IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v13y2025i12p1974-d1679513.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk Measure Examination for Large Losses

Author

Listed:
  • Miwaka Yamashita

    (Faculty of Business Administration, Toyo University, Tokyo 112-8606, Japan)

Abstract

The risk measures such as value at risk, and conditional values at risk do not always account for the sensitivity of large losses with certainty, as large losses often break the homogeneity especially seen in an illiquidity risk. In this study, we examine the characteristics of large-loss sensitivity more holistically, including small probability, within the framework of risk measures. The analysis incorporates the certainty equivalent, generation of the optimal certainty equivalent formulation, divergence utility, and general utility functions in their original form, and their relationship with expectiles and elicitability. The discussion provides a summary in the understanding of risk measure status and sensitivity involving small probably cases. Additionally, we evaluate large-loss sensitivity in risk-sharing scenarios using the convex conjugation of the divergence utility. By clarifying the conditions affecting large-loss sensitivity, the findings highlight the limitations of existing risk measures and suggest directions for future improvement. Furthermore, these insights contribute to enhancing the stability of risk-sharing business models.

Suggested Citation

  • Miwaka Yamashita, 2025. "Risk Measure Examination for Large Losses," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-15, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:12:p:1974-:d:1679513
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/12/1974/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/12/1974/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Knut Aase, 2002. "Perspectives of Risk Sharing," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2002(2), pages 73-128.
    2. Jessica Martin & Stéphane Villeneuve, 2023. "Risk-sharing and optimal contracts with large exogenous risks," Post-Print hal-04164688, HAL.
    3. Fissler, Tobias & Pesenti, Silvana M., 2023. "Sensitivity measures based on scoring functions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 307(3), pages 1408-1423.
    4. Shereen J. Chaudhry & Michael Hand & Howard Kunreuther, 2020. "Broad bracketing for low probability events," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 211-244, December.
    5. Ikefuji, Masako & Laeven, Roger J.A. & Magnus, Jan R. & Muris, Chris, 2020. "Expected utility and catastrophic risk in a stochastic economy–climate model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 110-129.
    6. Sarah Bensalem & Nicolás Hernández-Santibáñez & Nabil Kazi-Tani, 2023. "A continuous-time model of self-protection," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 503-537, April.
    7. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2021. "Risk sharing under the dominant peer‐to‐peer property and casualty insurance business models," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2021020, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    8. Aharon Ben‐Tal & Marc Teboulle, 2007. "An Old‐New Concept Of Convex Risk Measures: The Optimized Certainty Equivalent," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(3), pages 449-476, July.
    9. Tim J. Boonen & Wing Fung Chong & Mario Ghossoub, 2024. "Pareto‐efficient risk sharing in centralized insurance markets with application to flood risk," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 91(2), pages 449-488, June.
    10. Christopher W. Miller & Insoon Yang, 2015. "Optimal Control of Conditional Value-at-Risk in Continuous Time," Papers 1512.05015, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2017.
    11. Shereen J. Chaudhry & Michael Hand & Howard Kunreuther, 2020. "Broad Bracketing for Low Probability Events," NBER Working Papers 27319, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Fabio Maccheroni & Massimo Marinacci & Aldo Rustichini, 2006. "Ambiguity Aversion, Robustness, and the Variational Representation of Preferences," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(6), pages 1447-1498, November.
    13. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2020. "Large-Loss Behavior of Conditional Mean Risk Sharing," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2020021, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    14. Daniel Lacker, 2018. "Liquidity, Risk Measures, and Concentration of Measure," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 43(3), pages 813-837, August.
    15. Michel Denuit & Christian Y. Robert, 2021. "Risk sharing under the dominant peer‐to‐peer property and casualty insurance business models," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 24(2), pages 181-205, June.
    16. Gneiting, Tilmann & Raftery, Adrian E., 2007. "Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 102, pages 359-378, March.
    17. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2021. "Risk sharing under the dominant peer-to-peer property and casualty insurance business models," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2021001, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    18. Jessica Martin & Stéphane Villeneuve, 2023. "Risk-sharing and optimal contracts with large exogenous risks," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 46(1), pages 1-43, June.
    19. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2021. "From risk sharing to pure premium for a large number of heterogeneous losses," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 116-126.
    20. Newey, Whitney K & Powell, James L, 1987. "Asymmetric Least Squares Estimation and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(4), pages 819-847, July.
    21. Michel Denuit & Christian Y. Robert, 2021. "Risk sharing under the dominant peer‐to‐peer property and casualty insurance business models," Post-Print hal-04854617, HAL.
    22. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2021. "From risk sharing to pure premium for a large number of heterogeneous losses," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2021001, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    23. Paul Embrechts & Tiantian Mao & Qiuqi Wang & Ruodu Wang, 2021. "Bayes risk, elicitability, and the Expected Shortfall," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1190-1217, October.
    24. Tolulope Fadina & Yang Liu & Ruodu Wang, 2024. "A framework for measures of risk under uncertainty," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 363-390, April.
    25. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2020. "Large-Loss Behavior Of Conditional Mean Risk Sharing," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(3), pages 1093-1122, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Michel Denuit & Jan Dhaene & Christian Y. Robert, 2022. "Risk‐sharing rules and their properties, with applications to peer‐to‐peer insurance," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 89(3), pages 615-667, September.
    2. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2023. "From risk reduction to risk elimination by conditional mean risk sharing of independent losses," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 46-59.
    3. Feng, Runhuan & Liu, Ming & Zhang, Ning, 2024. "A unified theory of decentralized insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 157-178.
    4. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2023. "Endowment contingency funds for mutual aid and public financing," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2023009, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    5. Fallou Niakh, 2023. "A fixed point approach for computing actuarially fair Pareto optimal risk-sharing rules," Papers 2303.05421, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    6. Blier-Wong, Christopher & Cossette, Hélène & Marceau, Etienne, 2025. "Efficient evaluation of risk allocations," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 119-136.
    7. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2021. "Stop-loss protection for a large P2P insurance pool," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 210-233.
    8. Qinyu Wu & Fan Yang & Ping Zhang, 2023. "Conditional generalized quantiles based on expected utility model and equivalent characterization of properties," Papers 2301.12420, arXiv.org.
    9. Yuanying Guan & Zhanyi Jiao & Ruodu Wang, 2022. "A reverse ES (CVaR) optimization formula," Papers 2203.02599, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    10. Shanyu Han & Yang Liu & Xiang Yu, 2025. "Risk-sensitive Reinforcement Learning Based on Convex Scoring Functions," Papers 2505.04553, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
    11. Tobias Fissler & Fangda Liu & Ruodu Wang & Linxiao Wei, 2024. "Elicitability and identifiability of tail risk measures," Papers 2404.14136, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    12. Denuit, Michel & Hieber, Peter & Robert, Christian Y., 2021. "Mortality credits within large survivor funds," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2021038, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    13. Blier-Wong, Christopher & Cossette, Hélène & Marceau, Etienne, 2023. "Risk aggregation with FGM copulas," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 102-120.
    14. Guanyu Jin & Roger J. A. Laeven & Dick den Hertog & Aharon Ben-Tal, 2024. "Constructing Uncertainty Sets for Robust Risk Measures: A Composition of $\phi$-Divergences Approach to Combat Tail Uncertainty," Papers 2412.05234, arXiv.org.
    15. Denuit, Michel & Robert, Christian Y., 2021. "Efron’s asymptotic monotonicity property in the Gaussian stable domain of attraction," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    16. Bellini, Fabio & Klar, Bernhard & Müller, Alfred & Rosazza Gianin, Emanuela, 2014. "Generalized quantiles as risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 41-48.
    17. Daniel Bartl & Samuel Drapeau & Ludovic Tangpi, 2017. "Computational aspects of robust optimized certainty equivalents and option pricing," Papers 1706.10186, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
    18. Lili Tan & Feng Yang & Xingwei Li & Xiaomin Zhang, 2025. "Does a strict COVID-19 lockdown policy change risk attitudes? Evidence from a bordering town, Gengma, in Yunnan Province, China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    19. Dan A. Iancu & Marek Petrik & Dharmashankar Subramanian, 2015. "Tight Approximations of Dynamic Risk Measures," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 40(3), pages 655-682, March.
    20. Michel Denuit & Christian Y. Robert, 2021. "Risk sharing under the dominant peer‐to‐peer property and casualty insurance business models," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 24(2), pages 181-205, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:12:p:1974-:d:1679513. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.