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Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets

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  • Kanamura, Takashi

Abstract

We empirically examine the impacts of Covid-19 on asset price volatilities by focusing on the timing. This paper has three contributions. First, we propose a new Covid-19 dependent regime-switching volatility model for the examination. Second, results show a shift to a higher price volatility regime from a lower one for financial assets and commodities after late February 2020 when Covid-19 spread all over the world, but the timing of the impacts varies from immediate timing for the S&P 500, the FTSE 100, the COMEX gold and silver futures to the delayed timing for the ICE Brent crude oil futures followed by the timing for the ICE UK natural gas futures. Third, we find the sensitivity of Covid-19 information to the regime switch differs between financial assets and precious metal ones which have the immediate impacts: the infection speed, i.e. the changes in the number of Covid-19 infected individuals, enhance the impacts on the tendency to a high price volatility regime for the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100; both the infection speed and the number of the deaths mitigate those impacts for the gold and silver futures, respectively during a turmoil period due to Covid-19, suggesting that the gold and silver markets are functioning as risk-hedging safety assets alternative to financial assets during Covid-19 turmoil.

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  • Kanamura, Takashi, 2022. "Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:46:y:2022:i:pb:s1544612321003998
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102401
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xu, Libo, 2021. "Stock Return and the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Canada and the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Takashi Kanamura, 2023. "A difference in COVID-19 impact on bank stocks between Japan and the US," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(7), pages 1-23, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset price volatility; Covid-19; Regime switching; Infection speed;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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