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Active learning-based optimization of hydroelectric turbine startup to minimize fatigue damage

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  • Mai, Vincent
  • Pham, Quang Hung
  • Favrel, Arthur
  • Gauthier, Jean-Philippe
  • Gagnon, Martin

Abstract

Hydro-generating units (HGUs) play a crucial role in integrating intermittent renewable energy sources into the power grid due to their flexible operational capabilities. This evolving role has led to an increase in transient events, such as startups, which impose significant stresses on turbines, leading to increased turbine fatigue and a reduced operational lifespan. Consequently, optimizing startup sequences to minimize stresses is vital for hydropower utilities. However, this task is challenging, as stress measurements on prototypes can be expensive and time-consuming. To tackle this challenge, we propose an innovative automated approach to optimize the startup parameters of HGUs with a limited budget of measured startup sequences. Our method combines active learning and black-box optimization techniques, utilizing virtual strain sensors and dynamic simulations of HGUs. This approach was tested in real-time during an on-site measurement campaign on an instrumented Francis turbine prototype. The results demonstrate that our algorithm successfully identified an optimal startup sequence using only seven measured sequences. It achieves a remarkable 42% reduction in the maximum strain cycle amplitude compared to the standard startup sequence. This study paves the way for more efficient HGU startup optimization, potentially extending their operational lifespans.

Suggested Citation

  • Mai, Vincent & Pham, Quang Hung & Favrel, Arthur & Gauthier, Jean-Philippe & Gagnon, Martin, 2026. "Active learning-based optimization of hydroelectric turbine startup to minimize fatigue damage," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(PE).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:256:y:2026:i:pe:s0960148125017525
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.124088
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pham, Quang Hung & Gagnon, Martin & Antoni, Jérôme & Tahan, Antoine & Monette, Christine, 2021. "Rainflow-counting matrix interpolation over different operating conditions for hydroelectric turbine fatigue assessment," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 465-476.
    2. Liu, Xin & Luo, Yongyao & Wang, Zhengwei, 2016. "A review on fatigue damage mechanism in hydro turbines," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1-14.
    3. Unterluggauer, Julian & Sulzgruber, Verena & Doujak, Eduard & Bauer, Christian, 2020. "Experimental and numerical study of a prototype Francis turbine startup," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 1212-1221.
    4. Eduard Doujak & Julian Unterluggauer & Gerald Fillinger & Armin Nocker & Franz Haller & Michael Maier & Simon Stadler, 2022. "Fatigue Strength Analysis of a Prototype Francis Turbine in a Multilevel Lifetime Assessment Procedure Part II: Method Application and Numerical Investigation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-34, February.
    5. Seydoux, Martin & Vagnoni, Elena & Nicolet, Christophe & Paolone, Mario, 2024. "On the prediction of the induced damage by the start-up sequence of Francis turbines: On operational resilience framework," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    6. Till Muser & Ekaterina Krymova & Alessandro Morabito & Martin Seydoux & Elena Vagnoni, 2025. "Fatigue damage reduction in hydropower startups with machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Vagnoni, Elena & Gezer, Dogan & Anagnostopoulos, Ioannis & Cavazzini, Giovanna & Doujak, Eduard & Hočevar, Marko & Rudolf, Pavel, 2024. "The new role of sustainable hydropower in flexible energy systems and its technical evolution through innovation and digitalization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
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