IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v12y2019i5p924-d212592.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Daily Operation Optimization of a Hybrid Energy System Considering a Short-Term Electricity Price Forecast Scheme

Author

Listed:
  • Pedro Bento

    (Instituto de Telecomunicações and University of Beira Interior, 6201-001 Covilhã, Portugal)

  • Hugo Nunes

    (Instituto de Telecomunicações and University of Beira Interior, 6201-001 Covilhã, Portugal)

  • José Pombo

    (Instituto de Telecomunicações and University of Beira Interior, 6201-001 Covilhã, Portugal)

  • Maria do Rosário Calado

    (Instituto de Telecomunicações and University of Beira Interior, 6201-001 Covilhã, Portugal)

  • Sílvio Mariano

    (Instituto de Telecomunicações and University of Beira Interior, 6201-001 Covilhã, Portugal)

Abstract

The scenario where the renewable generation penetration is steadily on the rise in an increasingly atomized system, with much of the installed capacity “sitting” on a distribution level, is in clear contrast with the “old paradigm” of a natural oligopoly formed by vertical structures. Thereby, the fading of the classical producer–consumer division to a broader prosumer “concept” is fostered. This crucial transition will tackle environmental harms associated with conventional energy sources, especially in this age where a greater concern regarding sustainability and environmental protection exists. The “smoothness” of this transition from a reliable conventional generation mix to a more volatile and “parti-colored" one will be particularly challenging, given escalating electricity demands arising from transportation electrification and proliferation of demand-response mechanisms. In this foreseeable framework, proper Hybrid Energy Systems sizing, and operation strategies will be crucial to dictate the electric power system’s contribution to the “green” agenda. This paper presents an optimal power dispatch strategy for grid-connected/off-grid hybrid energy systems with storage capabilities. The Short-Term Price Forecast information as an important decision-making tool for market players will guide the cost side dispatch strategy, alongside with the storage availability. Different scenarios were examined to highlight the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Pedro Bento & Hugo Nunes & José Pombo & Maria do Rosário Calado & Sílvio Mariano, 2019. "Daily Operation Optimization of a Hybrid Energy System Considering a Short-Term Electricity Price Forecast Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-25, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:5:p:924-:d:212592
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/5/924/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/5/924/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luu Ngoc An & Tran Quoc Tuan, 2018. "Dynamic Programming for Optimal Energy Management of Hybrid Wind–PV–Diesel–Battery," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-16, November.
    2. Ma, Tao & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin & Peng, Jinqing, 2014. "Technical feasibility study on a standalone hybrid solar-wind system with pumped hydro storage for a remote island in Hong Kong," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 7-15.
    3. Fodhil, F. & Hamidat, A. & Nadjemi, O., 2019. "Potential, optimization and sensitivity analysis of photovoltaic-diesel-battery hybrid energy system for rural electrification in Algeria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 613-624.
    4. Peter Ozaveshe Oviroh & Tien-Chien Jen, 2018. "The Energy Cost Analysis of Hybrid Systems and Diesel Generators in Powering Selected Base Transceiver Station Locations in Nigeria," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-20, March.
    5. Bento, P.M.R. & Pombo, J.A.N. & Calado, M.R.A. & Mariano, S.J.P.S., 2018. "A bat optimized neural network and wavelet transform approach for short-term price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 88-97.
    6. Reddy, S. Surender, 2017. "Optimal scheduling of thermal-wind-solar power system with storage," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 1357-1368.
    7. Jiaxin Lu & Weijun Wang & Yingchao Zhang & Song Cheng, 2017. "Multi-Objective Optimal Design of Stand-Alone Hybrid Energy System Using Entropy Weight Method Based on HOMER," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, October.
    8. Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2018. "Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1548-1568.
    9. Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    10. Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
    11. Ghasemi, A. & Shayeghi, H. & Moradzadeh, M. & Nooshyar, M., 2016. "A novel hybrid algorithm for electricity price and load forecasting in smart grids with demand-side management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 40-59.
    12. Lujano-Rojas, Juan M. & Monteiro, Cláudio & Dufo-López, Rodolfo & Bernal-Agustín, José L., 2012. "Optimum load management strategy for wind/diesel/battery hybrid power systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 288-295.
    13. Schopfer, S. & Tiefenbeck, V. & Staake, T., 2018. "Economic assessment of photovoltaic battery systems based on household load profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 229-248.
    14. Upadhyay, Subho & Sharma, M.P., 2014. "A review on configurations, control and sizing methodologies of hybrid energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 47-63.
    15. Kästel, Peter & Gilroy-Scott, Bryce, 2015. "Economics of pooling small local electricity prosumers—LCOE & self-consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 718-729.
    16. Alexandros Arsalis & George E. Georghiou, 2018. "A Decentralized, Hybrid Photovoltaic-Solid Oxide Fuel Cell System for Application to a Commercial Building," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-20, December.
    17. Weiqiang Dong & Yanjun Li & Ji Xiang, 2016. "Optimal Sizing of a Stand-Alone Hybrid Power System Based on Battery/Hydrogen with an Improved Ant Colony Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-17, September.
    18. Malheiro, André & Castro, Pedro M. & Lima, Ricardo M. & Estanqueiro, Ana, 2015. "Integrated sizing and scheduling of wind/PV/diesel/battery isolated systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 646-657.
    19. Upadhyay, Subho & Sharma, M.P., 2015. "Development of hybrid energy system with cycle charging strategy using particle swarm optimization for a remote area in India," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 586-598.
    20. Agustín A. Sánchez de la Nieta & Virginia González & Javier Contreras, 2016. "Portfolio Decision of Short-Term Electricity Forecasted Prices through Stochastic Programming," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-19, December.
    21. Claudio Monteiro & Ignacio J. Ramirez-Rosado & L. Alfredo Fernandez-Jimenez & Pedro Conde, 2016. "Short-Term Price Forecasting Models Based on Artificial Neural Networks for Intraday Sessions in the Iberian Electricity Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-24, September.
    22. Zheng, J.H. & Chen, J.J. & Wu, Q.H. & Jing, Z.X., 2015. "Multi-objective optimization and decision making for power dispatch of a large-scale integrated energy system with distributed DHCs embedded," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 369-379.
    23. Shivarama Krishna, K. & Sathish Kumar, K., 2015. "A review on hybrid renewable energy systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 907-916.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Coester, Andreas & Hofkes, Marjan W. & Papyrakis, Elissaios, 2020. "Economic analysis of batteries: Impact on security of electricity supply and renewable energy expansion in Germany," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    2. Thiago B. Murari & Aloisio S. Nascimento Filho & Marcelo A. Moret & Sergio Pitombo & Alex A. B. Santos, 2020. "Self-Affine Analysis of ENSO in Solar Radiation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-17, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    2. Qiao, Weibiao & Yang, Zhe, 2020. "Forecast the electricity price of U.S. using a wavelet transform-based hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    3. Díaz, Guzmán & Coto, José & Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier, 2019. "Prediction and explanation of the formation of the Spanish day-ahead electricity price through machine learning regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 610-625.
    4. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    5. Ismael Ahrazem Dfuf & José Manuel Mira McWilliams & María Camino González Fernández, 2019. "Multi-Output Conditional Inference Trees Applied to the Electricity Market: Variable Importance Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, March.
    6. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA Forecast Averaging—Predicting Day-Ahead and Intraday Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
    7. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
    8. Thirunavukkarasu, M. & Sawle, Yashwant & Lala, Himadri, 2023. "A comprehensive review on optimization of hybrid renewable energy systems using various optimization techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    9. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1533-1547.
    10. Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    11. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    12. Claudio Monteiro & Ignacio J. Ramirez-Rosado & L. Alfredo Fernandez-Jimenez, 2018. "Probabilistic Electricity Price Forecasting Models by Aggregation of Competitive Predictors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-25, April.
    13. Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with a Composite Fundamental-Econometric Hybrid Methodology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-15, March.
    14. Bhatt, Ankit & Sharma, M.P. & Saini, R.P., 2016. "Feasibility and sensitivity analysis of an off-grid micro hydro–photovoltaic–biomass and biogas–diesel–battery hybrid energy system for a remote area in Uttarakhand state, India," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 53-69.
    15. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    16. Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2019. "Averaging Predictive Distributions Across Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-12, July.
    17. Zoran Gligorić & Svetlana Štrbac Savić & Aleksandra Grujić & Milanka Negovanović & Omer Musić, 2018. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Model Using Interval-Valued Autoregressive Process," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, July.
    18. Kath, Christopher & Ziel, Florian, 2021. "Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 777-799.
    19. Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Derek W. Bunn & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2020. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with Recurrent Regimes and Structural Breaks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-14, October.
    20. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:5:p:924-:d:212592. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.