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Voluntary disclosure and adverse selection: Bayesian game theoretical inference for green bond labelling regimes

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  • Henide, Karim

Abstract

The impact finance market has sought to ‘internalise externalities and adjust risk perceptions’ (G20 Green Finance Study Group, 2016), demonstrating the private sector’s capability in resolving the climate free-rider problem through the ‘greening’ of economic activities, partially bypassing corrective government intervention. As the market continues to develop, however, the voluntary disclosure regime that the market operates under threatens to enforce an adverse selection problem and contribute to a fundamental erosion of confidence in the market segment, constraining the potential of impact finance instruments to effect positive social and environmental change. This paper relates the work of Crawford and Sobel (1982), Milgrom (1981), Verrecchia (1983), Jung and Kwon (1988), Myers and Majluf (1984) to the green bond market and draws inferences to inform recommendations for policy-led solutions aimed at ensuring the alignment of green bonds’ proceeds to the interests of society (desirable outcomes within the scope of the Paris agreement, for example) and upholding the market’s credibility. This paper additionally explores the transplantation of sustainability linker mechanisms into green bond architecture to ensure simultaneous issuer-level alignment.

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  • Henide, Karim, 2022. "Voluntary disclosure and adverse selection: Bayesian game theoretical inference for green bond labelling regimes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:83:y:2022:i:c:s1057521922002083
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102248
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul R. Milgrom, 1981. "Good News and Bad News: Representation Theorems and Applications," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 12(2), pages 380-391, Autumn.
    2. Myers, Stewart C. & Majluf, Nicholas S., 1984. "Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 187-221, June.
    3. Pauline Deschryver & Frederic de Mariz, 2020. "What Future for the Green Bond Market? How Can Policymakers, Companies, and Investors Unlock the Potential of the Green Bond Market?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-26, March.
    4. Verrecchia, Robert E., 1983. "Discretionary disclosure," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 179-194, April.
    5. Flammer, Caroline, 2021. "Corporate green bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 499-516.
    6. Jung, Wo & Kwon, Yk, 1988. "Disclosure When The Market Is Unsure Of Information Endowment Of Managers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 146-153.
    7. Karim Henide, . "Green lemons: overcoming adverse selection in the green bond market," UNCTAD Transnational Corporations Journal, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    8. Crawford, Vincent P & Sobel, Joel, 1982. "Strategic Information Transmission," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(6), pages 1431-1451, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Day, Min-Yuh & Ni, Yensen, 2023. "Be greedy when others are fearful: Evidence from a two-decade assessment of the NDX 100 and S&P 500 indexes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Vasundhara Saravade & Olaf Weber & Adam Vitalis, 2025. "To label or not? A choice experiment testing whether labelled green bonds matter to retail investors," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, December.
    3. Liu, Changyu & Wang, Jing & Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong, 2024. "To be green or not to be: How governmental regulation shapes financial institutions' greenwashing behaviors in green finance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

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