IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v513y2019icp45-54.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Calibration of the risk-neutral density function by maximization of a two-parameter entropy

Author

Listed:
  • Malhotra, Gifty
  • Srivastava, R.
  • Taneja, H.C.

Abstract

In the present work, a two-parameter entropy is maximized to calibrate the risk-neutral probability density function of the future asset price using options data subject to the expectation and the variance constraint. In the variance constraint, the volatility is assumed to be mean-reverting and following a quadratic path. The desired power law distribution is verified for the density function obtained, and it contains both the entropy parameters giving an additional degree of freedom. The calibrated density function is used to price the European call options for different strikes. The results thus obtained are discussed for the one-parameter Renyi and Tsallis entropies.

Suggested Citation

  • Malhotra, Gifty & Srivastava, R. & Taneja, H.C., 2019. "Calibration of the risk-neutral density function by maximization of a two-parameter entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 45-54.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:513:y:2019:i:c:p:45-54
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.08.148
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437118310884
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2018.08.148?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Buchen, Peter W. & Kelly, Michael, 1996. "The Maximum Entropy Distribution of an Asset Inferred from Option Prices," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(1), pages 143-159, March.
    2. Cassio Neri & Lorenz Schneider, 2014. "The Impact of the Prior Density on a Minimum Relative Entropy Density : A Case Study with SPX Option Data," Post-Print hal-02313190, HAL.
    3. Les Gulko, 2002. "The Entropy Theory Of Bond Option Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(04), pages 355-383.
    4. Les Gulko, 1999. "The Entropy Theory Of Stock Option Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(03), pages 331-355.
    5. Gifty Malhotra & R. Srivastava & H. C. Taneja, 2018. "Quadratic approximation of the slow factor of volatility in a multifactor stochastic volatility model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 607-624, May.
    6. Xavier Gabaix, 2009. "Power Laws in Economics and Finance," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 1(1), pages 255-294, May.
    7. Stutzer, Michael, 1996. "A Simple Nonparametric Approach to Derivative Security Valuation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1633-1652, December.
    8. Cassio Neri & Lorenz Schneider, 2013. "A Family of Maximum Entropy Densities Matching Call Option Prices," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 548-577, December.
    9. Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & Luis A. Nunes Amaral & Martin Meyer & H. Eugene Stanley, 1999. "Scaling of the distribution of fluctuations of financial market indices," Papers cond-mat/9905305, arXiv.org.
    10. Cassio Neri & Lorenz Schneider, 2013. "A Family of Maximum Entropy Densities Matching Call Option Prices," Post-Print hal-02313030, HAL.
    11. Cassio Neri & Lorenz Schneider, 2012. "Maximum entropy distributions inferred from option portfolios on an asset," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 293-318, April.
    12. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 2002. "Range‐Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1047-1091, June.
    13. Xavier Gabaix & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2003. "A theory of power-law distributions in financial market fluctuations," Nature, Nature, vol. 423(6937), pages 267-270, May.
    14. John M. Cozzolino & Michael J. Zahner, 1973. "The Maximum-Entropy Distribution of the Future Market Price of a Stock," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 21(6), pages 1200-1211, December.
    15. Hull, John C & White, Alan D, 1987. "The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(2), pages 281-300, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Răzvan-Cornel Sfetcu & Sorina-Cezarina Sfetcu & Vasile Preda, 2021. "Ordering Awad–Varma Entropy and Applications to Some Stochastic Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-15, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Omid M. Ardakani, 2022. "Option pricing with maximum entropy densities: The inclusion of higher‐order moments," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(10), pages 1821-1836, October.
    2. Sylvia Gottschalk, 2016. "Entropy and credit risk in highly correlated markets," Papers 1604.07042, arXiv.org.
    3. Gottschalk, Sylvia, 2017. "Entropy measure of credit risk in highly correlated markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 478(C), pages 11-19.
    4. René Garcia & Eric Ghysels & Eric Renault, 2004. "The Econometrics of Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-04, CIRANO.
    5. Jurczenko, Emmanuel & Maillet, Bertrand & Negrea, Bogdan, 2002. "Revisited multi-moment approximate option pricing models: a general comparison (Part 1)," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24950, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
    7. Andrew Balthrop, 2016. "Power laws in oil and natural gas production," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1521-1539, December.
    8. Smimou, K. & Bector, C.R. & Jacoby, G., 2007. "A subjective assessment of approximate probabilities with a portfolio application," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 134-160, June.
    9. Begušić, Stjepan & Kostanjčar, Zvonko & Eugene Stanley, H. & Podobnik, Boris, 2018. "Scaling properties of extreme price fluctuations in Bitcoin markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 400-406.
    10. Federico Botta & Helen Susannah Moat & H Eugene Stanley & Tobias Preis, 2015. "Quantifying Stock Return Distributions in Financial Markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(9), pages 1-10, September.
    11. Behfar, Stefan Kambiz, 2016. "Long memory behavior of returns after intraday financial jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 461(C), pages 716-725.
    12. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034, Decembrie.
    13. Bogdan Grechuk & Anton Molyboha & Michael Zabarankin, 2009. "Maximum Entropy Principle with General Deviation Measures," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 34(2), pages 445-467, May.
    14. Warusawitharana, Missaka, 2018. "Time-varying volatility and the power law distribution of stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 123-141.
    15. Gzyl, Henryk & Mayoral, Silvia, 2016. "Determination of zero-coupon and spot rates from treasury data by maximum entropy methods," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 38-50.
    16. Ming Yuan, 2009. "State price density estimation via nonparametric mixtures," Papers 0910.1430, arXiv.org.
    17. Gifty Malhotra & R. Srivastava & H. C. Taneja, 2019. "Comparative Study of Two Extensions of Heston Stochastic Volatility Model," Papers 1912.10237, arXiv.org.
    18. Cassio Neri & Lorenz Schneider, 2012. "A Note on "A Family of Maximum Entropy Densities Matching Call Option Prices"," Papers 1212.4279, arXiv.org.
    19. Bogdan Negrea & Bertrand Maillet & Emmanuel Jurczenko, 2002. "Revisited Multi-moment Approximate Option," FMG Discussion Papers dp430, Financial Markets Group.
    20. Gourieroux, C. & Monfort, A., 2007. "Econometric specification of stochastic discount factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 509-530, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:513:y:2019:i:c:p:45-54. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.