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Distinguishing manipulated stocks via trading network analysis

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  • Sun, Xiao-Qian
  • Cheng, Xue-Qi
  • Shen, Hua-Wei
  • Wang, Zhao-Yang

Abstract

Manipulation is an important issue for both developed and emerging stock markets. For the study of manipulation, it is critical to analyze investor behavior in the stock market. In this paper, an analysis of the full transaction records of over a hundred stocks in a one-year period is conducted. For each stock, a trading network is constructed to characterize the relations among its investors. In trading networks, nodes represent investors and a directed link connects a stock seller to a buyer with the total trade size as the weight of the link, and the node strength is the sum of all edge weights of a node. For all these trading networks, we find that the node degree and node strength both have tails following a power-law distribution. Compared with non-manipulated stocks, manipulated stocks have a high lower bound of the power-law tail, a high average degree of the trading network and a low correlation between the price return and the seller–buyer ratio. These findings may help us to detect manipulated stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Sun, Xiao-Qian & Cheng, Xue-Qi & Shen, Hua-Wei & Wang, Zhao-Yang, 2011. "Distinguishing manipulated stocks via trading network analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(20), pages 3427-3434.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:390:y:2011:i:20:p:3427-3434
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2011.04.006
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    2. Li, Ming-Xia & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Xie, Wen-Jie & Xiong, Xiong & Zhang, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2015. "Unveiling correlations between financial variables and topological metrics of trading networks: Evidence from a stock and its warrant," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 575-584.
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    5. Shi, Fa-Bin & Sun, Xiao-Qian & Shen, Hua-Wei & Cheng, Xue-Qi, 2019. "Detect colluded stock manipulation via clique in trading network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 565-571.
    6. Xiao-Qian Sun & Hua-Wei Shen & Xue-Qi Cheng & Yuqing Zhang, 2016. "Market Confidence Predicts Stock Price: Beyond Supply and Demand," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(7), pages 1-10, July.
    7. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wen-Jie Xie & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang & Yong-Jie Zhang & W. -X. Zhou, 2012. "Trading networks, abnormal motifs and stock manipulation," Papers 1301.0007, arXiv.org.
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