IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v124y2014icp81-91.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A rapid reliability estimation method for directed acyclic lifeline networks with statistically dependent components

Author

Listed:
  • Kang, Won-Hee
  • Kliese, Alyce

Abstract

Lifeline networks, such as transportation, water supply, sewers, telecommunications, and electrical and gas networks, are essential elements for the economic and societal functions of urban areas, but their components are highly susceptible to natural or man-made hazards. In this context, it is essential to provide effective pre-disaster hazard mitigation strategies and prompt post-disaster risk management efforts based on rapid system reliability assessment. This paper proposes a rapid reliability estimation method for node-pair connectivity analysis of lifeline networks especially when the network components are statistically correlated. Recursive procedures are proposed to compound all network nodes until they become a single super node representing the connectivity between the origin and destination nodes. The proposed method is applied to numerical network examples and benchmark interconnected power and water networks in Memphis, Shelby County. The connectivity analysis results show the proposed method's reasonable accuracy and remarkable efficiency as compared to the Monte Carlo simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Kang, Won-Hee & Kliese, Alyce, 2014. "A rapid reliability estimation method for directed acyclic lifeline networks with statistically dependent components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 81-91.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:124:y:2014:i:c:p:81-91
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.11.015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832013003128
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2013.11.015?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohammadjafar Soltanjalili & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Migual Mariño, 2011. "Effect of Breakage Level One in Design of Water Distribution Networks," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(1), pages 311-337, January.
    2. Der Kiureghian, Armen & Song, Junho, 2008. "Multi-scale reliability analysis and updating of complex systems by use of linear programming," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 288-297.
    3. Kang, Won-Hee & Song, Junho & Gardoni, Paolo, 2008. "Matrix-based system reliability method and applications to bridge networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(11), pages 1584-1593.
    4. Kawee Numpacharoen & Amporn Atsawarungruangkit, 2012. "Generating Correlation Matrices Based on the Boundaries of Their Coefficients," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(11), pages 1-7, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bistouni, Fathollah & Jahanshahi, Mohsen, 2017. "Remove and contraction: A novel method for calculating the reliability of Ethernet ring mesh networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 362-375.
    2. He, Jun, 2021. "An extended recursive decomposition algorithm for dynamic seismic reliability evaluation of lifeline networks with dependent component failures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    3. Li, Jian & Dueñas-Osorio, Leonardo & Chen, Changkun & Shi, Congling, 2016. "Connectivity reliability and topological controllability of infrastructure networks: A comparative assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 24-33.
    4. ValinÄ ius, Mindaugas & ŽutautaitÄ—, Inga & Dundulis, Gintautas & RimkeviÄ ius, Sigitas & Janulionis, Remigijus & Bakas, Rimantas, 2015. "Integrated assessment of failure probability of the district heating network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 314-322.
    5. Fathollah Bistouni & Mohsen Jahanshahi, 2016. "Reliability analysis of multilayer multistage interconnection networks," Telecommunication Systems: Modelling, Analysis, Design and Management, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 529-551, July.
    6. Bistouni, Fathollah & Jahanshahi, Mohsen, 2015. "Evaluating failure rate of fault-tolerant multistage interconnection networks using Weibull life distribution," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 128-146.
    7. Wang, Jie & Zhang, Yangyi & Li, Shunlong & Xu, Wencheng & Jin, Yao, 2024. "Directed network-based connectivity probability evaluation for urban bridges," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    8. Bistouni, Fathollah & Jahanshahi, Mohsen, 2014. "Analyzing the reliability of shuffle-exchange networks using reliability block diagrams," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 97-106.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kim, Dong-Seok & Ok, Seung-Yong & Song, Junho & Koh, Hyun-Moo, 2013. "System reliability analysis using dominant failure modes identified by selective searching technique," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 316-331.
    2. Bichon, Barron J. & McFarland, John M. & Mahadevan, Sankaran, 2011. "Efficient surrogate models for reliability analysis of systems with multiple failure modes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(10), pages 1386-1395.
    3. Byun, Ji-Eun & Noh, Hee-Min & Song, Junho, 2017. "Reliability growth analysis of k-out-of-N systems using matrix-based system reliability method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 410-421.
    4. Csóka, Péter, 2017. "Fair risk allocation in illiquid markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 228-234.
    5. Rodríguez, Joanna & Lillo, Rosa E. & Ramírez-Cobo, Pepa, 2015. "Failure modeling of an electrical N-component framework by the non-stationary Markovian arrival process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 126-133.
    6. Sungsik Yoon & Young-Joo Lee & Hyung-Jo Jung, 2021. "Flow-based seismic risk assessment of a water transmission network employing probabilistic seismic hazard analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 1231-1254, January.
    7. Kim, Youngsuk & Kang, Won-Hee, 2013. "Network reliability analysis of complex systems using a non-simulation-based method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 80-88.
    8. Monfared, M.A.S. & Rezazadeh, Masoumeh & Alipour, Zohreh, 2022. "Road networks reliability estimations and optimizations: A Bi-directional bottom-up, top-down approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    9. S. Seifollahi-Aghmiuni & O. Bozorg Haddad & M. Mariño, 2013. "Water Distribution Network Risk Analysis Under Simultaneous Consumption and Roughness Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2595-2610, May.
    10. Li, Naipeng & Gebraeel, Nagi & Lei, Yaguo & Fang, Xiaolei & Cai, Xiao & Yan, Tao, 2021. "Remaining useful life prediction based on a multi-sensor data fusion model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    11. Roberto Benato & Antonio Chiarelli & Sebastian Dambone Sessa, 2021. "Reliability Assessment of a Multi-State HVDC System by Combining Markov and Matrix-Based Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-13, May.
    12. Yang Liu & Naiwei Lu & Xinfeng Yin & Mohammad Noori, 2016. "An adaptive support vector regression method for structural system reliability assessment and its application to a cable-stayed bridge," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 230(2), pages 204-219, April.
    13. Kawahara, Jun & Sonoda, Koki & Inoue, Takeru & Kasahara, Shoji, 2019. "Efficient construction of binary decision diagrams for network reliability with imperfect vertices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 142-154.
    14. Bensi, Michelle & Kiureghian, Armen Der & Straub, Daniel, 2013. "Efficient Bayesian network modeling of systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 200-213.
    15. Elahe Fallah-Mehdipour & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Xuefeng Chu, 2021. "Environmental demand effects on the energy generation of Karkheh reservoir: Base and climate change conditions," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(9), pages 13165-13181, September.
    16. Bistouni, Fathollah & Jahanshahi, Mohsen, 2014. "Analyzing the reliability of shuffle-exchange networks using reliability block diagrams," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 97-106.
    17. Morshedi, Mohamad Ali & Kashani, Hamed, 2022. "Assessment of vulnerability reduction policies: Integration of economic and cognitive models of decision-making," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    18. Lu, Qing-Chang & Zhang, Lei & Xu, Peng-Cheng & Cui, Xin & Li, Jing, 2022. "Modeling network vulnerability of urban rail transit under cascading failures: A Coupled Map Lattices approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    19. Soyeon Ahn & John M. Abbamonte, 2020. "A new approach for handling missing correlation values for meta‐analytic structural equation modeling: Corboundary R package," Campbell Systematic Reviews, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(1), March.
    20. Li, Jian & Dueñas-Osorio, Leonardo & Chen, Changkun & Shi, Congling, 2016. "Connectivity reliability and topological controllability of infrastructure networks: A comparative assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 24-33.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:124:y:2014:i:c:p:81-91. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.