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Using decision tree algorithms to screen individuals at risk of entry into sexual recidivism

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  • Lussier, Patrick
  • Deslauriers-Varin, Nadine
  • Collin-Santerre, Justine
  • Bélanger, Roxane

Abstract

•Decision-tree algorithms (DTA) can be used to examine the risk profiles of convicted offenders.•DTA highlight the importance of the offender's age at assessment as key risk factor.•DTA findings suggest that risk factors of sexual recidivism vary across age-groups.•DTA provide comparable predictive value compared to that based on logistic regression.

Suggested Citation

  • Lussier, Patrick & Deslauriers-Varin, Nadine & Collin-Santerre, Justine & Bélanger, Roxane, 2019. "Using decision tree algorithms to screen individuals at risk of entry into sexual recidivism," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 12-24.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jcjust:v:63:y:2019:i:c:p:12-24
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2019.05.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Amirault, Joanna & Lussier, Patrick, 2011. "Population heterogeneity, state dependence and sexual offender recidivism: The aging process and the lost predictive impact of prior criminal charges over time," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 344-354, July.
    2. G. V. Kass, 1980. "An Exploratory Technique for Investigating Large Quantities of Categorical Data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 29(2), pages 119-127, June.
    3. Lussier, Patrick & Gress, Carmen L.Z., 2014. "Community re-entry and the path toward desistance: A quasi-experimental longitudinal study of dynamic factors and community risk management of adult sex offenders," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 111-122.
    4. Lussier, Patrick & Blokland, Arjan, 2014. "The adolescence-adulthood transition and Robins’s continuity paradox: Criminal career patterns of juvenile and adult sex offenders in a prospective longitudinal birth cohort study," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 153-163.
    5. Mathesius, Jeffrey & Lussier, Patrick, 2014. "The Successful Onset of Sex Offending: Determining the Correlates of Actual and Official Onset of Sex Offending," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 134-144.
    6. Lussier, Patrick & Bouchard, Martin & Beauregard, Eric, 2011. "Patterns of criminal achievement in sexual offending: Unravelling the “successful” sex offender," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 433-444.
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