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Assessment and Estimation of the Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Landscape Patterns and Their Impact on Habitat Quality in Nanchang, China

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  • Yanan Li

    (Research Center of Geological Resource Economics and Management, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China
    Faculty of Geomatics, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China
    Key Laboratory of Mine Environmental Monitoring and Improving around Poyang Lake, Ministry of Natural Resources, Nanchang 330013, China)

  • Linghua Duo

    (Research Center of Geological Resource Economics and Management, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China
    Faculty of Geomatics, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China
    Key Laboratory of Mine Environmental Monitoring and Improving around Poyang Lake, Ministry of Natural Resources, Nanchang 330013, China)

  • Ming Zhang

    (Faculty of Geomatics, East China University of Technology, Nanchang 330013, China)

  • Zhenhua Wu

    (School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Yanjun Guan

    (School of Land Science and Technology, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China)

Abstract

Assessing and predicting the evolution of habitat quality based on land use change under the process of urbanization is important for establishing a comprehensive ecological planning system and addressing the major challenges of global sustainable development. Here, two different prediction models were used to simulate the land use changes in 2025 based on the land use distribution data of Nanchang city in three periods and integrated into the habitat quality assessment model to specifically evaluate the trends and characteristics of future habitat quality changes, explore the impact of landscape pattern evolution on habitat, and analyze the differences and advantages of the two prediction models. The results show that the overall habitat quality in Nanchang declined significantly during the period 1995–2015. Habitat degradation near cities and in various watersheds is relatively significant. During the period 2015–2025, the landscape pattern and habitat quality of Nanchang will continue to maintain the trend of changes observed between 1995 and 2015, i.e., increasing construction land and decreasing habitat quality, with high pressure on ecological restoration. This study also identified that CA-Markov simulates the quantity of land use better, while FLUS simulates the spatial pattern of land use better. Overall, this study provides a reference for exploring the complex dynamic evolution mechanism of habitats.

Suggested Citation

  • Yanan Li & Linghua Duo & Ming Zhang & Zhenhua Wu & Yanjun Guan, 2021. "Assessment and Estimation of the Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Landscape Patterns and Their Impact on Habitat Quality in Nanchang, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-19, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:10:y:2021:i:10:p:1073-:d:654012
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    2. Xiang Li & Zhaoshun Liu & Shujie Li & Yingxue Li, 2022. "Multi-Scenario Simulation Analysis of Land Use Impacts on Habitat Quality in Tianjin Based on the PLUS Model Coupled with the InVEST Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, June.
    3. Xinyi Wang & Fenzhen Su & Fengqin Yan & Xinjia Zhang & Xuege Wang, 2022. "Effects of Coastal Urbanization on Habitat Quality: A Case Study in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-24, December.
    4. Shuangshuang Liu & Qipeng Liao & Mingzhu Xiao & Dengyue Zhao & Chunbo Huang, 2022. "Spatial and Temporal Variations of Habitat Quality and Its Response of Landscape Dynamic in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-20, March.
    5. Guoyi Cui & Yan Zhang & Feihang Shi & Wenxia Jia & Bohua Pan & Changkun Han & Zhengze Liu & Min Li & Haohao Zhou, 2022. "Study of Spatiotemporal Changes and Driving Factors of Habitat Quality: A Case Study of the Agro-Pastoral Ecotone in Northern Shaanxi, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-23, April.
    6. Boxuan Zhao & Shujie Li & Zhaoshun Liu, 2022. "Multi-Scenario Simulation and Prediction of Regional Habitat Quality Based on a System Dynamic and Patch-Generating Land-Use Simulation Coupling Model—A Case Study of Jilin Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-24, April.
    7. Yan Long & Xi Liu & Shiqi Luo & Tianyue Luo & Siyu Hu & Yuqiao Zheng & Jingmei Shao & Xuejun Liu, 2023. "Evolution and Prediction of Urban Fringe Areas Based on Logistic–CA–Markov Models: The Case of Wuhan City," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-30, October.
    8. Peng Cheng & Yiyu Qin & Siyang Zhu & Xuesong Kong, 2022. "Ecological Disturbance of Rural Settlement Expansion: Evidence from Nantong, Eastern China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-16, October.

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