IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v17y2020i23p9055-d456875.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Association between the New COVID-19 Cases and Air Pollution with Meteorological Elements in Nine Counties of New York State

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Díaz-Avalos

    (Department of Probability and Statistics, IIMAS, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City 04510, Mexico)

  • Pablo Juan

    (Department of Mathematics and IMAC, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, 12006 Castellón, Spain)

  • Somnath Chaudhuri

    (Department of Mathematics, Universitat Jaume I, 12006 Castellón, Spain)

  • Marc Sáez

    (Research Group on Statistics, Econometrics and Health (GRECS), University of Girona, 17003 Girona, Spain
    CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), 28029 Madrid, Spain)

  • Laura Serra

    (Research Group on Statistics, Econometrics and Health (GRECS), University of Girona, 17003 Girona, Spain
    CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), 28029 Madrid, Spain)

Abstract

The principal objective of this article is to assess the possible association between the number of COVID-19 infected cases and the concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) and ozone (O 3 ), atmospheric pollutants related to people’s mobility in urban areas, taking also into account the effect of meteorological conditions. We fit a generalized linear mixed model which includes spatial and temporal terms in order to detect the effect of the meteorological elements and COVID-19 infected cases on the pollutant concentrations. We consider nine counties of the state of New York which registered the highest number of COVID-19 infected cases. We implemented a Bayesian method using integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) with a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). The results emphasize that all the components used in designing the model contribute to improving the predicted values and can be included in designing similar real-world data (RWD) models. We found only a weak association between PM 2.5 and ozone concentrations with COVID-19 infected cases. Records of COVID-19 infected cases and other covariates data from March to May 2020 were collected from electronic health records (EHRs) and standard RWD sources.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Díaz-Avalos & Pablo Juan & Somnath Chaudhuri & Marc Sáez & Laura Serra, 2020. "Association between the New COVID-19 Cases and Air Pollution with Meteorological Elements in Nine Counties of New York State," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-18, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:23:p:9055-:d:456875
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/23/9055/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/23/9055/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Håvard Rue & Sara Martino & Nicolas Chopin, 2009. "Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(2), pages 319-392, April.
    2. Atanu Sengupta & Sanjoy De, 2020. "Review of Literature," India Studies in Business and Economics, in: Assessing Performance of Banks in India Fifty Years After Nationalization, chapter 0, pages 15-30, Springer.
    3. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    4. Finn Lindgren & Håvard Rue & Johan Lindström, 2011. "An explicit link between Gaussian fields and Gaussian Markov random fields: the stochastic partial differential equation approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 73(4), pages 423-498, September.
    5. Gneiting, Tilmann & Raftery, Adrian E., 2007. "Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 102, pages 359-378, March.
    6. Lindgren, Finn & Rue, Håvard, 2015. "Bayesian Spatial Modelling with R-INLA," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 63(i19).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Shen & Liu, Xin & Tang, Jinjun & Cheng, Shaowu & Qi, Yong & Wang, Yinhai, 2018. "Spatio-temporal modeling of destination choice behavior through the Bayesian hierarchical approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 537-551.
    2. Paige, John & Fuglstad, Geir-Arne & Riebler, Andrea & Wakefield, Jon, 2022. "Bayesian multiresolution modeling of georeferenced data: An extension of ‘LatticeKrig’," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    3. John M. Humphreys & Robert B. Srygley & David H. Branson, 2022. "Geographic Variation in Migratory Grasshopper Recruitment under Projected Climate Change," Geographies, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. John M. Humphreys, 2022. "Amplification in Time and Dilution in Space: Partitioning Spatiotemporal Processes to Assess the Role of Avian-Host Phylodiversity in Shaping Eastern Equine Encephalitis Virus Distribution," Geographies, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-16, July.
    5. Silius M. Vandeskog & Sara Martino & Daniela Castro-Camilo & Håvard Rue, 2022. "Modelling Sub-daily Precipitation Extremes with the Blended Generalised Extreme Value Distribution," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 598-621, December.
    6. Chen, Yewen & Chang, Xiaohui & Luo, Fangzhi & Huang, Hui, 2023. "Additive dynamic models for correcting numerical model outputs," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    7. Jorge Sicacha-Parada & Diego Pavon-Jordan & Ingelin Steinsland & Roel May & Bård Stokke & Ingar Jostein Øien, 2022. "A Spatial Modeling Framework for Monitoring Surveys with Different Sampling Protocols with a Case Study for Bird Abundance in Mid-Scandinavia," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 27(3), pages 562-591, September.
    8. Peter A. Gao & Hannah M. Director & Cecilia M. Bitz & Adrian E. Raftery, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasts of Arctic Sea Ice Thickness," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 27(2), pages 280-302, June.
    9. Zongyuan Xia & Bo Tang & Long Qin & Huiguo Zhang & Xijian Hu, 2023. "Spatially Dependent Bayesian Modeling of Geostatistics Data and Its Application for Tuberculosis (TB) in China," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-15, October.
    10. Andre Python & Andreas Bender & Marta Blangiardo & Janine B. Illian & Ying Lin & Baoli Liu & Tim C.D. Lucas & Siwei Tan & Yingying Wen & Davit Svanidze & Jianwei Yin, 2022. "A downscaling approach to compare COVID‐19 count data from databases aggregated at different spatial scales," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(1), pages 202-218, January.
    11. Braulio-Gonzalo, Marta & Bovea, María D. & Jorge-Ortiz, Andrea & Juan, Pablo, 2021. "Which is the best-fit response variable for modelling the energy consumption of households? An analysis based on survey data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    12. I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya & Henk Folmer, 2024. "High-Resolution Spatiotemporal Forecasting with Missing Observations Including an Application to Daily Particulate Matter 2.5 Concentrations in Jakarta Province, Indonesia," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-29, September.
    13. Jacqueline D. Seufert & Andre Python & Christoph Weisser & Elías Cisneros & Krisztina Kis‐Katos & Thomas Kneib, 2022. "Mapping ex ante risks of COVID‐19 in Indonesia using a Bayesian geostatistical model on airport network data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(4), pages 2121-2155, October.
    14. C. Forlani & S. Bhatt & M. Cameletti & E. Krainski & M. Blangiardo, 2020. "A joint Bayesian space–time model to integrate spatially misaligned air pollution data in R‐INLA," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(8), December.
    15. Aaron Osgood‐Zimmerman & Jon Wakefield, 2023. "A Statistical Review of Template Model Builder: A Flexible Tool for Spatial Modelling," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 91(2), pages 318-342, August.
    16. Matthew J. Heaton & Abhirup Datta & Andrew O. Finley & Reinhard Furrer & Joseph Guinness & Rajarshi Guhaniyogi & Florian Gerber & Robert B. Gramacy & Dorit Hammerling & Matthias Katzfuss & Finn Lindgr, 2019. "A Case Study Competition Among Methods for Analyzing Large Spatial Data," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(3), pages 398-425, September.
    17. Sameh Abdulah & Yuxiao Li & Jian Cao & Hatem Ltaief & David E. Keyes & Marc G. Genton & Ying Sun, 2023. "Large‐scale environmental data science with ExaGeoStatR," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(1), February.
    18. Luis A. Barboza & Shu Wei Chou Chen & Marcela Alfaro Córdoba & Eric J. Alfaro & Hugo G. Hidalgo, 2023. "Spatio‐temporal downscaling emulator for regional climate models," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), November.
    19. Dong Liang & Genevieve Nesslage & Michael Wilberg & Thomas Miller, 2017. "Bayesian Calibration of Blue Crab (Callinectes sapidus) Abundance Indices Based on Probability Surveys," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 22(4), pages 481-497, December.
    20. Deslatte, Aaron & Scott, Tyler A. & Carter, David P., 2019. "Specialized governance and regional land-use outcomes: A spatial analysis of Florida community development districts," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 227-239.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; INLA; RWD; PM 2.5 ; O 3 ; New York;
    All these keywords.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:23:p:9055-:d:456875. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.