IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transb/v33y1999i8p593-607.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The inherent precision of regression estimated route probabilities

Author

Listed:
  • Hjorth, U.

Abstract

From basic assumptions about independent and consistent driver behaviour, and with data from traffic counts, we derive statistical properties of regression or correlation estimates of route selection probabilities, turning probabilities and travelling times. Our modelling is conditional in a way that avoids most traffic generation problems and permits an asymptotic analysis of the precision under mild assumptions allowing non-stationarity. This allows us to put together non-stationary data from the corresponding time intervals during several days when we aim at high precision estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Hjorth, U., 1999. "The inherent precision of regression estimated route probabilities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 33(8), pages 593-607, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:33:y:1999:i:8:p:593-607
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0191-2615(99)00008-9
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cascetta, Ennio & Nguyen, Sang, 1988. "A unified framework for estimating or updating origin/destination matrices from traffic counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 437-455, December.
    2. Watling, David P. & Maher, Michael J., 1992. "A statistical procedure for estimating a mean origin-destination matrix from a partial registration plate survey," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 171-193, June.
    3. Nihan, Nancy L. & Davis, Gary A., 1987. "Recursive estimation of origin-destination matrices from input/output counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 149-163, April.
    4. Watling, David P., 1994. "Maximum likelihood estimation of an origin-destination matrix from a partial registration plate survey," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 289-314, August.
    5. Cremer, M. & Keller, H., 1987. "A new class of dynamic methods for the identification of origin-destination flows," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 117-132, April.
    6. Ennio Cascetta & Domenico Inaudi & Gérald Marquis, 1993. "Dynamic Estimators of Origin-Destination Matrices Using Traffic Counts," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(4), pages 363-373, November.
    7. Bell, Michael G. H., 1991. "The real time estimation of origin-destination flows in the presence of platoon dispersion," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 25(2-3), pages 115-125.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hjorth, Urban, 2002. "Traffic subflow estimation and bootstrap analysis from filtered counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 345-359, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Xiaoyan & Maher, Mike J., 1998. "The evaluation and application of a fully disaggregate method for trip matrix estimation with platoon dispersion," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 261-276, May.
    2. Chang, Gang-Len & Tao, Xianding, 1999. "An integrated model for estimating time-varying network origin-destination distributions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 381-399, June.
    3. Wu, Jifeng & Chang, Gang-Len, 1996. "Estimation of time-varying origin-destination distributions with dynamic screenline flows," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 277-290, August.
    4. K. Ashok & M. E. Ben-Akiva, 2000. "Alternative Approaches for Real-Time Estimation and Prediction of Time-Dependent Origin–Destination Flows," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 34(1), pages 21-36, February.
    5. Nie, Yu (Marco) & Zhang, H.M., 2008. "A variational inequality formulation for inferring dynamic origin-destination travel demands," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(7-8), pages 635-662, August.
    6. K. Ashok & M. E. Ben-Akiva, 2002. "Estimation and Prediction of Time-Dependent Origin-Destination Flows with a Stochastic Mapping to Path Flows and Link Flows," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(2), pages 184-198, May.
    7. Hjorth, Urban, 2002. "Traffic subflow estimation and bootstrap analysis from filtered counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 345-359, May.
    8. Hazelton, Martin L., 2008. "Statistical inference for time varying origin-destination matrices," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 542-552, July.
    9. Lin, Pei-Wei & Chang, Gang-Len, 2007. "A generalized model and solution algorithm for estimation of the dynamic freeway origin-destination matrix," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 554-572, June.
    10. Sun, Carlos & Porwal, Himanshu, 2000. "Dynamic Origin/Destination Estimation Using True Section Densities," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt0f0711s6, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    11. Li, Baibing & Moor, Bart De, 2002. "Dynamic identification of origin-destination matrices in the presence of incomplete observations," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 37-57, January.
    12. Castillo, Enrique & Menéndez, José María & Jiménez, Pilar, 2008. "Trip matrix and path flow reconstruction and estimation based on plate scanning and link observations," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 455-481, June.
    13. Zhang, Michael & Nie, Yu & Shen, Wei & Lee, Ming S. & Jansuwan, Sarawut & Chootinan, Piya & Pravinvongvuth, Surachet & Chen, Anthony & Recker, Will W., 2008. "Development of A Path Flow Estimator for Inferring Steady-State and Time-Dependent Origin-Destination Trip Matrices," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt3nr033sc, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    14. Garcia, Reinaldo C., 2002. "Implementing A Dynamic O-D Estimation Algorithm within the Microscopic Traffic Simulator Paramics," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt0n62j6nq, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    15. Ritchie, Stephen & Sun, Carlos, 1998. "Section Related Measures of Traffic System Performance: Final Report," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt4sc0t3bv, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    16. A. de Palma & F. Marchal, 2000. "Dynamic traffic analysis with static data: some guidelines with an application to Paris," THEMA Working Papers 2000-55, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    17. Li, Baibing & De Moor, Bart, 1999. "Recursive estimation based on the equality-constrained optimization for intersection origin-destination matrices," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 203-214, April.
    18. Yasuo Asakura & Eiji Hato & Masuo Kashiwadani, 2000. "Origin-destination matrices estimation model using automatic vehicle identification data and its application to the Han-Shin expressway network," Transportation, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 419-438, December.
    19. Wu, Jifeng, 1997. "A real-time origin-destination matrix updating algorithm for on-line applications," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 381-396, October.
    20. Guo, Jianhua & Liu, Yu & Li, Xiugang & Huang, Wei & Cao, Jinde & Wei, Yun, 2019. "Enhanced least square based dynamic OD matrix estimation using Radio Frequency Identification data," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 27-40.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:33:y:1999:i:8:p:593-607. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/548/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.