IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v12y2020i17p6928-d404211.html

‘Rapid Scenario Planning’ to Support a Regional Sustainability Transformation Vision: A Case Study from Blekinge, Sweden

Author

Listed:
  • Giles Thomson

    (Department of Strategic Sustainable Development, Blekinge Institute of Technology (BTH), 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden)

  • Henrik Ny

    (Department of Strategic Sustainable Development, Blekinge Institute of Technology (BTH), 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden)

  • Varvara Nikulina

    (Department of Strategic Sustainable Development, Blekinge Institute of Technology (BTH), 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden)

  • Sven Borén

    (Department of Strategic Sustainable Development, Blekinge Institute of Technology (BTH), 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden)

  • James Ayers

    (Department of Strategic Sustainable Development, Blekinge Institute of Technology (BTH), 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden)

  • Jayne Bryant

    (Department of Strategic Sustainable Development, Blekinge Institute of Technology (BTH), 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden)

Abstract

This paper presents a case study of a transdisciplinary scenario planning workshop that was designed to link global challenges to local governance. The workshop was held to improve stakeholder integration and explore scenarios for a regional planning project (to 2050) in Blekinge, Sweden. Scenario planning and transdisciplinary practices are often disregarded by practitioners due to the perception of onerous resource requirements, however, this paper describes a ‘rapid scenario planning’ process that was designed to be agile and time-efficient, requiring the 43 participants from 13 stakeholder organizations to gather only for one day. The process was designed to create an environment whereby stakeholders could learn from, and with, each other and use their expert knowledge to inform the scenario process. The Framework for Strategic Sustainable Development (FSSD) was used to structure and focus the scenario planning exercise and its subsequent recommendations. The process was evaluated through a workshop participant survey and post-workshop evaluative interview with the regional government project manager to indicate the effectiveness of the approach. The paper closes with a summary of findings which will support those wishing to conduct similar rapid scenario planning exercises to inform policy planning for complex systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Giles Thomson & Henrik Ny & Varvara Nikulina & Sven Borén & James Ayers & Jayne Bryant, 2020. "‘Rapid Scenario Planning’ to Support a Regional Sustainability Transformation Vision: A Case Study from Blekinge, Sweden," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-26, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:17:p:6928-:d:404211
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/17/6928/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/17/6928/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Meike Levin-Keitel & Tanja Mölders & Frank Othengrafen & Jens Ibendorf, 2018. "Sustainability Transitions and the Spatial Interface: Developing Conceptual Perspectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-15, June.
    2. Frank Othengrafen & Meike Levin-Keitel, 2019. "Planners between the Chairs: How Planners (Do Not) Adapt to Transformative Practices," Urban Planning, Cogitatio Press, vol. 4(4), pages 111-138.
    3. Kroll, Christian & Zipperer, Vera, 2020. "Sustainable Development and Populism," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 176, pages 106723-1067.
    4. Varvara Nikulina & David Simon & Henrik Ny & Henrikke Baumann, 2019. "Context-Adapted Urban Planning for Rapid Transitioning of Personal Mobility towards Sustainability: A Systematic Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-37, February.
    5. Kelly Levin & Benjamin Cashore & Steven Bernstein & Graeme Auld, 2012. "Overcoming the tragedy of super wicked problems: constraining our future selves to ameliorate global climate change," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 45(2), pages 123-152, June.
    6. Upham, Paul & Carney, Sebastian & Klapper, Rita, 2014. "Scaffolding, software and scenarios: Applying Bruner's learning theory to energy scenario development with the public," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 131-142.
    7. L.J. Bracken & H.A. Bulkeley & G. Whitman, 2015. "Transdisciplinary research: understanding the stakeholder perspective," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(7), pages 1291-1308, July.
    8. Uri Avin & Robert Goodspeed, 2020. "Using Exploratory Scenarios in Planning Practice," Journal of the American Planning Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 86(4), pages 403-416, October.
    9. Arnab Chakraborty & Andrew McMillan, 2015. "Scenario Planning for Urban Planners: Toward a Practitioner's Guide," Journal of the American Planning Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 81(1), pages 18-29, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Javier García López & Raffaele Sisto & Javier Benayas & Álvaro de Juanes & Julio Lumbreras & Carlos Mataix, 2021. "Assessment of the Results and Methodology of the Sustainable Development Index for Spanish Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-29, June.
    2. Hamish van der Ven & Yixian Sun, 2021. "Varieties of Crises: Comparing the Politics of COVID-19 and Climate Change," Global Environmental Politics, MIT Press, vol. 21(1), pages 13-22, Winter.
    3. Sandra Waddock, 2019. "Shaping the Shift: Shamanic Leadership, Memes, and Transformation," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 155(4), pages 931-939, April.
    4. Daniel Hoehn & María Margallo & Jara Laso & Israel Ruiz-Salmón & Laura Batlle-Bayer & Alba Bala & Pere Fullana-i-Palmer & Rubén Aldaco, 2021. "A Novel Composite Index for the Development of Decentralized Food Production, Food Loss, and Waste Management Policies: A Water-Climate-Food Nexus Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-14, March.
    5. Yoon‐Hee Ha & John Byrne, 2019. "The rise and fall of green growth: Korea's energy sector experiment and its lessons for sustainable energy policy," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(4), July.
    6. Landon Yoder & Alora Cain & Ananya Rao & Nathaniel Geiger & Ben Kravitz & Mack Mercer & Deidra Miniard & Sangeet Nepal & Thomas Nunn & Mary Sluder & Grace Weiler & Shahzeen Z. Attari, 2024. "Muddling through Climate Change: A Qualitative Exploration of India and U.S. Climate Experts’ Perspectives on Solutions, Pathways, and Barriers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-20, June.
    7. Ana Luiza Fontenelle & Erik Nilsson & Ieda Geriberto Hidalgo & Cintia B. Uvo & Drielli Peyerl, 2022. "Temporal Understanding of the Water–Energy Nexus: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-21, April.
    8. Josep Lloret & Rafael Abós-Herràndiz & Sílvia Alemany & Rosario Allué & Joan Bartra & Maria Basagaña & Elisa Berdalet & Mònica Campàs & Arnau Carreño & Montserrat Demestre & Jorge Diogène & Eva Fontde, 2020. "The Roses Ocean and Human Health Chair: A New Way to Engage the Public in Oceans and Human Health Challenges," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-19, July.
    9. Jan Anton van Zanten & Rob van Tulder, 2020. "Beyond COVID-19: Applying “SDG logics” for resilient transformations," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 3(4), pages 451-464, December.
    10. Frans Sengers & Bruno Turnheim & Frans Berkhout, 2021. "Beyond experiments: Embedding outcomes in climate governance," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 39(6), pages 1148-1171, September.
    11. Kreitmair, Ursula & Bower-Bir, Jacob, 2021. "Too different to solve climate change? Experimental evidence on the effects of production and benefit heterogeneity on collective action," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    12. Andrew S. Mitchell & Mark Lemon & Wim Lambrechts, 2020. "Learning from the Anthropocene: Adaptive Epistemology and Complexity in Strategic Managerial Thinking," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-16, May.
    13. Marcellus Forh Mbah & Chidi Ezegwu, 2024. "The Decolonisation of Climate Change and Environmental Education in Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-25, April.
    14. Dino Pitoski & Thomas J. Lampoltshammer & Peter Parycek, 2021. "Drivers of Human Migration: A Review of Scientific Evidence," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, January.
    15. Seán Schmitz & Sophia Becker & Laura Weiand & Norman Niehoff & Frank Schwartzbach & Erika von Schneidemesser, 2019. "Determinants of Public Acceptance for Traffic-Reducing Policies to Improve Urban Air Quality," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-16, July.
    16. repec:osf:osfxxx:6ewmu_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Held, Martin, 2022. "Spatial transformation: An introduction to the Great Transformation towards sustainability," Forschungsberichte der ARL: Aufsätze, in: Spatial transformation: Processes, strategies, research design, volume 19, pages 27-49, ARL – Akademie für Raumentwicklung in der Leibniz-Gemeinschaft.
    18. Domenico Dentoni & Verena Bitzer & Greetje Schouten, 2018. "Harnessing Wicked Problems in Multi-stakeholder Partnerships," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 150(2), pages 333-356, June.
    19. Artur Pawłowski & Paweł Rydzewski, 2024. "Pathways to Carbon Neutrality: Integrating Energy Strategies, Policy, and Public Perception in the Face of Climate Change—A Global Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-31, November.
    20. Eriksen, Siri & Schipper, E. Lisa F. & Scoville-Simonds, Morgan & Vincent, Katharine & Adam, Hans Nicolai & Brooks, Nick & Harding, Brian & Khatri, Dil & Lenaerts, Lutgart & Liverman, Diana & Mills-No, 2021. "Adaptation interventions and their effect on vulnerability in developing countries: Help, hindrance or irrelevance?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    21. Ville-Pekka Niskanen & Mikko Rask & Harri Raisio, 2021. "Wicked Problems in Africa: A Systematic Literature Review," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:17:p:6928-:d:404211. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.