IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reveco/v88y2023icp891-901.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Measuring Chinese climate uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Lee, Kiryoung
  • Cho, Juik

Abstract

We develop indices of Twitter-based Chinese Climate Uncertainty (TC-CU) and Climate Policy Uncertainty (TC-CPU) from 2010 to onward. Our indices spike with climate change-related presidential announcements, UN climate change conferences, climate change-related flood deaths, warning about melting glaciers in China’s Qilian mountains, and rising climate concerns regarding bitcoin mining, among many others. We find that TC-CPU can predict future US climate uncertainty and attention measures while US measures do not predict Chinese climate change measures. Moreover, TC-CU (TC-CPU) negatively predicts equity returns of small (value) firms. Finally, we find a decline in CO2 emissions in response to shocks to TC-CU.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Kiryoung & Cho, Juik, 2023. "Measuring Chinese climate uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 891-901.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:88:y:2023:i:c:p:891-901
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2023.07.004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056023002149
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.iref.2023.07.004?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Huang, Yun & Luk, Paul, 2020. "Measuring economic policy uncertainty in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    2. Michael Greenstone & John A. List & Chad Syverson, 2011. "The Effects of Environmental Regulation on the Competiveness of U.S. Manufacturing," Working Papers 11-03, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    3. Jonathan Brogaard & Andrew Detzel, 2015. "The Asset-Pricing Implications of Government Economic Policy Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(1), pages 3-18, January.
    4. Ströbel, Johannes & Wurgler, Jeffrey, 2021. "What do you think about climate finance?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16622, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. List, John A. & McHone, W. Warren & Millimet, Daniel L., 2004. "Effects of environmental regulation on foreign and domestic plant births: is there a home field advantage?," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 303-326, September.
    6. Lee, Kiryoung & Choi, Eunseon & Kim, Minki, 2023. "Twitter-based Chinese economic policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    7. Bouri, Elie & Iqbal, Najaf & Klein, Tony, 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and the price dynamics of green and brown energy stocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sun, Zhongyu & Li, Jun, 2025. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on household portfolios effectiveness: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    2. Zhang, Zhihao, 2023. "Are climate risks helpful for understanding inflation in BRICS countries?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    3. Guillaume Pijourlet, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty and US industry stock returns: A quantile regression approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(1), pages 182-189.
    4. Zhikai Zhang & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Qunwei Wang, 2024. "The predictability of carbon futures volatility: New evidence from the spillovers of fossil energy futures returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 557-584, April.
    5. Wang, Jialu & Mishra, Shekhar & Sharif, Arshian & Chen, Huangen, 2024. "Dynamic spillover connectedness among green finance and policy uncertainty: Evidence from QVAR network approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    6. Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Financial Stress: Evidence for China," Working Papers 202428, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Lee, Kiryoung & Choi, Eunseon & Kim, Minki, 2023. "Twitter-based Chinese economic policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    8. Assad Ullah & Xinshun Zhao & Chenghui Ye & Muhammad Abdul Kamal, 2024. "Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks on China’s Stock Market Development: Evidence from Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Spectral Causality Approaches," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(3), pages 21582440241, September.
    9. Yunpeng Su & Jia Li & Baochen Yang & Yunbi An, 2024. "The Impacts of Policy Uncertainty on Asset Prices: Evidence from China’s Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 1087-1133, December.
    10. Donadelli, Michael & Gufler, Ivan & Pellizzari, Paolo, 2020. "The macro and asset pricing implications of rising Italian uncertainty: Evidence from a novel news-based macroeconomic policy uncertainty index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    11. Xu, Yongan & Wang, Jianqiong & Chen, Zhonglu & Liang, Chao, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns: New evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    12. Zhang, Jiaming & Xiang, Yitian & Zou, Yang & Guo, Songlin, 2024. "Volatility forecasting of Chinese energy market: Which uncertainty have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    13. Wang, Yu & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong) & Yan, Wanlin & Wang, Bin, 2024. "Green bond and green stock in China: The role of economic and climate policy uncertainty," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Liu, Liping & Lü, Zheng & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2025. "Impact of policy uncertainty on stock market volatility in the China’s low-carbon economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    15. Hassan F Gholipour & Robin Nunkoo & Behzad Foroughi & Hassan Kalantari Daronkola, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, consumer confidence in major economies and outbound tourism to African countries," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 979-994, June.
    16. Yang, Jianlei & Yang, Chunpeng & Hu, Xiaoyi, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty dispersion and excess returns: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    17. Hailiang Zou & Ruijing Wang & Guoyou Qi, 2023. "The Response of CSR to Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-19, August.
    18. Gong, Xu & Fu, Chengbo & Huang, Qiping & Lin, Meimei, 2022. "International political uncertainty and climate risk in the stock market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    19. Yuan, Mengyi & Zhang, Lin & Lian, Yonghui, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock price crash risk of commercial banks: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 587-605.
    20. Xuan Yang & Geng Chen & Chunzi Qu & Zhixuan Chen & Yang Wen & Lei Shi & Feng Long, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Co-Control of Air Pollutants and CO 2 : Evidence from 282 Cities in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-23, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:88:y:2023:i:c:p:891-901. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620165 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.