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Alternative Moment Method for wind energy potential and turbine energy output estimation

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  • Akdağ, Seyit Ahmet
  • Güler, Önder

Abstract

An accurate analysis of wind characteristics is a critical factor for wind farm energy output estimation. Therefore, it is necessary to develop an effective and efficient method to asses wind energy resource. The main objective of the present paper is to introduce a novel method to estimate Weibull distribution parameters. This method is called Alternative Moment Method (AMM). AMM method is expressed in an analytical form and doesn’t need iterative procedure. The efficiency and accuracy of the introduced method is compared with commonly used parameter estimation methods. Result of the graphical comparison showed that AMM method is better than Justus Moment Method (JMM) and Novel Energy Pattern Factor Method (NEPFM). While mean error of AMM was 3.53 × 10−7%, JMM and NEPFM was 0.63% and 0.0031% respectively. AMM method is validated by comparing wind turbine energy output estimation accuracy for 144 cases. AMM mean energy output estimation error for 750 kW and 1600 kW wind turbine was 0.039% and 0.043%, respectively. Moreover, data from 16 weather station distributed around Spain is used to evaluate the power density estimation capability of developed method. Result showed that mean absolute error of AMM and MLH was 3.47% and 10.59%, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Akdağ, Seyit Ahmet & Güler, Önder, 2018. "Alternative Moment Method for wind energy potential and turbine energy output estimation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 69-77.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:120:y:2018:i:c:p:69-77
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2017.12.072
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    5. Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia & Li, Qiwei & Ma, Xuejiao, 2018. "Comparison of seven methods for determining the optimal statistical distribution parameters: A case study of wind energy assessment in the large-scale wind farms of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 432-448.
    6. Xiong, Yuyu & Dai, Li, 2023. "Does green finance investment impact on sustainable development: Role of technological innovation and renewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 342-349.
    7. Nataliia KRAVCHUK & Olena KILNITSKA & Volodymyr KHODAKIVSKYI & Mykola MISEVYCH, 2019. "European strategy for the development of alternative energy," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 10, pages 271-297, June.

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