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The volatility surprise of leading cryptocurrencies: Transitory and permanent linkages

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  • Bouri, Elie
  • Lucey, Brian
  • Roubaud, David

Abstract

There is scarce literature examining the volatility linkages among leading cryptocurrencies, and none exists on the linkages among unexpected volatility, called ‘volatility surprise’. To address this literature gap, we build on the concept of volatility surprise and examine the causal linkages among the volatility of leading cryptocurrencies via the frequency-domain test of Bodart and Candelon (2009), discriminating between transitory and permanent causalities. Permanent shocks are more important in explaining the Granger-causality that does not necessarily emanate from the largest, Bitcoin, over short horizons, whereas transitory shocks dominate the causality across smaller cryptocurrencies over long horizons.

Suggested Citation

  • Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Roubaud, David, 2020. "The volatility surprise of leading cryptocurrencies: Transitory and permanent linkages," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:33:y:2020:i:c:s1544612319303137
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.05.006
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    Cited by:

    1. Lee A. Smales, 2021. "Volatility Spillovers among Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-12, October.
    2. Şoiman, Florentina & Dumas, Jean-Guillaume & Jimenez-Garces, Sonia, 2023. "What drives DeFi market returns?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Bazán-Palomino, Walter, 2021. "How are Bitcoin forks related to Bitcoin?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    4. Yue, Yao & Li, Xuerong & Zhang, Dingxuan & Wang, Shouyang, 2021. "How cryptocurrency affects economy? A network analysis using bibliometric methods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Shi, Yongjing & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gozgor, Giray & Lu, Zhou, 2020. "Correlations among cryptocurrencies: Evidence from multivariate factor stochastic volatility model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    6. Fan Fang & Carmine Ventre & Michail Basios & Leslie Kanthan & David Martinez-Rego & Fan Wu & Lingbo Li, 2022. "Cryptocurrency trading: a comprehensive survey," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-59, December.
    7. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Ahmad, Tanveer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2022. "Extreme tail network analysis of cryptocurrencies and trading strategies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    8. Qureshi, Saba & Aftab, Muhammad & Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq, 2020. "Dynamic interdependence of cryptocurrency markets: An analysis across time and frequency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 559(C).
    9. Kao, Yu-Sheng & Zhao, Kai & Chuang, Hwei-Lin & Ku, Yu-Cheng, 2024. "The asymmetric relationships between the Bitcoin futures’ return, volatility, and trading volume," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 524-542.
    10. Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Wanas Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Does volatility connectedness across major cryptocurrencies behave the same at different frequencies? A portfolio risk analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 96-113.
    11. Gronwald, Marc, 2021. "How explosive are cryptocurrency prices?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    12. Zhang, Dingxuan & Sun, Yuying & Duan, Hongbo & Hong, Yongmiao & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "Speculation or currency? Multi-scale analysis of cryptocurrencies—The case of Bitcoin," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    13. Yi, Eojin & Cho, Yerim & Sohn, Sungbin & Ahn, Kwangwon, 2021. "After the Splits: Information Flow between Bitcoin and Bitcoin Family," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    14. Chemkha, Rahma & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Ghorbel, Ahmed & Tayachi, Tahar, 2021. "Hedge and safe haven properties during COVID-19: Evidence from Bitcoin and gold," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 71-85.
    15. Wang, Yang & Xiuping, Sui & Zhang, Qi, 2021. "Can fintech improve the efficiency of commercial banks? —An analysis based on big data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    16. Kanis Saengchote, 2022. "Cryptocurrency bubbles, the wealth effect, and non-fungible token prices: Evidence from metaverse LAND," Papers 2209.04385, arXiv.org.
    17. Ante, Lennart & Fiedler, Ingo & Strehle, Elias, 2021. "The influence of stablecoin issuances on cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; Cryptocurrency; Volatility surprise; frequency-domain Granger-causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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