. & Federico, F. & Jakob, M. & Camaras, 2020. "Developing a common approach for classifying building stock energy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    16. Hanan S.S. Ibrahim & Ahmed Z. Khan & Shady Attia & Yehya Serag, 2021. "Classification of Heritage Residential Building Stock and Defining Sustainable Retrofitting Scenarios in Khedivial Cairo," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-26, January.
    17. Jamil, Basharat & Akhtar, Naiem, 2017. "Comparison of empirical models to estimate monthly mean diffuse solar radiation from measured data: Case study for humid-subtropical climatic region of India," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1326-1342.
    18. Baglivo, Cristina & Congedo, Paolo Maria & D'Agostino, Delia & Zacà, Ilaria, 2015. "Cost-optimal analysis and technical comparison between standard and high efficient mono-residential buildings in a warm climate," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 560-575.
    19. Belén Onecha & Alicia Dotor, 2021. "Simulation Method to Assess Thermal Comfort in Historical Buildings with High-Volume Interior Spaces—The Case of the Gothic Basilica of Sta. Maria del Mar in Barcelona," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-20, March.
    20. Shengyuan Guo & Wanjiang Wang & Yihuan Zhou, 2022. "Research on Energy Saving and Economy of Old Buildings Based on Parametric Design: A Case Study of a Hospital in Linyi City, Shandong Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-20, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:16:p:8793-:d:609525. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.