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A generalization of the Kaplan–Meier estimator for analyzing bivariate mortality under right-censoring and left-truncation with applications in model-checking for survival copula models

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  • Lopez, Olivier

Abstract

In this paper we provide a new nonparametric estimator of the joint distribution of two lifetimes under random right censoring and left truncation which can be seen as a bivariate extension of the Kaplan–Meier estimator. We derive asymptotic results for this estimator, including uniform n1/2-consistency, and develop a general methodology for bivariate lifetime modeling, a critical issue in studying reversion conditions that are commonplace in defined benefit pensions and private annuity contracts. An application to goodness-of-fit for survival copula models is discussed. We show that the procedures that we use are consistent, and propose a bootstrap procedure based on our estimator to compute the critical values. The new technique that we propose is tested on the Canadian dataset initially studied by Frees et al. (1996).

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  • Lopez, Olivier, 2012. "A generalization of the Kaplan–Meier estimator for analyzing bivariate mortality under right-censoring and left-truncation with applications in model-checking for survival copula models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 505-516.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:51:y:2012:i:3:p:505-516
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.07.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. César Sánchez Sellero & Wenceslao González Manteiga & Ingrid Van Keilegom, 2005. "Uniform Representation of Product‐Limit Integrals with Applications," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 32(4), pages 563-581, December.
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    4. Christian Genest & Jean‐François Quessy & Bruno Rémillard, 2006. "Goodness‐of‐fit Procedures for Copula Models Based on the Probability Integral Transformation," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 33(2), pages 337-366, June.
    5. Michael G. Akritas & Ingrid Van Keilegom, 2003. "Estimation of bivariate and marginal distributions with censored data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 65(2), pages 457-471, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gribkova, Svetlana & Lopez, Olivier & Saint-Pierre, Philippe, 2013. "A simplified model for studying bivariate mortality under right-censoring," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 181-192.
    2. Alemany, Ramon & Bolancé, Catalina & Guillén, Montserrat, 2013. "A nonparametric approach to calculating value-at-risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 255-262.
    3. Ramon Alemany & Catalina Bolancé & Montserrat Guillén, 2012. "Nonparametric estimation of Value-at-Risk," Working Papers XREAP2012-19, Xarxa de Referència en Economia Aplicada (XREAP), revised Oct 2012.
    4. Jackson P. Lautier & Vladimir Pozdnyakov & Jun Yan, 2022. "Pricing Time-to-Event Contingent Cash Flows: A Discrete-Time Survival Analysis Approach," Papers 2201.04981, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
    5. Souto Arias, Luis A. & Cirillo, Pasquale, 2021. "Joint and survivor annuity valuation with a bivariate reinforced urn process," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 174-189.
    6. Lopez, Olivier, 2019. "A censored copula model for micro-level claim reserving," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 1-14.
    7. Spreeuw, Jaap, 2014. "Archimedean copulas derived from utility functions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 235-242.
    8. Ramon Alemany & Catalina Bolance & Montserrat Guillen, 2014. "Accounting for severity of risk when pricing insurance products," Working Papers 2014-05, Universitat de Barcelona, UB Riskcenter.

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