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Spatio-temporal dynamic clustering modeling for solar irradiance resource assessment

Author

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  • Maldonado-Salguero, Patricia
  • Bueso-Sánchez, María Carmen
  • Molina-García, Ángel
  • Sánchez-Lozano, Juan Miguel

Abstract

Nowadays, with the development of international policies and agreements to promote the integration of renewable energy sources, mainly solar and wind, modeling the solar resource by including the spatio-temporal variability is crucial to determine future PV power plant locations and estimate potential power generation performances. However, contributions involving long-term periods and different time windows to explore such potential solar resource variability are generally scarce. Under this framework, the present paper proposes a methodology focused on characterizing and clustering the spatio-temporal solar resource variability through the global horizontal irradiance analysis. Hierarchical clustering technique is firstly used to classify the spatial data. Different time windows — from short-term to long-term data — can be subsequently evaluated by using various sources of information. The Spanish territory is selected as case study, considering 22-year period data (1999–2020) and 1,936,917 observations from online satellite database. Spatial variability and geographical clustering differences are discussed and compared depending on the selected time windows, identifying relevant spatial variations for some specific months. Additionally, some years present more variability as well, in line with the sunspot peak of the solar cycles. The proposed approach gives an alternative comprehensive spatio-temporal clustering and characterization of GHI evolution, providing a suitable methodology to help the current European sustainable energy transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Maldonado-Salguero, Patricia & Bueso-Sánchez, María Carmen & Molina-García, Ángel & Sánchez-Lozano, Juan Miguel, 2022. "Spatio-temporal dynamic clustering modeling for solar irradiance resource assessment," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 344-359.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:200:y:2022:i:c:p:344-359
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.09.113
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Maria. C. Bueso & José Miguel Paredes-Parra & Antonio Mateo-Aroca & Angel Molina-García, 2020. "A Characterization of Metrics for Comparing Satellite-Based and Ground-Measured Global Horizontal Irradiance Data: A Principal Component Analysis Application," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-18, March.
    2. Habte, Aron & Sengupta, Manajit & Gueymard, Christian & Golnas, Anastasios & Xie, Yu, 2020. "Long-term spatial and temporal solar resource variability over America using the NSRDB version 3 (1998–2017)," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Urraca, R. & Martinez-de-Pison, E. & Sanz-Garcia, A. & Antonanzas, J. & Antonanzas-Torres, F., 2017. "Estimation methods for global solar radiation: Case study evaluation of five different approaches in central Spain," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1098-1113.
    4. Abhnil Amtesh Prasad & Merlinde Kay, 2020. "Assessment of Simulated Solar Irradiance on Days of High Intermittency Using WRF-Solar," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-22, January.
    5. Nicholas Tierney & Dianne Cook, 2018. "Expanding tidy data principles to facilitate missing data exploration, visualization and assessment of imputations," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/18, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
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