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Panel cointegration testing in the presence of a time trend

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  • Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan
  • Droge, Bernd

Abstract

A new likelihood-based panel cointegration test which allows a linear time trend in the data generating process is proposed. The test is an extension of the likelihood ratio type test with trend adjustment prior to testing to the panel data framework. Under the null hypothesis, the standardized statistic has a limiting normal distribution as the number of time periods and the number of cross-sections tend to infinity sequentially. Additionally, an approximation involving the moments based on a vector autoregressive process of order one is introduced. A Monte Carlo study demonstrates that the test has reasonable size and high power in finite samples.

Suggested Citation

  • Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan & Droge, Bernd, 2014. "Panel cointegration testing in the presence of a time trend," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 377-390.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:76:y:2014:i:c:p:377-390
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2012.05.017
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    Cited by:

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    3. Erdal Özmen & Fatma Taşdemir, 2018. "Gross Capital Inflows And Outflows: Twins Or Distant Cousins?," ERC Working Papers 1807, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2018.
    4. Michał Grajek & Lars-Hendrik Röller, 2012. "Regulation and Investment in Network Industries: Evidence from European Telecoms," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 55(1), pages 189-216.
    5. Barbara Choroś & Wolfgang Härdle & Ostap Okhrin, 2009. "CDO and HAC," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2009-038, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
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    7. Daniel Kohlert, 2010. "The determinants of regional real estate returns in the United Kingdom: a vector error correction approach," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1), pages 87-117, June.
    8. Antonia Arsova & Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal, 2018. "Likelihood-based panel cointegration test in the presence of a linear time trend and cross-sectional dependence," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(10), pages 1033-1050, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Panel cointegration test; Likelihood ratio; Time trend; Monte Carlo study;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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