IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v125y2014icp54-66.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries

Author

Listed:
  • Bris, Radim
  • Medonos, Sava
  • Wilkins, Chris
  • Zdráhala, Adam

Abstract

Risk to safety of personnel in process industries is normally modeled in the application of event trees, where the risk is defined as a product of event frequency and its consequences. This method is steady state whilst the actual event is time dependent, comprising, for a gas release, as for example, the size of gas cloud being released, probabilities of ignition, fire or explosion, fatality, escalation to new releases and fire and/or explosion, and the probability of fatality, all varying with time.

Suggested Citation

  • Bris, Radim & Medonos, Sava & Wilkins, Chris & Zdráhala, Adam, 2014. "Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 54-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:125:y:2014:i:c:p:54-66
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.010
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832013001415
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.010?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Briš, Radim, 2008. "Parallel simulation algorithm for maintenance optimization based on directed Acyclic Graph," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(6), pages 874-884.
    2. Stroeve, Sybert H. & Blom, Henk A.P. & Bakker, G.J. (Bert), 2013. "Contrasting safety assessments of a runway incursion scenario: Event sequence analysis versus multi-agent dynamic risk modelling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 133-149.
    3. Briš, Radim, 2010. "Exact reliability quantification of highly reliable systems with maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(12), pages 1286-1292.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zheng Liu & Xingang Li & Xiaojing Chen, 2019. "Evacuation Traffic Management under Diffusion of Toxic Gas Based on an Improved Road Risk Level Assessment Method," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-11, March.
    2. Liu, Zheng & Liu, Jia-lin & Li, Ya-ping & Zhang, Shi-qing, 2022. "Multiclass dynamic emergency traffic collaborative optimization considering multiple solutions with stage-based algorithm," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 608(P1).
    3. XiaoFei, Lu & Min, Liu, 2014. "Hazard rate function in dynamic environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 50-60.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Briš, Radim & Byczanski, Petr, 2013. "Effective computing algorithm for maintenance optimization of highly reliable systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 77-85.
    2. Radim Briš & Petr Byczanski, 2017. "On innovative stochastic renewal process models for exact unavailability quantification of highly reliable systems," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 231(6), pages 617-627, December.
    3. Radim Briš & Pavel Jahoda, 2022. "Really Ageing Systems Undergoing a Discrete Maintenance Optimization," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-17, August.
    4. Radim Briš & Nuong Thi Thuy Tran, 2023. "Discrete Model for a Multi-Objective Maintenance Optimization Problem of Safety Systems," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    5. Briš, Radim, 2010. "Exact reliability quantification of highly reliable systems with maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(12), pages 1286-1292.
    6. Markus Bohlin & Mathias Wärja, 2015. "Maintenance optimization with duration-dependent costs," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 224(1), pages 1-23, January.
    7. Skorupski, Jacek, 2015. "The risk of an air accident as a result of a serious incident of the hybrid type," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 37-52.
    8. Pinciroli, Luca & Baraldi, Piero & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Maintenance optimization in industry 4.0," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    9. Lai, Hsueh-Yi & Chen, Chun-Hsien & Zheng, Pai & Khoo, Li Pheng, 2020. "Investigating the evolving context of an unstable approach in aviation from mental model disconnects with an agent-based model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    10. Stroeve, Sybert H. & Som, Pradip & van Doorn, Bas A. & (Bert) Bakker, G.J., 2016. "Strengthening air traffic safety management by moving from outcome-based towards risk-based evaluation of runway incursions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 93-108.
    11. Rae, Andrew & Alexander, Rob & McDermid, John, 2014. "Fixing the cracks in the crystal ball: A maturity model for quantitative risk assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 67-81.
    12. Sleptchenko, Andrei & Turan, Hasan Hüseyin & Pokharel, Shaligram & ElMekkawy, Tarek Y., 2019. "Cross-training policies for repair shops with spare part inventories," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 334-345.
    13. Akl, Amany M. & El Sawah, Sondoss & Chakrabortty, Ripon K. & Turan, Hasan Hüseyin, 2022. "A Joint Optimization of Strategic Workforce Planning and Preventive Maintenance Scheduling: A Simulation–Optimization Approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    14. Chikha, Paulina & Skorupski, Jacek, 2022. "The risk of an airport traffic accident in the context of the ground handling personnel performance," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    15. Delgado, Luis & Gurtner, Gérald & Mazzarisi, Piero & Zaoli, Silvia & Valput, Damir & Cook, Andrew & Lillo, Fabrizio, 2021. "Network-wide assessment of ATM mechanisms using an agent-based model," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    16. Chen, Chao & Reniers, Genserik & Khakzad, Nima, 2021. "A dynamic multi-agent approach for modeling the evolution of multi-hazard accident scenarios in chemical plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    17. KanÄ ev, DuÅ¡ko & ÄŒepin, Marko & Gjorgiev, Blaže, 2014. "Development and application of a living probabilistic safety assessment tool: Multi-objective multi-dimensional optimization of surveillance requirements in NPPs considering their ageing," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 135-147.
    18. Ke Niu & Wenbo Liu & Jia Zhang & Mengxuan Liang & Huimin Li & Yaqiong Zhang & Yihang Du, 2023. "A Task Complexity Analysis Method to Study the Emergency Situation under Automated Metro System," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-19, January.
    19. Gholamizadeh, Kamran & Zarei, Esmaeil & Yazdi, Mohammad & Ramezanifar, Ehsan & Aliabadi, Mostafa Mirzaei, 2024. "A hybrid model for dynamic analysis of domino effects in chemical process industries," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    20. Kaegi, M. & Mock, R. & Kröger, W., 2009. "Analyzing maintenance strategies by agent-based simulations: A feasibility study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(9), pages 1416-1421.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:125:y:2014:i:c:p:54-66. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.