IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v76y2025ics1544612325002661.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Influence of natural disasters on stock prices in the aviation, hospitality, and tourism industries: Perspective based on crash risk and investor sentiment

Author

Listed:
  • Hu, Zuwu
  • Liu, Ling

Abstract

This study explores how natural disasters affect stock prices and examines the underlying mechanisms using panel data from China's aviation, hospitality, and tourism industries for the period 2011–2022. Results indicate that natural disasters considerably suppress stock performance because the natural consequence of increased crash risk reduces stock returns. In such a situation, investor sentiment serves as a buffer, because heightened sentiment helps mitigate the negative impact of disasters on stock prices. In addition, results of heterogeneity analysis indicate that small and medium-sized enterprises and firms in highly competitive industries are more vulnerable to shocks caused by natural disasters and face greater risks to their stock performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Zuwu & Liu, Ling, 2025. "Influence of natural disasters on stock prices in the aviation, hospitality, and tourism industries: Perspective based on crash risk and investor sentiment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:76:y:2025:i:c:s1544612325002661
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.107002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325002661
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhang, Xiang & Zhou, Han, 2022. "The effect of market competition on corporate cash holdings: An analysis of corporate innovation and financial constraint," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Liu, Zhonglu & He, Shuguang & Men, Wenjiao & Sun, Haibo, 2024. "Impact of climate risk on financial stability: Cross-country evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    3. Noth, Felix & Rehbein, Oliver, 2019. "Badly hurt? Natural disasters and direct firm effects," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 254-258.
    4. Arfaoui, Nadia & Naoui, Kamel, 2022. "Terrorism, investor sentiment, and stock market reaction: Evidence from the British and the French markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Lin, Boqiang & Wu, Nan, 2023. "Climate risk disclosure and stock price crash risk: The case of China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 21-34.
    6. Guo, Kun & Liu, Fengqi & Sun, Xiaolei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "Predicting natural gas futures’ volatility using climate risks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    7. Su, Hao & Ying, Chengwei & Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2022. "Disaster risk matters in the bond market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    8. NguyenHuu, Tam, 2022. "The impacts of rare disasters on asset returns and risk premiums in advanced economies (1870–2015)," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    9. Ma, Dandan & Zhang, Yunhan & Ji, Qiang & Zhao, Wan-Li & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2024. "Heterogeneous impacts of climate change news on China's financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Chau, Frankie & Deesomsak, Rataporn & Koutmos, Dimitrios, 2016. "Does investor sentiment really matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 221-232.
    11. Yousefi, Hamed & Yung, Kenneth & Najand, Mohammad, 2023. "From low resource slack to inflexibility: The share price effect of operational efficiency," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Li, Yanglin & Wang, Shaoping & Zhao, Qing, 2021. "When does the stock market recover from a crisis?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    13. Debata, Byomakesh & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Mahakud, Jitendra, 2018. "Investor sentiment and emerging stock market liquidity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 15-31.
    14. Santi, Caterina, 2023. "Investor climate sentiment and financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    15. Guan, Ruiqi & Jacoby, Gady & Lu, Xiaomeng & Wan, Fang & Zhang, Qi, 2023. "Trauma and investment horizon: Evidence from a representative China equity investor behavior survey," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    16. Zanin, Luca & Calabrese, Raffaella & Thorburn, Connor Innes, 2024. "Climate stress testing for mortgage default probability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    17. Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Chan, Kam Fong & Malik, Ihtisham, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and the cross-section of stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    18. Zhang, Xiaoying & Lin, Ling & Xiao, Min & Yang, Jing, 2024. "Do auditors care about what retail investors say? Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    19. Yu, Haixu & Liang, Chuanyu & Liu, Zhaohua & Wang, He, 2023. "News-based ESG sentiment and stock price crash risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    20. Zhao, Xin & Guo, Yanhong & Liu, Chuanren, 2024. "Leveraging corporate governance characteristics for stock crash risk assessment," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    21. Mangee, Nicholas, 2024. "Stock price swings and fundamentals: The role of Knightian uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    22. Shan, Liwei & Gong, Stephen X., 2012. "Investor sentiment and stock returns: Wenchuan Earthquake," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 36-47.
    23. Li, Xiao & Xing, Yao, 2023. "When stock return synchronicity meets investor sentiment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    24. Chen, Juan & Xiao, Zuoping & Bai, Jiancheng & Guo, Hongling, 2023. "Predicting volatility in natural gas under a cloud of uncertainties," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    25. Luo, Jiayi & Pan, Yukun & Guo, Mengmeng, 2024. "CEO's early-life earthquake experience and enterprise digitization," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    26. Jia, Haibo & Zhu, Ying & Chen, Xiaodan, 2024. "Stock Repurchase and Stock Price Crash Risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    27. Kim, Jang-Chul & Su, Qing, 2023. "The dynamics of utility stocks amidst adversity of Hurricane Sandy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    28. Wang, Meng & Goodell, John W. & Huang, Wei & Jiang, Ying, 2023. "Trade credit provision and stock price crash risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mertzanis, Charilaos & Kampouris, Ilias & Samitas, Aristeidis, 2025. "Climate change and U.S. Corporate bond market activity: A machine learning approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    2. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2019. "The relationship between emerging and developed market sentiment: A wavelet-based time-frequency analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 135-150.
    3. Jaeseok Yun & Sungyeon Kim & Jinmin Kim, 2024. "Digital Twin Technology in the Gas Industry: A Comparative Simulation Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-29, July.
    4. Ihtisham A. Malik & Robert Faff, 2022. "Industry market reaction to natural disasters: do firm characteristics and disaster magnitude matter?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2963-2994, April.
    5. Huang, Leping & Zhang, Kuo & Wang, Jingxin & Zhu, Yingfu, 2023. "Examining the interplay of green bonds and fossil fuel markets: The influence of investor sentiments," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    6. Ji, Qiang & Ma, Dandan & Zhai, Pengxiang & Fan, Ying & Zhang, Dayong, 2024. "Global climate policy uncertainty and financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    7. Kuang, Hewu & Liang, Yiyan & Zhao, Wenjia & Cai, Jiahong, 2023. "Impact of natural resources and technology on economic development and sustainable environment – Analysis of resources-energy-growth-environment linkages in BRICS," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    8. Zhang, Jiaming & Xiang, Yitian & Zou, Yang & Guo, Songlin, 2024. "Volatility forecasting of Chinese energy market: Which uncertainty have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    9. Lu, Xunfa & He, Pengchao & Zhang, Zhengjun & Apergis, Nicholas & Roubaud, David, 2024. "Extreme co-movements between decomposed oil price shocks and sustainable investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    10. Chen, Shengming & Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "The Russia–Ukraine war and energy market volatility: A novel application of the volatility ratio in the context of natural gas," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    11. Foglia, Matteo & Miglietta, Federica, 2024. "Does every cloud (bubble) have a silver lining? An investigation of ESG financial markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    12. Wang, Lu & Wang, Xing & Liang, Chao, 2024. "Natural gas volatility prediction via a novel combination of GARCH-MIDAS and one-class SVM," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    13. Sun, Yanpeng & Song, Yuru & Long, Chi & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2023. "How to improve global environmental governance? Lessons learned from climate risk and climate policy uncertainty," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1666-1676.
    14. Zhu, Bo & Wang, Yiwei, 2024. "Green governance and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    15. Liu, Qian & Li, Wanjun & Zhao, Zhen & Jian, Gan, 2024. "Optimal operation of coordinated multi-carrier energy hubs for integrated electricity and gas networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    16. Lin, Ling & Xiao, Min & Yao, Rongrong & Zhang, Xiaoying, 2024. "Product market liberalization and corporate cash holdings: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    17. Bei Liu & Jinmin Wang & Xinle Tong & Zhihua Zhou & Zhaoxuan Qiu, 2024. "Institutional investor shareholding and the quality of corporate innovation: Moderating effects based on internal and external environment," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(1), pages 326-338, January.
    18. Bouyaddou, Youssef & Jebabli, Ikram, 2025. "Integration of investor behavioral perspective and climate change in reinforcement learning for portfolio optimization," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB).
    19. Amirali Nasouri, 2025. "The Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Equity Markets and Financial Stress: A Comparative Analysis of Emerging and Advanced Economies," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 30-41.
    20. Leilane de Freitas Rocha Cambara & Roberto Meurer, 2023. "News sentiment and foreign portfolio investment in Brazil," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3332-3348, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:76:y:2025:i:c:s1544612325002661. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.