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Analysis of Emergency Evacuation Modal Choice Behavior with Spatial Indicators: Case Study in Xi’an, China

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  • Zhihao Duan

    (College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)

  • Jinliang Xu

    (College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)

  • Han Ru

    (College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)

  • Yaping Dong

    (College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)

  • Xingliang Liu

    (College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China)

Abstract

To reduce the impact of a natural or man-made disaster, an evacuation is often implemented to transfer the population in the potentially impacted area to a safe zone. Evacuation is an effective measure for dealing with emergency events. This paper presents a multinomial logit model for modal choice behavior in a short-notice emergency evacuation, which incorporates spatial indicators into the utility function. The study examined the determinants of evacuees’ modal choice for three evacuation distances and analyzed determinants impacting the mechanism of the modal choice decision process. The data collected in Xi’an was used to provide empirical evidence for the relationship between spatial indicators and modal choice behavior. The findings of this study will help emergency planners and policy-makers develop strategies for evacuation planning and will enable a better understanding of emergency modal choice behaviors.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhihao Duan & Jinliang Xu & Han Ru & Yaping Dong & Xingliang Liu, 2019. "Analysis of Emergency Evacuation Modal Choice Behavior with Spatial Indicators: Case Study in Xi’an, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:24:p:7023-:d:295693
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Hector R. Lim & Ma. Bernadeth B. Lim & Mongkut Piantanakulchai, 2016. "Determinants of household flood evacuation mode choice in a developing country," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 507-532, October.
    3. Shi An & Ze Wang & Jianxun Cui, 2015. "Integrating Regret Psychology to Travel Mode Choice for a Transit-Oriented Evacuation Strategy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(7), pages 1-16, June.
    4. Astrid De Witte & Joachim Hollevoet & Frédéric Dobruszkes & Michel Hubert & Cathy Macharis, 2013. "Linking modal choice to motility: a comprehensive review," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/138176, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
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    1. Hector R. Lim & Ma. Bernadeth B. Lim & Ann Wendy M. Rojas, 2022. "Towards modelling of evacuation behavior and planning for emergency logistics due to the Philippine Taal Volcanic eruption in 2020," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(1), pages 553-581, October.

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