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Re-examining the input-parameters and AI strategies for Critical Heat Flux prediction

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  • Wang, Kai
  • Wang, Da
  • Liu, Xiaoxing
  • Cheng, Songbai
  • Wang, Shixian
  • Zhou, Wen
  • Miwa, Shuichiro
  • Okamoto, Koji

Abstract

This study employed three deep-learning models to predict CHF, with Transformers outperforming the other methods, thereby solidifying its leading position. The research re-examines the input parameters used in previous studies, which often relied on indirect thermohydraulic parameters, reducing prediction accuracy. By carefully selecting input parameters through mechanistic analyses and utilizing Transformer models, a minimum RMSPE of 9.85 % and NRMSE of 6.63 % was achieved using experimental data exceeding 20,000 points. This approach significantly outperformed the LUT method, which exhibited an RMSPE of 158 % and NRMSE of 21.8 %. Additionally, five traditional AI methods were tested. While most traditional methods underperformed compared to LUT, the Random Forest model achieved an RMSPE of 3.71 % and NRMSE of 4.39 %. Sensitivity to the number of input diameters was examined, showing that the overall deviation (OD) dropped from 59.75 % with a single parameter to a minimum of 2.63 % when using five parameters. It is proposed that future prediction efforts, whether using deep learning AI methods or traditional approaches, rigorously test multiple methods to identify the most accurate. Additionally, the careful selection of input parameters is crucial, as some, like inlet subcooling, can enhance accuracy more than others, such as outlet quality.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Kai & Wang, Da & Liu, Xiaoxing & Cheng, Songbai & Wang, Shixian & Zhou, Wen & Miwa, Shuichiro & Okamoto, Koji, 2025. "Re-examining the input-parameters and AI strategies for Critical Heat Flux prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:318:y:2025:i:c:s0360544225002488
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2025.134606
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fang, Xiande & Chen, Yafeng & Zhang, Helei & Chen, Weiwei & Dong, Anqi & Wang, Run, 2016. "Heat transfer and critical heat flux of nanofluid boiling: A comprehensive review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 924-940.
    2. Rehan Zubair Khalid & Atta Ullah & Asifullah Khan & Afrasyab Khan & Mansoor Hameed Inayat, 2023. "Comparison of Standalone and Hybrid Machine Learning Models for Prediction of Critical Heat Flux in Vertical Tubes," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-22, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Xinyan & Yu, Shuwen & Peng, Changhong, 2025. "Numerical study on transient critical heat flux prediction with dynamic bubble simulation under exponentially escalating heat input," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).

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