IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ers/journl/vxxivy2021i4p977-996.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk of Decline in Share Prices of Energy and Fuel Sector on the Warsaw Stock Exchange During the Two Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Beata Bieszk-Stolorz
  • Iwona Markowicz

Abstract

Purpose: The COVID-19 pandemic is now frequently cited as a factor affecting countries' economies. A decline in the share prices of companies appeared in Poland with each successive wave of the pandemic (3 waves). The aim of our research is to identify the characteristics of companies that influence the fact that their share prices decline below a certain level during the first and second waves of the pandemic. We focus on the energy and fuel companies, due to their high economic importance. Design/Methodology/Approach: We use the logit model in assessment of the risk of price decline. Share prices of companies listed on the WSE were analysed. A comparison was made of the risk of a decline in the share prices of energy and fuel companies in relation to other companies, and according to stock exchange macrosectors. The research hypotheses are verified by estimating the two models: model (1) for the first wave of the pandemic (I stage) and model (2) for the second wave of the pandemic (II stage). Findings: The main conclusion of the research is that the first wave of the pandemic caused panic in the stock market. This was a completely new economic disruptor. During the second wave of the pandemic, morbidity and mortality rates were much higher, but the lessons learned beforehand had a dampening effect on stock market reactions. Practical Implications: A pandemic situation is a specific type of crisis. The analysis shows that the technology macrosector is the least vulnerable to this type of crisis. Teleworking and the use of new communication technologies have influenced the development of this sector. In contrast, the fuel and energy sector is very sensitive to any restrictions on movement. Originality/Value: A direct comparison of the impact of the two waves of the pandemic on company prices in Poland has not been conducted so far. Particularly important is the inclusion in the analysis of macro-sectors, which made it possible to identify those most exposed to the risk of decline in prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2021. "Risk of Decline in Share Prices of Energy and Fuel Sector on the Warsaw Stock Exchange During the Two Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 977-996.
    • Handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xxiv:y:2021:i:4:p:977-996
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ersj.eu/journal/2646/download
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Achraf Ghorbel & Ahmed Jeribi, 2021. "Volatility spillovers and contagion between energy sector and financial assets during COVID-19 crisis period," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 449-467, September.
    2. J.S. Cramer, 2002. "The Origins of Logistic Regression," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-119/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    3. Elzbieta Roszko-Wojtowicz & Maria M. Grzelak, 2021. "Multi-dimensional analysis of regional investment attractiveness in Poland," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 16(1), pages 103-138, March.
    4. Iwona Markowicz, 2015. "Duration Analysis of Firms – Cohort Tables and Hazard Function," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 5(11), pages 36-47, November.
    5. Iwona Markowicz & Pawel Baran, 2020. "A new method for calculating mirror data asymmetry in international trade," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(4), pages 637-656, December.
    6. Katerina Aristodemou & Lucas Buchhass & Duco Claringbould, 2021. "The COVID-19 crisis in the EU: the resilience of healthcare systems, government responses and their socio-economic effects," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(2), pages 251-281, June.
    7. Natalia Nehrebecka, 2021. "COVID-19: stress-testing non-financial companies: a macroprudential perspective. The experience of Poland," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(2), pages 283-319, June.
    8. Yipeng Liu & Jong Min Lee & Celia Lee, 2020. "The challenges and opportunities of a global health crisis: the management and business implications of COVID-19 from an Asian perspective," Asian Business & Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(3), pages 277-297, July.
    9. Lucia Svabova & Eva Nahalkova Tesarova & Marek Durica & Lenka Strakova, 2021. "Evaluation of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the development of the unemployment rate in Slovakia: counterfactual before-after comparison," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 16(2), pages 261-284, June.
    10. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Krzysztof Dmytrów, 2021. "Evaluation of Changes on World Stock Exchanges in Connection with the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic. Survival Analysis Methods," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-19, June.
    11. Krzysztof Dmytrów & Joanna Landmesser & Beata Bieszk-Stolorz, 2021. "The Connections between COVID-19 and the Energy Commodities Prices: Evidence through the Dynamic Time Warping Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-23, July.
    12. Bao-Guang Chang & Kun-Shan Wu, 2021. "The nonlinear relationship between financial flexibility and enterprise risk-taking during the COVID-19 pandemic in Taiwan’s semiconductor industry," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 12(2), pages 307-333, June.
    13. Farhan Ahmed & Aamir Aijaz Syed & Muhammad Abdul Kamal & Maria de las Nieves López-García & Jose Pedro Ramos-Requena & Swati Gupta, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Stock and Commodity Markets Performance and Sustainability: A Comparative Analysis of South Asian Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-16, May.
    14. Rui Dias & Nuno Teixeira & Veronika Machova & Pedro Pardal & Jakub Horak & Marek Vochozka, 2020. "Random walks and market efficiency tests: evidence on US, Chinese and European capital markets within the context of the global Covid-19 pandemic," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 11(4), pages 585-608, December.
    15. Honorata Nyga-Łukaszewska & Kentaka Aruga, 2020. "Energy Prices and COVID-Immunity: The Case of Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices in the US and Japan," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-17, November.
    16. Najam Iqbal & Muhammad Saqib Manzoor & Muhammad Ishaq Bhatti, 2021. "Asymmetry and Leverage with News Impact Curve Perspective in Australian Stock Returns’ Volatility during COVID-19," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-15, July.
    17. Pedro Pardal & Rui Dias & Petr Suler & Nuno Teixeira & Tomas Krulicky, 2020. "Integration in Central European capital markets in the context of the global COVID-19 pandemic," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 15(4), pages 627-650, December.
    18. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Krzysztof Dmytrów, 2021. "A survival analysis in the assessment of the influence of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on the probability and intensity of decline in the value of stock indices," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(2), pages 363-379, June.
    19. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2021. "Decline in Share Prices of Energy and Fuel Companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as a Reaction to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-17, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Iwona Markowicz & Paweł Baran, 2022. "Duration of Trade Relationships of Polish Enterprises on the Intra-Community Market: The Case of Vehicles and Automotive Parts Trade," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-17, March.
    2. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2022. "Changes in Share Prices of Macrosector Companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as a Reaction to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-18, August.
    3. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Krzysztof Dmytrów, 2022. "Assessment of the Similarity of the Situation in the EU Labour Markets and Their Changes in the Face of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-20, March.
    4. Agnieszka Joanna Drzymala & Ewa Korzeniewska, 2022. "Impact of the Self-Consumption of Electricity on the Profitability of the Investment into a Photovoltaic Installation: The Case of a Company in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 316-332.
    5. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2022. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Situation of the Unemployed in Poland. A Study Using Survival Analysis Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-19, October.
    6. Małgorzata Łatuszyńska & Kesra Nermend, 2022. "Energy Decision Making: Problems, Methods, and Tools—An Overview," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-5, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2021. "Decline in Share Prices of Energy and Fuel Companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as a Reaction to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-17, August.
    2. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Krzysztof Dmytrów, 2022. "Assessment of the Similarity of the Situation in the EU Labour Markets and Their Changes in the Face of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2022. "Changes in Share Prices of Macrosector Companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as a Reaction to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-18, August.
    4. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2022. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Situation of the Unemployed in Poland. A Study Using Survival Analysis Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-19, October.
    5. Krzysztof Dmytrów & Joanna Landmesser & Beata Bieszk-Stolorz, 2021. "The Connections between COVID-19 and the Energy Commodities Prices: Evidence through the Dynamic Time Warping Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-23, July.
    6. Andriy Stavytskyy & Ganna Kharlamova & Olena Komendant & Jarosław Andrzejczak & Joanna Nakonieczny, 2021. "Methodology for Calculating the Energy Security Index of the State: Taking into Account Modern Megatrends," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-19, June.
    7. Iwona Markowicz & Paweł Baran, 2022. "Duration of Trade Relationships of Polish Enterprises on the Intra-Community Market: The Case of Vehicles and Automotive Parts Trade," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-17, March.
    8. Marcin Bogdański, 2021. "Employment Diversification as a Determinant of Economic Resilience and Sustainability in Provincial Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-13, April.
    9. Andrej Privara, 2022. "Economic growth and labour market in the European Union: lessons from COVID-19," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(2), pages 355-377, June.
    10. Indre Siksnelyte-Butkiene, 2021. "Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic to the Sustainability of the Energy Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-19, November.
    11. Joanna Landmesser, 2021. "The use of the dynamic time warping (DTW) method to describe the COVID-19 dynamics in Poland," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 12(3), pages 539-556, September.
    12. Mila Andreani & Vincenzo Candila & Giacomo Morelli & Lea Petrella, 2021. "Multivariate Analysis of Energy Commodities during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from a Mixed-Frequency Approach," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-20, August.
    13. Katarina Valaskova & Marek Nagy & Stanislav Zabojnik & George Lăzăroiu, 2022. "Industry 4.0 Wireless Networks and Cyber-Physical Smart Manufacturing Systems as Accelerators of Value-Added Growth in Slovak Exports," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-21, July.
    14. Tomas Kliestik & Marek Nagy & Katarina Valaskova, 2023. "Global Value Chains and Industry 4.0 in the Context of Lean Workplaces for Enhancing Company Performance and Its Comprehension via the Digital Readiness and Expertise of Workforce in the V4 Nations," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-21, January.
    15. Berezka Kateryna & Kovalchuk Olha, 2023. "The Application of Association Rules to Detect the Effects of Vaccinations against Covid-19 in the EU-27. Preliminary Estimates," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 27(1), pages 1-16, March.
    16. Marek Nagy & George Lăzăroiu, 2022. "Computer Vision Algorithms, Remote Sensing Data Fusion Techniques, and Mapping and Navigation Tools in the Industry 4.0-Based Slovak Automotive Sector," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-22, September.
    17. Katarina Valaskova & Tomas Kliestik & Dominika Gajdosikova, 2021. "Distinctive determinants of financial indebtedness: evidence from Slovak and Czech enterprises," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 16(3), pages 639-659, September.
    18. Iva Gregurec & Martina Tomičić Furjan & Katarina Tomičić-Pupek, 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Sustainable Business Models in SMEs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-24, January.
    19. Baier-Fuentes, Hugo & Andrade-Valbuena, Nelson A. & Huertas Gonzalez-Serrano, Maria & Gaviria-Marin, Magaly, 2023. "Bricolage as an effective tool for the survival of owner-managed SMEs during crises," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    20. Xiaodong Teng & Kun-Shan Wu & Lopin Kuo & Bao-Guang Chang, 2023. "Investigating the double-edged sword effect of environmental, social and governance practices on corporate risk-taking in the high-tech industry," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 14(2), pages 511-549, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy sector; fuels sector; modelling the risk of decline in share prices; logit model.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xxiv:y:2021:i:4:p:977-996. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marios Agiomavritis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ersj.eu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.