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Method for Determining the Probability of a Lack of Water Supply to Consumers

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  • Dawid Szpak

    (Department of Water Supply and Sewerage Systems, Faculty of Civil, Environmental Engineering and Architecture, Rzeszow University of Technology, Al. Powstancow Warszawy 6, 35-959 Rzeszow, Poland)

Abstract

The water distribution subsystem is the most failing subsystem included in the water supply system. One of the main consequences of water supply failures is the lack of water supply to consumers, which is always very onerous. The paper presents a method of determining the conditional probability that a break in the supply of water to consumers of a certain duration will be caused by a specific type of failure. The result of the work was to identify water supply network failures that result in the longest water supply suspension time. The method was presented on a real water supply system. In order to reduce the incidence of long-term interruptions in water supply, water supply companies should mainly continue replacing gray cast iron pipes with thermoplastic materials. Actions taken to increase the safety of drinking water supply meet the current standards for the safety of drinking water, developed by the World Health Organization and the European Union.

Suggested Citation

  • Dawid Szpak, 2020. "Method for Determining the Probability of a Lack of Water Supply to Consumers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-16, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:20:p:5361-:d:428062
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carlo Ciaponi & Enrico Murari & Sara Todeschini, 2016. "Modularity-Based Procedure for Partitioning Water Distribution Systems into Independent Districts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(6), pages 2021-2036, April.
    2. Dawid Szpak & Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak, 2019. "The Use of Grey Systems Theory to Analyze the Water Supply Systems Safety," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(12), pages 4141-4155, September.
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    5. Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik & Janusz R. Rak, 2020. "Consumers’ Perceptions of the Supply of Tap Water in Crisis Situations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-20, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik & Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Mohamed Eid, 2021. "A Case Study in View of Developing Predictive Models for Water Supply System Management," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-25, June.
    2. Sabina Kordana-Obuch & Mariusz Starzec, 2022. "Horizontal Shower Heat Exchanger as an Effective Domestic Hot Water Heating Alternative," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-22, July.
    3. Dawid Szpak & Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik & Mohamed Eid, 2022. "A Grey-System Theory Approach to Assess the Safety of Gas-Supply Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-13, June.
    4. Dawid Szpak & Krzysztof Boryczko & Jakub Żywiec & Izabela Piegdoń & Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Janusz R. Rak, 2021. "Risk Assessment of Water Intakes in South-Eastern Poland in Relation to the WHO Requirements for Water Safety Plans," Resources, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-15, October.
    5. Jakub Żywiec & Krzysztof Boryczko & Dariusz Kowalski, 2021. "Analysis of the Negative Daily Temperatures Influence on the Failure Rate of the Water Supply Network," Resources, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, August.
    6. Izabela Piegdoń, 2022. "A New Concept of Crisis Water Management in Urban Areas Based on the Risk Maps of Lack of Water Supply in Response to European Law," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, February.

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