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Estimating Changes in Habitat Quality through Land-Use Predictions: Case Study of Roe Deer ( Capreolus pygargus tianschanicus ) in Jeju Island

Author

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  • Dong-jin Lee

    (Division of Environmental Science & Ecological Engineering, Korea University, 145 Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Korea)

  • Seong Woo Jeon

    (Division of Environmental Science & Ecological Engineering, Korea University, 145 Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Korea)

Abstract

This study predicts future land-use changes and the resulting changes in habitat quality, suggesting a method for establishing land-use management to ensure sustainable wildlife habitats. The conservation effects were verified in terms of wild animal habitat quality according to the designation of protected areas. Land-use change until 2050 was predicted using the Dyna-Conversion of Land Use Change and its effects (Dyna-CLUE) model for Jeju Island, Korea, and the change in the quality of roe deer habitats was predicted using the Integrated Valuation and Environmental Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model. Results indicate that, compared to 2030, urbanized area increased by 42.55 km 2 , farmland decreased by 81.36 km 2 , and natural area increased by 38.82 km 2 by 2050. The average habitat quality on Jeju Island was predicted to decrease from 0.306 in 2030 to 0.303 in 2050. The average habitat quality ranged from 0.477 in 2030 to 0.476 in 2050 in protected areas and 0.281 in 2030 to 0.278 in 2050 outside protected areas. Habitat quality in protected areas was relatively high, and its reduction was limited. Areas with lower habitat quality need approaches such as expanding greenery and improving its quality. By establishing appropriate land-use plans by predicting habitat quality, wildlife habitats can be better maintained and protected, which is a primary goal of green infrastructure.

Suggested Citation

  • Dong-jin Lee & Seong Woo Jeon, 2020. "Estimating Changes in Habitat Quality through Land-Use Predictions: Case Study of Roe Deer ( Capreolus pygargus tianschanicus ) in Jeju Island," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-18, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:23:p:10123-:d:456717
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hyun-Jung Hong & Choong-Ki Kim & Hyun-Woo Lee & Woo-Kyun Lee, 2021. "Conservation, Restoration, and Sustainable Use of Biodiversity Based on Habitat Quality Monitoring: A Case Study on Jeju Island, South Korea (1989–2019)," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-15, July.
    2. Pengnan Xiao & Yong Zhou & Mengyao Li & Jie Xu, 2023. "Spatiotemporal patterns of habitat quality and its topographic gradient effects of Hubei Province based on the InVEST model," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 6419-6448, July.

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