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An explainable artificial-intelligence-based approach to investigating factors that influence the citation of papers

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  • Ha, Taehyun

Abstract

The number of citations is often used to estimate the impact of a study. Previous studies have investigated what factors of publications affect citations and how they affect citations. However, the findings of the studies were unable to reach a consensus because of the limited sample size, domain, and measurement. This study reviewed previous studies that addressed factors influencing citations and then identified 14 measurable factors. Approximately 33 million publications from the Scopus database were used to train and validate a CatBoost model. A SHAP framework was used to interpret the trained model by focusing on how salient factors affect the number of citations. The results showed that the year is a significant factor affecting the citation but not the priority factor. A publication source was presented as the most important factor contributing to the citation. Several implications and strategic approaches to maximizing the impact of a study were discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ha, Taehyun, 2022. "An explainable artificial-intelligence-based approach to investigating factors that influence the citation of papers," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:184:y:2022:i:c:s0040162522004954
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121974
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