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Short-Term Load Forecasting for a Single Household Based on Convolution Neural Networks Using Data Augmentation

Author

Listed:
  • Shree Krishna Acharya

    (Department of Electronics Engineering, Mokpo National University, Muan 58554, Korea)

  • Young-Min Wi

    (School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Gwangju University, Gwangju 61743, Korea)

  • Jaehee Lee

    (Department of Information and Electronics Engineering, Mokpo National University, Muan 58554, Korea)

Abstract

Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) is spreading to households in some countries, and could be a source for forecasting the residential electric demand. However, load forecasting of a single household is still a fairly challenging topic because of the high volatility and uncertainty of the electric demand of households. Moreover, there is a limitation in the use of historical load data because of a change in house ownership, change in lifestyle, integration of new electric devices, and so on. The paper proposes a novel method to forecast the electricity loads of single residential households. The proposed forecasting method is based on convolution neural networks (CNNs) combined with a data-augmentation technique, which can artificially enlarge the training data. This method can address issues caused by a lack of historical data and improve the accuracy of residential load forecasting. Simulation results illustrate the validation and efficacy of the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Shree Krishna Acharya & Young-Min Wi & Jaehee Lee, 2019. "Short-Term Load Forecasting for a Single Household Based on Convolution Neural Networks Using Data Augmentation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:18:p:3560-:d:268046
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Guo, Zhifeng & Zhou, Kaile & Zhang, Xiaoling & Yang, Shanlin, 2018. "A deep learning model for short-term power load and probability density forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 1186-1200.
    2. Chujie Tian & Jian Ma & Chunhong Zhang & Panpan Zhan, 2018. "A Deep Neural Network Model for Short-Term Load Forecast Based on Long Short-Term Memory Network and Convolutional Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-13, December.
    3. Salah Bouktif & Ali Fiaz & Ali Ouni & Mohamed Adel Serhani, 2018. "Optimal Deep Learning LSTM Model for Electric Load Forecasting using Feature Selection and Genetic Algorithm: Comparison with Machine Learning Approaches †," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohamed Massaoudi & Shady S. Refaat & Haitham Abu-Rub & Ines Chihi & Fakhreddine S. Oueslati, 2020. "PLS-CNN-BiLSTM: An End-to-End Algorithm-Based Savitzky–Golay Smoothing and Evolution Strategy for Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-29, October.
    2. Antonio Gabaldón & María Carmen Ruiz-Abellón & Luis Alfredo Fernández-Jiménez, 2022. "Guest Editorial: Special Issue on Short-Term Load Forecasting 2019, Results and Future Perspectives," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-5, December.
    3. Pedro M. R. Bento & Jose A. N. Pombo & Maria R. A. Calado & Silvio J. P. S. Mariano, 2021. "Stacking Ensemble Methodology Using Deep Learning and ARIMA Models for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-21, November.
    4. Ping Ma & Shuhui Cui & Mingshuai Chen & Shengzhe Zhou & Kai Wang, 2023. "Review of Family-Level Short-Term Load Forecasting and Its Application in Household Energy Management System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-17, August.
    5. Ivana Kiprijanovska & Simon Stankoski & Igor Ilievski & Slobodan Jovanovski & Matjaž Gams & Hristijan Gjoreski, 2020. "HousEEC: Day-Ahead Household Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting Using Deep Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-29, May.
    6. Barja-Martinez, Sara & Aragüés-Peñalba, Mònica & Munné-Collado, Íngrid & Lloret-Gallego, Pau & Bullich-Massagué, Eduard & Villafafila-Robles, Roberto, 2021. "Artificial intelligence techniques for enabling Big Data services in distribution networks: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    7. Lu, Yakai & Tian, Zhe & Zhang, Qiang & Zhou, Ruoyu & Chu, Chengshan, 2021. "Data augmentation strategy for short-term heating load prediction model of residential building," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    8. Grzegorz Dudek, 2021. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Neural Networks with Pattern Similarity-Based Error Weights," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.
    9. Feras Alasali & Husam Foudeh & Esraa Mousa Ali & Khaled Nusair & William Holderbaum, 2021. "Forecasting and Modelling the Uncertainty of Low Voltage Network Demand and the Effect of Renewable Energy Sources," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-31, April.
    10. Shree Krishna Acharya & Young-Min Wi & Jaehee Lee, 2021. "Weather Data Mixing Models for Day-Ahead PV Forecasting in Small-Scale PV Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-16, May.

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