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The Use of Grey Systems Theory to Analyze the Water Supply Systems Safety

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  • Dawid Szpak

    (Rzeszów University of Technology)

  • Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak

    (Rzeszów University of Technology)

Abstract

New requirements for water supply companies enforce the implementation of risk analysis and assessment methods on many levels of their operation. The approach recommended by the World Health Organization and the European Commission based on threats prevention from intake to water consumers is becoming more and more popular. The paper presents a three-parameter risk matrix that can be used for the implementation of Water Safety Plans. It was also proposed to use the grey systems theory, which allowed for the extension of the risk matrix analysis method. The grey systems theory makes it possible to make decisions in the lack of complete information. This may be of particular importance in the small water supply systems safety analysis where monitoring and management capabilities are limited. The developed method may constitute basis for procedures to ensure the water supply safety for water supply system operators, burdened with more and more obligations resulting from both national and European regulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Dawid Szpak & Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak, 2019. "The Use of Grey Systems Theory to Analyze the Water Supply Systems Safety," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(12), pages 4141-4155, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:12:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02348-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02348-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stanley Kaplan & B. John Garrick, 1981. "On The Quantitative Definition of Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(1), pages 11-27, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dawid Szpak & Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik & Mohamed Eid, 2022. "A Grey-System Theory Approach to Assess the Safety of Gas-Supply Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-13, June.
    2. Jakub Żywiec & Krzysztof Boryczko & Dariusz Kowalski, 2021. "Analysis of the Negative Daily Temperatures Influence on the Failure Rate of the Water Supply Network," Resources, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, August.
    3. Dawid Szpak, 2020. "Method for Determining the Probability of a Lack of Water Supply to Consumers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-16, October.
    4. Dawid Szpak & Krzysztof Boryczko & Jakub Żywiec & Izabela Piegdoń & Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Janusz R. Rak, 2021. "Risk Assessment of Water Intakes in South-Eastern Poland in Relation to the WHO Requirements for Water Safety Plans," Resources, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-15, October.
    5. Alexandra Roeger & António F. Tavares, 2020. "Do Governance Arrangements Affect the Voluntary Adoption of Water Safety Plans? An Empirical Study of Water Utilities in Portugal," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(5), pages 1757-1772, March.
    6. Krzysztof Boryczko & Izabela Piegdoń & Dawid Szpak & Jakub Żywiec, 2021. "Risk Assessment of Lack of Water Supply Using the Hydraulic Model of the Water Supply," Resources, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-14, May.
    7. Krzysztof Boryczko & Janusz Rak, 2020. "Method for Assessment of Water Supply Diversification," Resources, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-15, July.

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    Keywords

    Water supply system; Safety;

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