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On the potential change in solar radiation over the US due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases

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  • Pan, Zaitao
  • Segal, Moti
  • Arritt, Raymond W
  • Takle, Eugene S

Abstract

Solar radiation is the most important source of renewable energy available to reduce fossil CO2 atmospheric emissions and also is an important factor in heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) energy considerations. Solar radiation may be affected by climate changes induced by CO2 emissions. In this study, a refined regional climate model was used to generate seasonal global radiation climatologies for the US under the present and mid 21st century enhanced atmospheric CO2 level. Simulated seasonal-mean daily global radiation (direct plus diffuse incident radiation on a horizontal surface) under the present climate showed overall reasonable agreement with observed patterns but with negative biases in most locations. In most of the US, the enhanced CO2 simulation (future climate) showed a trend of decreased seasonal-mean daily global radiation availability in the range of 0–20%. The most noticeable decrease was simulated in the western US during fall, winter, and spring. In small areas in the southern and northwestern US some increase in global radiation was simulated. Changes in global radiation during summer were relatively low.

Suggested Citation

  • Pan, Zaitao & Segal, Moti & Arritt, Raymond W & Takle, Eugene S, 2004. "On the potential change in solar radiation over the US due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 1923-1928.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:29:y:2004:i:11:p:1923-1928
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2003.11.013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Segal, Moti & Pan, Zaitao & Arritt, Raymond W & Takle, Eugene S, 2001. "On the potential change in wind power over the US due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 235-243.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Xia & Fu, Qiang & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2021. "What are the shocks of climate change on clean energy investment: A diversified exploration," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    2. Ignacio Losada Carreño & Michael T. Craig & Michael Rossol & Moetasim Ashfaq & Fulden Batibeniz & Sue Ellen Haupt & Caroline Draxl & Bri-Mathias Hodge & Carlo Brancucci, 2020. "Potential impacts of climate change on wind and solar electricity generation in Texas," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 745-766, November.
    3. Fant, Charles & Schlosser, C. Adam, 2013. "The Impact of Climate Change on Wind and Solar Resources in Southern Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series 071, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Azam Ghezelbash & Vahid Khaligh & Seyed Hamed Fahimifard & J. Jay Liu, 2023. "A Comparative Perspective of the Effects of CO 2 and Non-CO 2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions on Global Solar, Wind, and Geothermal Energy Investment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-20, March.
    5. Charles Fant & Adam Schlosser, 2013. "The Impact of Climate Change on Wind and Solar Resources in Southern Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-071, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. Fant, Charles & Adam Schlosser, C. & Strzepek, Kenneth, 2016. "The impact of climate change on wind and solar resources in southern Africa," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 556-564.
    7. Burnett, Dougal & Barbour, Edward & Harrison, Gareth P., 2014. "The UK solar energy resource and the impact of climate change," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 333-343.
    8. Edward Vine, 2012. "Adaptation of California’s electricity sector to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(1), pages 75-99, March.

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