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Synergistic cyclic optimization strategy for the data screening and forecasting of solar power, Wind power, and electricity load

Author

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  • Cai, Jun
  • Cai, Yuxin
  • Yan, Ying
  • Chen, Liang
  • Zhang, Xin

Abstract

In response to the challenges posed by the increased penetration of renewable energy systems on the stability of power systems, this paper presents a synergistic cycle optimization strategy for data screening and forecasting of solar power, wind power, and electricity load. Initially, an outlier detection algorithm based on normal distribution is employed to identify outliers within the dataset. Subsequently, adaptive K-nearest neighbors (KNN) interpolation algorithm based on clustered power change rate (AKNN-CPCR) is utilized to effectively interpolate the detected outliers. Following data preprocessing, the processed data is used to train a predictive model. Finally, based on the predictions generated by the model, the parameters of the cycle optimization algorithm are adjusted in reverse to achieve optimal forecasting performance. The effectiveness of the proposed method was rigorously validated using load, wind, and solar datasets across three deep learning models: Convolutional Neural Network Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-BiLSTM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM). Experimental results confirm that the proposed algorithm consistently enhances prediction accuracy in all scenarios and datasets, demonstrating its robustness and generalization capability for complex time series forecasting tasks.

Suggested Citation

  • Cai, Jun & Cai, Yuxin & Yan, Ying & Chen, Liang & Zhang, Xin, 2026. "Synergistic cyclic optimization strategy for the data screening and forecasting of solar power, Wind power, and electricity load," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(PH).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:256:y:2026:i:ph:s0960148125021883
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.124524
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Liang, Min & Hu, Yongli & Weng, Haoen & Xi, Jiayang & Yin, Baocai, 2025. "EnergyGPT: Fine-tuning large language model for multi-energy load forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    2. Jalalifar, Rasoul & Delavar, Mahmoud Reza & Ghaderi, Seyed Farid, 2025. "A novel approach for photovoltaic plant site selection in megacities utilizing power load forecasting and fuzzy inference system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    3. Hu, Jiaxiang & Hu, Weihao & Cao, Di & Sun, Xinwu & Chen, Jianjun & Huang, Yuehui & Chen, Zhe & Blaabjerg, Frede, 2024. "Probabilistic net load forecasting based on transformer network and Gaussian process-enabled residual modeling learning method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
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