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Anticipation of converging technology areas — A refined approach for the identification of attractive fields of innovation

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  • Song, Chie Hoon
  • Elvers, David
  • Leker, Jens

Abstract

A series of product innovations owe their economic success and origin to the impetus and know-how from disciplines and industries that were hitherto unfamiliar to the actors in the industries concerned. This phenomenon, known as “convergence”, leads to emerging industry segments and offers a wide array of opportunities for synergies. Against this background, a significant emphasis has been put on anticipating technology convergence as well as identifying and understanding the changing innovation patterns and industry structure associated with convergence. The timely recognition of converging technological fields enables the innovating enterprises to exert a positive influence on the changing value-chain.

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  • Song, Chie Hoon & Elvers, David & Leker, Jens, 2017. "Anticipation of converging technology areas — A refined approach for the identification of attractive fields of innovation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 98-115.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:116:y:2017:i:c:p:98-115
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.11.001
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    5. Park, Inchae & Yoon, Byungun, 2018. "Technological opportunity discovery for technological convergence based on the prediction of technology knowledge flow in a citation network," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 1199-1222.
    6. Wang, Zhinan & Porter, Alan L. & Wang, Xuefeng & Carley, Stephen, 2019. "An approach to identify emergent topics of technological convergence: A case study for 3D printing," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 723-732.
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    9. Sajad Ashouri & Anne-Laure Mention & Kosmas X. Smyrnios, 2021. "Anticipation and analysis of industry convergence using patent-level indicators," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(7), pages 5727-5758, July.
    10. Kim, Tae San & Sohn, So Young, 2020. "Machine-learning-based deep semantic analysis approach for forecasting new technology convergence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
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    13. Berg, S. & Wustmans, M. & Bröring, S., 2019. "Identifying first signals of emerging dominance in a technological innovation system: A novel approach based on patents," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 706-722.
    14. Aaldering, Lukas Jan & Leker, Jens & Song, Chie Hoon, 2019. "Uncovering the dynamics of market convergence through M&A," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 95-114.
    15. Nicola Melluso & Andrea Bonaccorsi & Filippo Chiarello & Gualtiero Fantoni, 2021. "Rapid detection of fast innovation under the pressure of COVID-19," Papers 2102.00197, arXiv.org.
    16. Aaldering, Lukas Jan & Song, Chie Hoon, 2021. "Of leaders and laggards - Towards digitalization of the process industries," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    17. Kai Guo & Tiantian Zhang & Yan Liang & Jiyao Zhao & Xiangmin Zhang, 2023. "Research on the promotion path of green technology innovation of an enterprise from the perspective of technology convergence: configuration analysis using new energy vehicles as an example," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(6), pages 4989-5008, June.
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    19. Zhao, Shengchao & Zeng, Deming & Li, Jian & Feng, Ke & Wang, Yao, 2023. "Quantity or quality: The roles of technology and science convergence on firm innovation performance," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

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