IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v194y2022icp647-658.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Economic predictive control for isolated microgrids based on real world demand/renewable energy data and forecast errors

Author

Listed:
  • Manzano, J.M.
  • Salvador, J.R.
  • Romaine, J.B.
  • Alvarado-Barrios, L.

Abstract

In this work, the operation of microgrids is studied, using real data for demand and renewable energy sources. A mixed integer nonlinear program to operate the microgrid is proposed, following a model predictive control methodology, which allows to enhance the economic performance by means of a predictive strategy. A comparison with other techniques without predictive feature nor forecast mismatches is made, showing that our method outperforms them by adapting the current control decision to future costly issues. The case study shows savings of more than 10%, analysing the qualitative aspects of the proposed strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Manzano, J.M. & Salvador, J.R. & Romaine, J.B. & Alvarado-Barrios, L., 2022. "Economic predictive control for isolated microgrids based on real world demand/renewable energy data and forecast errors," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 647-658.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:194:y:2022:i:c:p:647-658
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.05.103
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148122007509
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2022.05.103?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ahmad Khan, Aftab & Naeem, Muhammad & Iqbal, Muhammad & Qaisar, Saad & Anpalagan, Alagan, 2016. "A compendium of optimization objectives, constraints, tools and algorithms for energy management in microgrids," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1664-1683.
    2. Sengupta, Manajit & Xie, Yu & Lopez, Anthony & Habte, Aron & Maclaurin, Galen & Shelby, James, 2018. "The National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB)," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 51-60.
    3. Yang, Yuqing & Bremner, Stephen & Menictas, Chris & Kay, Merlinde, 2018. "Battery energy storage system size determination in renewable energy systems: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 109-125.
    4. Gerbaulet, C. & von Hirschhausen, C. & Kemfert, C. & Lorenz, C. & Oei, P.-Y., 2019. "European electricity sector decarbonization under different levels of foresight," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 973-987.
    5. Jin, Ming & Feng, Wei & Marnay, Chris & Spanos, Costas, 2018. "Microgrid to enable optimal distributed energy retail and end-user demand response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 1321-1335.
    6. Soshinskaya, Mariya & Crijns-Graus, Wina H.J. & Guerrero, Josep M. & Vasquez, Juan C., 2014. "Microgrids: Experiences, barriers and success factors," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 659-672.
    7. Salcedo-Sanz, S. & Cornejo-Bueno, L. & Prieto, L. & Paredes, D. & García-Herrera, R., 2018. "Feature selection in machine learning prediction systems for renewable energy applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 728-741.
    8. Bo Fu & Chenxi Ouyang & Chaoshun Li & Jinwen Wang & Eid Gul, 2019. "An Improved Mixed Integer Linear Programming Approach Based on Symmetry Diminishing for Unit Commitment of Hybrid Power System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-14, March.
    9. Alvarado-Barrios, Lázaro & Rodríguez del Nozal, Álvaro & Boza Valerino, Juan & García Vera, Ignacio & Martínez-Ramos, Jose L., 2020. "Stochastic unit commitment in microgrids: Influence of the load forecasting error and the availability of energy storage," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 2060-2069.
    10. Meng, Lexuan & Sanseverino, Eleonora Riva & Luna, Adriana & Dragicevic, Tomislav & Vasquez, Juan C. & Guerrero, Josep M., 2016. "Microgrid supervisory controllers and energy management systems: A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1263-1273.
    11. L. Alvarado-Barrios & A. Rodríguez del Nozal & A. Tapia & J. L. Martínez-Ramos & D. G. Reina, 2019. "An Evolutionary Computational Approach for the Problem of Unit Commitment and Economic Dispatch in Microgrids under Several Operation Modes," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-23, June.
    12. Connor, Peter M. & Baker, Philip E. & Xenias, Dimitrios & Balta-Ozkan, Nazmiye & Axon, Colin J. & Cipcigan, Liana, 2014. "Policy and regulation for smart grids in the United Kingdom," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 269-286.
    13. Nejat, Payam & Jomehzadeh, Fatemeh & Taheri, Mohammad Mahdi & Gohari, Mohammad & Abd. Majid, Muhd Zaimi, 2015. "A global review of energy consumption, CO2 emissions and policy in the residential sector (with an overview of the top ten CO2 emitting countries)," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 843-862.
    14. Zia, Muhammad Fahad & Elbouchikhi, Elhoussin & Benbouzid, Mohamed, 2018. "Microgrids energy management systems: A critical review on methods, solutions, and prospects," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 1033-1055.
    15. Ilias G. Marneris & Pandelis N. Biskas & Anastasios G. Bakirtzis, 2017. "Stochastic and Deterministic Unit Commitment Considering Uncertainty and Variability Reserves for High Renewable Integration," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, January.
    16. Korkas, Christos D. & Baldi, Simone & Michailidis, Iakovos & Kosmatopoulos, Elias B., 2016. "Occupancy-based demand response and thermal comfort optimization in microgrids with renewable energy sources and energy storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 93-104.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Bin & Hu, Weihao & Xu, Xiao & Li, Tao & Zhang, Zhenyuan & Chen, Zhe, 2022. "Physical-model-free intelligent energy management for a grid-connected hybrid wind-microturbine-PV-EV energy system via deep reinforcement learning approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 433-448.
    2. Marcelino, C.G. & Leite, G.M.C. & Wanner, E.F. & Jiménez-Fernández, S. & Salcedo-Sanz, S., 2023. "Evaluating the use of a Net-Metering mechanism in microgrids to reduce power generation costs with a swarm-intelligent algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    3. Negri, Simone & Giani, Federico & Blasuttigh, Nicola & Massi Pavan, Alessandro & Mellit, Adel & Tironi, Enrico, 2022. "Combined model predictive control and ANN-based forecasters for jointly acting renewable self-consumers: An environmental and economical evaluation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 440-454.
    4. Wang, Yubin & Zheng, Yanchong & Yang, Qiang, 2023. "Optimal energy management of integrated energy systems for strategic participation in competitive electricity markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. L. Alvarado-Barrios & A. Rodríguez del Nozal & A. Tapia & J. L. Martínez-Ramos & D. G. Reina, 2019. "An Evolutionary Computational Approach for the Problem of Unit Commitment and Economic Dispatch in Microgrids under Several Operation Modes," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-23, June.
    2. Fontenot, Hannah & Dong, Bing, 2019. "Modeling and control of building-integrated microgrids for optimal energy management – A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    3. Younes Zahraoui & Ibrahim Alhamrouni & Saad Mekhilef & M. Reyasudin Basir Khan & Mehdi Seyedmahmoudian & Alex Stojcevski & Ben Horan, 2021. "Energy Management System in Microgrids: A Comprehensive Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-33, September.
    4. Sadaqat Ali & Zhixue Zheng & Michel Aillerie & Jean-Paul Sawicki & Marie-Cécile Péra & Daniel Hissel, 2021. "A Review of DC Microgrid Energy Management Systems Dedicated to Residential Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-26, July.
    5. Yamashita, Daniela Yassuda & Vechiu, Ionel & Gaubert, Jean-Paul, 2020. "A review of hierarchical control for building microgrids," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    6. Rostirolla, G. & Grange, L. & Minh-Thuyen, T. & Stolf, P. & Pierson, J.M. & Da Costa, G. & Baudic, G. & Haddad, M. & Kassab, A. & Nicod, J.M. & Philippe, L. & Rehn-Sonigo, V. & Roche, R. & Celik, B. &, 2022. "A survey of challenges and solutions for the integration of renewable energy in datacenters," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    7. Miguel Carpintero-Rentería & David Santos-Martín & Josep M. Guerrero, 2019. "Microgrids Literature Review through a Layers Structure," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-22, November.
    8. Leonori, Stefano & Martino, Alessio & Frattale Mascioli, Fabio Massimo & Rizzi, Antonello, 2020. "Microgrid Energy Management Systems Design by Computational Intelligence Techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    9. Raya-Armenta, Jose Maurilio & Bazmohammadi, Najmeh & Avina-Cervantes, Juan Gabriel & Sáez, Doris & Vasquez, Juan C. & Guerrero, Josep M., 2021. "Energy management system optimization in islanded microgrids: An overview and future trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    10. Harsh, Pratik & Das, Debapriya, 2022. "Optimal coordination strategy of demand response and electric vehicle aggregators for the energy management of reconfigured grid-connected microgrid," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    11. Roslan, M.F. & Hannan, M.A. & Ker, Pin Jern & Uddin, M.N., 2019. "Microgrid control methods toward achieving sustainable energy management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 583-607.
    12. Danny Espín-Sarzosa & Rodrigo Palma-Behnke & Oscar Núñez-Mata, 2020. "Energy Management Systems for Microgrids: Main Existing Trends in Centralized Control Architectures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-32, January.
    13. Moretti, L. & Polimeni, S. & Meraldi, L. & Raboni, P. & Leva, S. & Manzolini, G., 2019. "Assessing the impact of a two-layer predictive dispatch algorithm on design and operation of off-grid hybrid microgrids," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1439-1453.
    14. Polimeni, Simone & Moretti, Luca & Martelli, Emanuele & Leva, Sonia & Manzolini, Giampaolo, 2023. "A novel stochastic model for flexible unit commitment of off-grid microgrids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    15. Lu, Qing & Yu, Hao & Zhao, Kangli & Leng, Yajun & Hou, Jianchao & Xie, Pinjie, 2019. "Residential demand response considering distributed PV consumption: A model based on China's PV policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 443-456.
    16. Polleux, Louis & Guerassimoff, Gilles & Marmorat, Jean-Paul & Sandoval-Moreno, John & Schuhler, Thierry, 2022. "An overview of the challenges of solar power integration in isolated industrial microgrids with reliability constraints," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    17. Giaouris, Damian & Papadopoulos, Athanasios I. & Patsios, Charalampos & Walker, Sara & Ziogou, Chrysovalantou & Taylor, Phil & Voutetakis, Spyros & Papadopoulou, Simira & Seferlis, Panos, 2018. "A systems approach for management of microgrids considering multiple energy carriers, stochastic loads, forecasting and demand side response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 546-559.
    18. Umeozor, Evar Chinedu & Trifkovic, Milana, 2016. "Operational scheduling of microgrids via parametric programming," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 672-681.
    19. Katja Sirviö & Kimmo Kauhaniemi & Aushiq Ali Memon & Hannu Laaksonen & Lauri Kumpulainen, 2020. "Functional Analysis of the Microgrid Concept Applied to Case Studies of the Sundom Smart Grid," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-31, August.
    20. Hossein Shayeghi & Elnaz Shahryari & Mohammad Moradzadeh & Pierluigi Siano, 2019. "A Survey on Microgrid Energy Management Considering Flexible Energy Sources," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-26, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:194:y:2022:i:c:p:647-658. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.