IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Intervention Analysis of the Behavior of the Iranian Real Gross Domestic Product: 1959-2001


  • Ebrahim Hosseini Nasab

    () (Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Faculty of Humanities,Tarbiat Modares University,Tehran, Iran)


The Iranian real gross domestic product in the period of 1959-2001 reveals a relatively high degree of instability. Some of this instability almost certainly arises because of external shocks to the economy. This paper focuses on three shocks, or interventions, which seem to have had particularly significant impacts on the Iranian economy. These are the political upheavals of mid 1971’s, the 1981-1989 War, and the oil shock and some policy reversals of early 1991’s. We construct a time series model for the purpose of intervention analysis and use this model to calculate the impact on the Iranian economy of each and every of these interventions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ebrahim Hosseini Nasab, 2007. "An Intervention Analysis of the Behavior of the Iranian Real Gross Domestic Product: 1959-2001," Iranian Economic Review, Economics faculty of Tehran university, vol. 12(2), pages 1-19, spring.
  • Handle: RePEc:eut:journl:v:12:y:2007:i:2:p:1

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    2. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, Paul, 1986. "Forecasting Economic Time Series," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 2, number 9780122951831 edited by Shell, Karl.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eut:journl:v:12:y:2007:i:2:p:1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ([z.rahimalipour]). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.