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Comparative Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms in the Prediction of Indoor Daylight Illuminances

Author

Listed:
  • Jack Ngarambe

    (Department of Architectural Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Yongin 17104, Korea)

  • Amina Irakoze

    (Department of Architectural Engineering, University of Ulsan, Ulsan 44610, Korea)

  • Geun Young Yun

    (Department of Architectural Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Yongin 17104, Korea)

  • Gon Kim

    (Department of Architectural Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Yongin 17104, Korea)

Abstract

The performance of machine learning (ML) algorithms depends on the nature of the problem at hand. ML-based modeling, therefore, should employ suitable algorithms where optimum results are desired. The purpose of the current study was to explore the potential applications of ML algorithms in modeling daylight in indoor spaces and ultimately identify the optimum algorithm. We thus developed and compared the performance of four common ML algorithms: generalized linear models, deep neural networks, random forest, and gradient boosting models in predicting the distribution of indoor daylight illuminances. We found that deep neural networks, which showed a determination of coefficient (R 2 ) of 0.99, outperformed the other algorithms. Additionally, we explored the use of long short-term memory to forecast the distribution of daylight at a particular future time. Our results show that long short-term memory is accurate and reliable (R 2 = 0.92). Our findings provide a basis for discussions on ML algorithms’ use in modeling daylight in indoor spaces, which may ultimately result in efficient tools for estimating daylight performance in the primary stages of building design and daylight control schemes for energy efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Jack Ngarambe & Amina Irakoze & Geun Young Yun & Gon Kim, 2020. "Comparative Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms in the Prediction of Indoor Daylight Illuminances," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-22, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:11:p:4471-:d:365768
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yu, Xu & Su, Yuehong, 2015. "Daylight availability assessment and its potential energy saving estimation –A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 494-503.
    2. Jakica, Nebojsa, 2018. "State-of-the-art review of solar design tools and methods for assessing daylighting and solar potential for building-integrated photovoltaics," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1296-1328.
    3. Gérard Biau & Erwan Scornet, 2016. "A random forest guided tour," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 25(2), pages 197-227, June.
    4. Zomorodian, Zahra S. & Tahsildoost, Mohammad, 2019. "Assessing the effectiveness of dynamic metrics in predicting daylight availability and visual comfort in classrooms," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 669-680.
    5. Gérard Biau & Erwan Scornet, 2016. "Rejoinder on: A random forest guided tour," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 25(2), pages 264-268, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Amini Toosi, Hashem & Del Pero, Claudio & Leonforte, Fabrizio & Lavagna, Monica & Aste, Niccolò, 2023. "Machine learning for performance prediction in smart buildings: Photovoltaic self-consumption and life cycle cost optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).

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