IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v174y2018icp82-95.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

State of health prediction of lithium-ion batteries: Multiscale logic regression and Gaussian process regression ensemble

Author

Listed:
  • Yu, Jianbo

Abstract

State of health (SOH) prediction plays a vital role in battery health prognostics. It is important to estimate the capacity of Lithium-ion battery for future cycle running. In this paper, a novel method is developed based on an integration of multiscale logic regression (LR) and Gaussian process regression (GPR) to tackle SOH estimation and prediction problem of Lithium-ion battery. Empirical mode decomposition is employed to decouple global degradation, local regeneration and various fluctuations in battery capacity time series. An LR model with varying moving window is utilized to fit the residuals (i.e., the global degradation trend). A GPR with the lag vector is developed to recursively estimate local regenerations and fluctuations. This design scheme captures the time-varying degradation behavior and reduces affections of local regeneration phenomenon in Lithium-ion batteries. The experimental results on Lithium-ion battery data from NASA Ames Prognostics Center of Excellence illustrate the potential applications of the proposed method as an effective tool for battery health prognostics.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu, Jianbo, 2018. "State of health prediction of lithium-ion batteries: Multiscale logic regression and Gaussian process regression ensemble," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 82-95.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:174:y:2018:i:c:p:82-95
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2018.02.022
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183201730652X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2018.02.022?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jin, Guang & Matthews, David E. & Zhou, Zhongbao, 2013. "A Bayesian framework for on-line degradation assessment and residual life prediction of secondary batteries inspacecraft," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 7-20.
    2. Wang, Xiaolin & Balakrishnan, Narayanaswamy & Guo, Bo, 2014. "Residual life estimation based on a generalized Wiener degradation process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 13-23.
    3. Zheng, Xiujuan & Fang, Huajing, 2015. "An integrated unscented kalman filter and relevance vector regression approach for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life and short-term capacity prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 74-82.
    4. Ng, Selina S.Y. & Xing, Yinjiao & Tsui, Kwok L., 2014. "A naive Bayes model for robust remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 114-123.
    5. Hu, Yang & Baraldi, Piero & Di Maio, Francesco & Zio, Enrico, 2015. "A particle filtering and kernel smoothing-based approach for new design component prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 19-31.
    6. Shengjin Tang & Chuanqiang Yu & Xue Wang & Xiaosong Guo & Xiaosheng Si, 2014. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on the Wiener Process with Measurement Error," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-28, January.
    7. Xi, Zhimin & Jing, Rong & Wang, Pingfeng & Hu, Chao, 2014. "A copula-based sampling method for data-driven prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 72-82.
    8. Xu, Xin & Chen, Nan, 2017. "A state-space-based prognostics model for lithium-ion battery degradation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 47-57.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Downey, Austin & Lui, Yu-Hui & Hu, Chao & Laflamme, Simon & Hu, Shan, 2019. "Physics-based prognostics of lithium-ion battery using non-linear least squares with dynamic bounds," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 1-12.
    2. Ma, Guijun & Zhang, Yong & Cheng, Cheng & Zhou, Beitong & Hu, Pengchao & Yuan, Ye, 2019. "Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on false nearest neighbors and a hybrid neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Tianyu Liu & Zhengqiang Pan & Quan Sun & Jing Feng & Yanzhen Tang, 2017. "Residual useful life estimation for products with two performance characteristics based on a bivariate Wiener process," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 231(1), pages 69-80, February.
    4. Xiaodong Xu & Chuanqiang Yu & Shengjin Tang & Xiaoyan Sun & Xiaosheng Si & Lifeng Wu, 2019. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-17, May.
    5. Wu, Ji & Zhang, Chenbin & Chen, Zonghai, 2016. "An online method for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life estimation using importance sampling and neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 134-140.
    6. Zhang, Zhengxin & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Lei, Yaguo, 2018. "Degradation data analysis and remaining useful life estimation: A review on Wiener-process-based methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 775-796.
    7. Taichun Qin & Shengkui Zeng & Jianbin Guo & Zakwan Skaf, 2016. "A Rest Time-Based Prognostic Framework for State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries with Regeneration Phenomena," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-18, November.
    8. Ding, Pan & Liu, Xiaojuan & Li, Huiqin & Huang, Zequan & Zhang, Ke & Shao, Long & Abedinia, Oveis, 2021. "Useful life prediction based on wavelet packet decomposition and two-dimensional convolutional neural network for lithium-ion batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    9. Chang, Yang & Fang, Huajing & Zhang, Yong, 2017. "A new hybrid method for the prediction of the remaining useful life of a lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1564-1578.
    10. Xu, Xiaodong & Tang, Shengjin & Yu, Chuanqiang & Xie, Jian & Han, Xuebing & Ouyang, Minggao, 2021. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-ion Batteries Based on Wiener Process Under Time-Varying Temperature Condition," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    11. Cai, Yishan & Yang, Lin & Deng, Zhongwei & Zhao, Xiaowei & Deng, Hao, 2018. "Online identification of lithium-ion battery state-of-health based on fast wavelet transform and cross D-Markov machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 621-635.
    12. Zheng, Xiujuan & Fang, Huajing, 2015. "An integrated unscented kalman filter and relevance vector regression approach for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life and short-term capacity prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 74-82.
    13. Muhammad Umair Ali & Amad Zafar & Sarvar Hussain Nengroo & Sadam Hussain & Gwan-Soo Park & Hee-Je Kim, 2019. "Online Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Partial Discharge Data Features," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-14, November.
    14. Wang, Xiaofei & Wang, Bing Xing & Jiang, Pei Hua & Hong, Yili, 2020. "Accurate reliability inference based on Wiener process with random effects for degradation data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    15. Zhai, Qingqing & Ye, Zhi-Sheng & Yang, Jun & Zhao, Yu, 2016. "Measurement errors in degradation-based burn-in," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 126-135.
    16. Shuming Wang & Yan-Fu Li & Tong Jia, 2020. "Distributionally Robust Design for Redundancy Allocation," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 32(3), pages 620-640, July.
    17. Han, Xiaojuan & Wang, Zuran & Wei, Zixuan, 2021. "A novel approach for health management online-monitoring of lithium-ion batteries based on model-data fusion," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    18. Zhang, Yong & Tu, Lei & Xue, Zhiwei & Li, Sai & Tian, Lulu & Zheng, Xiujuan, 2022. "Weight optimized unscented Kalman filter for degradation trend prediction of lithium-ion battery with error compensation strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    19. Ye, Zhi-Sheng & Chen, Nan & Shen, Yan, 2015. "A new class of Wiener process models for degradation analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 58-67.
    20. Dai, Haifeng & Jiang, Bo & Hu, Xiaosong & Lin, Xianke & Wei, Xuezhe & Pecht, Michael, 2021. "Advanced battery management strategies for a sustainable energy future: Multilayer design concepts and research trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:174:y:2018:i:c:p:82-95. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.