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The Impact of Globalization on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from the Threshold Effect Regression

Author

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  • Mustapha Mukhtar

    (School of Economics and Management, Guangdong University of Petrochemical Technology, Maoming 525000, China)

  • Idris Abdullahi Abdulqadir

    (School of Economics and Management, Guangdong University of Petrochemical Technology, Maoming 525000, China
    Department of Economics and Development Studies, Federal University Dutse, Ibrahim Aliyu Bye-Pass, Dutse 7156, Jigawa State, Nigeria)

Abstract

This study employs the panel quantile regression (QR) technique to evaluate whether globalization threshold conditions are essential for achieving effective economic growth, utilizing data from 47 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries for the period from 2000 to 2021. The bootstrap simultaneous conditional QR analysis was conducted using the fixed-effects panel QR approach. The study findings revealed that the globalization thresholds at which the total effect of globalization as a percentage of global integration changes from negative to positive are 3.82% and 4.36%, respectively. Furthermore, the critical mass of FDI and trade thresholds at which the total effects of FDI and trade, as a percentage of knowledge spillovers, change from negative to positive is 4.66% and 2.19%, respectively. Conversely, these results revealed an asymmetric relationship between globalization and growth among SSA countries. Therefore, these triggers and globalization thresholds serve as essential conditions and catalysts that will foster economic development in SSA economies. The results also indicate significant effects of globalization thresholds on economic growth among the SSA countries. Regarding policy relevance, these findings are also crucial for policymakers when they are developing strategies that will promote equal opportunity and balance development in the region through knowledge spillovers and improvements in global integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustapha Mukhtar & Idris Abdullahi Abdulqadir, 2025. "The Impact of Globalization on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from the Threshold Effect Regression," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-18, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:13:y:2025:i:9:p:251-:d:1733545
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Zhang, Yingying & Wang, Huixia Judy & Zhu, Zhongyi, 2019. "Quantile-regression-based clustering for panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 54-67.
    4. Gene M. Grossman & Elhanan Helpman, 2015. "Globalization and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 100-104, May.
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