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Estimating Carbon Sequestration Potential of Forest and Its Influencing Factors at Fine Spatial-Scales: A Case Study of Lushan City in Southern China

Author

Listed:
  • Geng He

    (School of Design & China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China)

  • Zhiduo Zhang

    (School of Design & China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China)

  • Qing Zhu

    (School of Design & China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China)

  • Wei Wang

    (School of Design & China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China)

  • Wanting Peng

    (School of Design & China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China)

  • Yongli Cai

    (School of Design & China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China)

Abstract

Accurate prediction of forest carbon sequestration potential requires a comprehensive understanding of tree growth relationships. However, the studies for estimating carbon sequestration potential concerning tree growth relationships at fine spatial-scales have been limited. In this paper, we assessed the current carbon stock and predicted sequestration potential of Lushan City, where a region has rich vegetation types in southern China, by introducing parameters of diameter at breast height (DBH) and tree height in the method of coupling biomass expansion factor (BEF) and tree growth equation. The partial least squares regression (PLSR) was used to explore the role of combined condition factors (e.g., site, stand, climate) on carbon sequestration potential. The results showed that (1) in 2019, the total carbon stock of trees in Lushan City was 9.22 × 10 5 t, and the overall spatial distribution exhibited a decreasing tendency from northwest to south-central, and the carbon density increased with elevation; (2) By 2070, the carbon density of forest in Lushan City will reach a relatively stable state, and the carbon stock will continue to rise to 2.15 × 10 6 t, which is 2.33 times of the current level, indicating that Lushan forest will continue to serve as a carbon sink for the next fifty years; (3) Excluding the effect of tree growth, regional forest carbon sequestration potential was significantly influenced on site characteristics, which achieved the highest Variable Importance in Projection (VIP) value (2.19) for slope direction. Our study provided a better understanding of the relationships between forest growth and carbon sequestration potential at fine spatial-scales. The results regarding the condition factors and how their combination characteristics affect the potential for carbon sequestration could provide crucial insights for Chinese carbon policy and global carbon neutrality goals.

Suggested Citation

  • Geng He & Zhiduo Zhang & Qing Zhu & Wei Wang & Wanting Peng & Yongli Cai, 2022. "Estimating Carbon Sequestration Potential of Forest and Its Influencing Factors at Fine Spatial-Scales: A Case Study of Lushan City in Southern China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-22, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:15:p:9184-:d:873228
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Li Dai & Yufang Zhang & Lei Wang & Shuanli Zheng & Wenqiang Xu, 2021. "Assessment of Carbon Density in Natural Mountain Forest Ecosystems at Northwest China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-12, February.
    2. Shilong Piao & Jingyun Fang & Philippe Ciais & Philippe Peylin & Yao Huang & Stephen Sitch & Tao Wang, 2009. "The carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in China," Nature, Nature, vol. 458(7241), pages 1009-1013, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wenduo Huang & Xiangrong Wang & Dou Zhang, 2024. "The Estimation of Forest Carbon Sink Potential and Influencing Factors in Huangshan National Forest Park in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-19, February.

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